Rishi Sunak tries to lead the UK

He was a head boy at Winchester, got a first-class degree from Oxford, an MBA from Stanford, worked for Goldman Sachs and was a partner at a prominent hedge fund. This is not the resume of a stupid person, especially given that he didn’t come from a privileged background. Then he obviously rose very quickly in the Tory party and became the youngest PM in 200 years.

Cleverness is not the same as good judgement and does not exclude taking bad policy positions like Brexit. However in the recent leadership election against Truss he did take the more prudent, moderate fiscal position and was quickly vindicated. Overall he does appear to be relatively pragmatic.

Except that the big unanswered question is what balance they, as the low tax party, will choose between raising taxes and cutting expenditure (when almost every public service is screaming blue murder at the effects of the last twelve years of austerity).

Relatively is the very applicable word here, the Truss position was absolutely insane, like GCSE economic level F, it wasn’t hard for anyone to shoot that down completely. I am untrained in economics and found that shockingly stupid at a basic level.

Giving him moderate credit for the support during pandemic, well, there was no other choice, there would have absolutely been no lockdown without it in the UK. Eat out to help out was a massively stupid idea, and frankly cutting stamp duty to create a mini-boom during covid pandemic really didn’t help much at all, and isn’t exactly a moderate policy.

He might be a blank slate but he’s toed the line on every extreme policy Johnson put out in his two years, so as I said, no moderate, and comparing him to Truss, well, it’s arguing Martin Bormann was a nice chap compared to old Adolf.

It’s also hard to grade education with the relatively rich, and in “with the boys” system in the UK. Dominic Raab was a solicitor/lawyer for five years, yet didn’t realise that most of our trade came across the channel at Dover, because we’re an island, and denied saying he wanted to privatise the NHS, despite having written exactly that in his own published book. Or read the Good Friday agreement when he was Brexit minister.

Back to Sunak, being head boy means nothing, and an MBA means little to me. I’m not quite sure the value of a PPE degree from Oxford, but it’s the easy route into politics, and lets face, it no degree in physics. Just repeat back Thatcher’s ideas and you’re in.

Being cleverer than the likes of Truss, Raab, Johnson, Hague, Ian Duncan Smith, Dorries, Fabricant and the rest of these extremist loonies in charge is no high bar to set. My cat could present more sound economic theories in her litter tray.

@pjd has it - Potter is part of a long tradition of kids books set in boarding schools. Most don’t have magic, obvs, so the plot is more about gaggles of kids coming up with various schemes to avoid work, get extra food, win a competition of some sort etc.

The “wizard wheeze” is an elaborate scheme proposed by an incurable optimist that always, always goes catastrophically wrong. Cummings entire career seems to be a series of wizard wheezes (Let’s lie to the Queen to shut down Parliament! Let’s get that idiot Boris in charge and manipulate him from behind the scenes!) that have culminated in people he despises being in power and him, the politics-understander, being an angry blogger.

Isn’t that where he comes from originally? Like, the 19th century?

Post WW2 war politics in the UK has tried to come up with an answer to the question of what parts of the economy should be the preserve of government monopoly and what should be subject to a competitive market economy.

There are two polar extremes: on the left, all parts of the economy should be centrally planned and managed by the government. This was how it was in wartime and after WW2 there was a policy of nationalising important parts of the economy and bringing it under centralised government control. Some of these policies were very popular, especially healthcare and foundation of the National Health Service. State monopolies were created for coal mining, steel making, electricity generation, railways, gas…quite a long list, especially by the immediate post war Labour government who saw it as a political project. Very socialist. Bear in mind this was after six years of war, when many parts of the economy were under government control as a part of the war effort. The collective mentality persisted as consensus, even amongst Conservatives.

This consensus came to an abrupt end in 1979 when there was a complete loss of faith that a Labour government could run the economy and accommodate the demands of the powerful Labour Unions after a decade of industrial relations strife that brought down a succession of governments.

The UK was an economic basket case - the ‘Sick man of Europe’ - and other European economies seemed to develop faster. The Conservatives on the right of UK politics were until that time ‘One Nation’ Conservatives that believed in consensus politics.

The country swang to the right and Thatcher introduced a series of radical economic reforms that curtailed the power of the Labour unions and set about rationising industry and privatising parts that were nationalised are creating a market driven economy.

Just as some nationisations seemed to work and others led to poor service and quality. The privatisations sometimes worked and sometimes did not. The privatised railways have been poorly performing. The water companies are little more than private monopolies that do not look after the pipes and pollute the rivers. The gas and electricity companies are now being scrutinised because of the energy crisis.

So Kier Starmer, leader of the Labour Party, is frequently asked : what will you nationalise. This is a pretty loaded question because it basically means will you return to the ideology driven economic policies of the past? On the Conservative side, there is an opposite suspicion of their desire to role back regulation and safeguards, especially any associated with the EU.

The UK is now going through a difficult period economically and sound, pragmatic leadership is required. Hopefully the party pleasing idealogical playbook solutions such as those pursued by Liz Truss are at and end. Rishi Sunak leads a fractious party and he does not have the authority of a PM that has won a General Election. It will be interesting to see whether he can hold it together and make some sort of progress with the economy.

