If you are withdrawing 5% and earning 10% - aren’t you going to be increasing capital each year?
So lets say you saved $1,000,000 and earn 10% (I think that’s a high return to plan for, but its easy numbers)
You earn $100,000 in year one
You withdraw $50,000
You have $1,050,000 in capital in year two
You make $105,000 in year two, withdraw $52,500 (the $2.5k covers cost of living increases between year one and year two), and now have 1,102,500 in capital.
The difference between what’s withdrawn for expenses and what you earn accounts for (a) variable returns in any given year (it won’t be 8% every year – some years it’ll be 16%, some years it’ll be 0%); (b) taxes; and (c) the vagaries of chance.
Both reverse mortgages I’ve been in the know about allow the surviving family members 6 months to pay the original loan and interest back. Then you get to keep the house. Easy to do if the person dies early on. Not so much when your loved one outlives his or her expectancy.
I probably wasn’t as clear as I could’ve been, because there are so many variables. If you have a string of low-return years, you could end up dipping into the principal. If you have a string of high-return years, you’re absolutely right.