# Russia invades Ukraine {2022-02-24} (Part 2)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Tags:** ukraine-invasion, breaking-news\
**Created:** [October 29, 2022, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972 "2022-10-29T17:49:40Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 233

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4743 "2023-06-24T16:02:48Z")

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> [@CoolHandCox](#):
>
> I’d think Russia has planes and helicopters to take the fight to Wagner exposed on the road.

At this point, nobody is sure who is loyal to who. It’s possible that whoever commands the air force has told his troops to sit this out for now and see what happens.

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**Author:** ![EddyTeddyFreddy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eddyteddyfreddy/32/18796_2.png) [@EddyTeddyFreddy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/EddyTeddyFreddy)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4744 "2023-06-24T16:11:36Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> whoever commands the air force has told his troops to sit this out for now and see what happens.

Stay on the sides till it’s clear who’s going to win, then swoop in to deliver the coup de grace and claim credit for the victory?

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4745 "2023-06-24T16:13:48Z")

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> [@Toxylon](#):
>
> Wagner’s tactic to start the coup on a friday night has reportedly worked well in that masses of the Russian FSB personell was / is drunk and more or less out of commission.

Interesting. It worked for Washington (crossing the Delaware)!

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**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4746 "2023-06-24T16:16:33Z")

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> [@EddyTeddyFreddy](#):
>
> Stay on the sides till it’s clear who’s going to win, then swoop in to deliver the coup de grace and claim credit for the victory?

Time honored tactics.

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4747 "2023-06-24T16:17:01Z")

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I’m not sure how to link from Twitter, but it seems two battles are starting about now. Wagner forces seem to have just reached Moscow, and the Kaydyrovites are attacking Wagner in Rostov on Don. If Putin was going to use a tactical nuke, his time to do so seems to have passed.

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**Author:** ![Magiver](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/4491bb/32.png) [@Magiver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Magiver)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4748 "2023-06-24T16:24:00Z")

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> **Hidden {WE?}**
>
> So Putin is getting closer and closer to his last days. Will it be a bunker suicide or hanging upside down at a gas station. Not a good time to be a Putin double.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4749 "2023-06-24T16:25:50Z")

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**Moderating:**  
Not the thread for such speculation. Please drop the subject or take it to another thread.

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**Author:** ![Love\_Rhombus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/love_rhombus/32/10694_2.png) [@Love\_Rhombus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Love_Rhombus)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4750 "2023-06-24T16:26:39Z")

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> [@Fiendish\_Astronaut](#):
>
> Can’t see what they would do with them though without launch codes…

In theory, could they do enough damage to prevent a launch? Breaking stuff is easy, after all, and I’d certainly want to whittle down Putin’s weapons everywhere.

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**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4751 "2023-06-24T16:36:34Z")

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> [@Love\_Rhombus](#):
>
> In theory, could they do enough damage to prevent a launch?

See _The Long Watch_ by Heinlein; set on the Moon, but deals with exactly this issue.

> **[The Long Watch](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Long_Watch)**
>
> "The Long Watch" is a science fiction short story by American writer Robert A. Heinlein. It is about a military officer who faces a coup d'état by a would-be dictator.
> Originally titled "Rebellion on the Moon", the story originally appeared in an edited version in the December 1949 American Legion Magazine. It also featured in April 1955 Nebula Science Fiction Number 12, illustrated by John J. Greengrass. It appears in Heinlein's short story collections The Green Hills of Earth and The Past Thro...

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**Author:** ![Magiver](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/4491bb/32.png) [@Magiver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Magiver)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4752 "2023-06-24T16:42:15Z")

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> [@What\_Exit](#):
>
> **Moderating:**  
> Not the thread for such speculation. Please drop the subject or take it to another thread.

This thread is full of speculation regarding current events. Right now there is an active attempt at deposing Putin. What are your specific guidelines for moderating comments on current events?

I’m looking for clarification to better understand.

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**Author:** ![FloatyGimpy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/floatygimpy/32/7750_2.png) [@FloatyGimpy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FloatyGimpy)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4753 "2023-06-24T16:57:12Z")

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I would like to see these updates in this thread rather than having to try to keep up with three (or more) for the same thing.

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**Author:** ![JacobSwan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/a6a055/32.png) [@JacobSwan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JacobSwan)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4754 "2023-06-24T16:59:27Z")

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The soviets designed their motorways for rapid troop deployment to put down dissent. Unfortunately it means they are also very useful for getting troops and tanks into the heart of Moscow.