I have my doubts. He may be capable, but the economic challenges are very large. The UK has a mountain of debt, escalating interest rates and growth has been flat and is now going into recession. He will have to cut spending and restrict wage increases at a time when inflation is rising. Everyone is going to blame him for their woes.

If the top jobs choose loyalty over competence, then it’s just continuity Johnson government.

I’m not completely sure when the last competence over Brexit admin was in there. May wasn’t brave enough to go that way, and I’m not sure Cameron was too. Grayling featured in his cabinet, and some, like Hunt, weren’t exactly shining stars. However, that was just plain incompetence rather than “because of Brexit”.

(Oh FFS I typed out a long reply and it was deleted, here we go again.)

PPE at Oxford is a course in blathering on; it’s learning to use rhetoric without substance.

In weekly one-on-one meetings with your professor, you hand in your weekly essay on the assigned topic. It’s rubbish, of course, because you know nothing, you were likely drunk when you wrote it and you’re 19 and you just discovered something more interesting than wanking. Your mark is determined by the discussion with the professor, going forward from your essay. Your professor is an Oxford professor on the subject and you know nothing about it (see above) so you learn to blather. That’s the point.

When you live with another political system alongside the British one, is remarkable how light on detail and policy British politicians often are.

This used to cause friction in the EU, where British MEPs would shout out a few phrases and consider it a good day’s work and other MEPs were expecting policy, goals, plans, implementation, M&E. It’s Boris Johnson shouting out: “We’ll have our cake and eat it too!” - as if that’s policy, leaving departments to somehow implement it (or not, as the case may be, doesn’t matter, he said it so he’s won).

Simon Kuper (used to have a column in the FT) has written a bit about how PPE at Oxford has shaped British politics, specifically also on how the course is taught.

We have selected politicians based on two things: how good they are at understanding the competing factions with their party and their current obsession. And, at election time, creating an image that gets attention and appeals to an electorate addicted to the antics of personalities depicted in traditional and social media.

So you have to be famous for being famous and you need to know which horse to back as you climb the slippery ladder of party politics.

The actual business of governing, leadership, creating coherent policies to improve the nation and just being competent….

These are surely concerns of the grey geeky types who will never amount to much.

We have had a lot of noisy bagatelles during this current phase of populism politics. A lot of structural problems remain unfixed and the steering of the country through unforeseen storms has been lack lustre. They have spent and borrowed far too much.

Be it Sunak or Starmer, it is surely time for consistent, pragmatic leadership with a clear understanding of how to manage the nations economy.

Boring politicians are good.

Put those colourful personalities back in the reality TV box from whence they came.

Thanks! I appreciate the knowledge. Now I just need to figure out how to work this wonderful phrase into my everyday use.

As reported to one Guardian writer:

So riven were those on the government’s green benches that one admitted on Monday: “My head is with Rishi, my heart is with Penny and my soul is with Boris.”

Talk about poverty of ambition…

I can’t decide whether to pity that MP or be horrified by the abomination of it all.

Jacob’s gone !!
Thank F&^% for that !

Until they salt and burn the original grave, the ghost of empires past will continue to haunt the halls of westminster.

Sunak proves himself not clever by bringing back reknown idiots Raab and Braverman.

[little sidetrack] Oh well, then I’m VERY optimistic for politics in Germany after 16 years of Merkel and now having Olaf Scholz as chancellor. [/ls]

Some of this Cabinet looks … unpleasantly familiar.

Here’s your cabinet:

j

ETA: 11/20 held over from Truss’ cabinet. That does not make me feel warm inside.

That one and “noisy bagatelles”, thanks to filmstar-en

I think it was only £4.5 billion of COVID support fraud that he wrote off; the 12 billion includes all the no-bid contracts handed off to cronies with no oversight or expectations of delivery. So that’s okay then.

It remains to be seen. Sunak is perfectly capable of being unlikeable for reasons other than his race, even within the Party - the hardcore Brexiteers who liked Truss’s mini-budget are bemoaning the backtracking as a betrayal of what they laughably call their “principles” and blame Sunak and Hunt and their mysterious “backers” for that. But I’m sure there is a non-trivial contingent whom his race will rankle.

It’s also worth noting that his wife is still a non-dom based in India and not paying taxes, which isn’t a very popular position with the public although it seems to be fine with MPs in general, and that until not that long ago Sunak himself held a US Green Card which doesn’t really indicate a deep commitment to the UK if you ask me.

Sunak is only “moderate” within his own party - he’s still way off to the right.

For a start, Labour could actually, you know, “oppose” in their role as Opposition. While Starmer is a better option for PM than any of his chambermates on the other side of the House, that’s damning him with faint praise. His role thus far has been to stand there and be Not-Tory and Not-Corbyn, something which could equally be achieved by your average hatrack.

Labour ought to have a very easy time in Opposition given the absolute chaos in the Tory Party, and yet they just seem to do nothing of note at all. It doesn’t really sell them as the people who should be leading the country.

Presumably Braverman used the time off to finish that Dalmatian coat she’s been working on.