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**Author:** ![Al128](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/al128/32/16541_2.png) [@Al128](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Al128)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4755 "2023-06-24T17:04:07Z")

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> [@Horatius](#):
>
> [Reddit - Dive into anything](https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/14homfg/reaction_from_the_frontline_to_the_news_from/)

[https://twitter.com/russophileLs/status/1672588355366797312/photo/1](https://twitter.com/russophileLs/status/1672588355366797312/photo/1)

jokes aside - what in a situation like this is more important than military assets is _MOMENTUM_ …

there is no status quo in this current situation - you either gain momentum or you lose it … and it seems Wagner is gaining momentum, and Putin is losing momentum …

(akin to the napoleon example upthread)

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**Author:** ![Si\_Amigo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/si_amigo/32/2877_2.png) [@Si\_Amigo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Si_Amigo)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4756 "2023-06-24T17:05:23Z")

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So where is the Russian Air Force that should be strafing the Wagner column?

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4757 "2023-06-24T17:06:36Z")

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Watching and waiting…

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**Author:** ![CoolHandCox](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/coolhandcox/32/16233_2.png) [@CoolHandCox](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CoolHandCox)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4758 "2023-06-24T17:08:33Z")

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Reuters stating the convoy headed to Moscow is led by [Dmitry Utkin](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dmitry_Utkin), founder of the Wagner Group. Prigozhin said to be in a military HQ/bunker in Rostov.

Not sure how to embed a picture in this post, but link below - it’s worth looking at. Don’t see that guy surrendering.

> "Wagner's convoy heading to Moscow is led by its founder Utkin" — Reuters [pic.twitter.com/fCUwQu1Nbh](https://t.co/fCUwQu1Nbh)
> 
> — MAKS 23 👀🇺🇦 (@Maks\_NAFO\_FELLA) [June 24, 2023](https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1672646761049980930?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)

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**Author:** ![Johnny\_L.A](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_l.a/32/1084_2.png) [@Johnny\_L.A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_L.A)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4759 "2023-06-24T17:13:32Z")

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He reminds me of Michael Berryman.

[![](https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-OCjUG5y4SZM/W67NSBys4uI/AAAAAAAAryE/T__l4p3Hih83kFbT4150qDY2fhGwSnQowCLcBGAs/s1600/berryman%2B2.jpg) ](https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-OCjUG5y4SZM/W67NSBys4uI/AAAAAAAAryE/T__l4p3Hih83kFbT4150qDY2fhGwSnQowCLcBGAs/s1600/berryman%2B2.jpg)

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**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4760 "2023-06-24T17:17:06Z")

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From [CNN](https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-06-24-23/h_1f1e23ceb4e8d3998ecb1d876994343a):

> Ukraine claims it has taken back territory in the east that was held by Russia since it annexed Crimea in 2014.
> 
> According to military officials in Tavria in southeastern Ukraine, Ukrainian forces have captured “territories near Krasnohorivka in Donetsk” and are continuing to advance, state media Ukrinform reports.
> 
> Another Ukrainian official claimed that Russian forces had been pushed out of the area about a week ago, but the information was not made public for “tactical reasons.”
> 
> Ukrainian forces claim to have taken the area prior to the apparent Wagner insurrection but only announced it Saturday.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CoolHandCox](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/coolhandcox/32/16233_2.png) [@CoolHandCox](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CoolHandCox)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4761 "2023-06-24T17:32:40Z")

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Can’t confirm, but Belarus has been negotiating with Wagner Group to stand down. That appears to be real, but can’t tell if a deal has been made, as is being suggested.

Generally speaking, I don’t see a way out of this if Prigozhin is not allowed to keep his troops, and I can’t see Putin allowing that. It’s hard to imagine what a deal might look like.

edit: very recently, **it does appear Wagner will stand down**. Per Wagner Telegram channel. Confirmed by NYT.

> ⚡️Prigozhin says Wagner will stop march on Moscow and withdraw to military field camps.
> 
> — The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) [June 24, 2023](https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1672658401271115779?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![FrenchDunadan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frenchdunadan/32/5449_2.png) [@FrenchDunadan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FrenchDunadan)\
**Post date:** [June 24, 2023, 5:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/russia-invades-ukraine-2022-02-24-part-2/973972/4762 "2023-06-24T17:33:32Z")

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Yes, and French reporters filmed some more on the outskirt of Moscow.

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