# SDMB NFL Pick 'em and survival leagues

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Tags:** football-nfl\
**Created:** [August 27, 2024, 8:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324 "2024-08-27T20:12:04Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [August 27, 2024, 8:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/1 "2024-08-27T20:12:04Z")

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[Last year’s thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues-2023) which I will mostly just be repeating here.

Those of you who played last year should have an invite in your e-mail or you can sign up through the information in the thread. Survival leagues don’t have a re-invite option so you’ll have to sign up for that separately.

To everyone else:  
Everyone is invited to play - it’s not like fantasy football where you have head to head matchups every week, everyone plays against the whole league, so if you end up dropping out mid-season it’s not a big deal. So try anything you want.

Pick 'em:

In NFL Pick 'em leagues, each player predicts the outcome of every NFL game. There are three different types, and we run all three. You can join any or all of them.

Straight up: You simply pick the winner of each game, and get a point if correct.

Spread: A spread is determined for a game (like with sports betting), where one team has a certain amount of points given to them, and you have to pick the game with that adjustment taken into account.

Confidence: The most complex one, but in my view also the most fun. There are no spreads, so you pick the winner straight up. But you get a confidence value you can assign to every game, 1 through the number of games being played that weekend, and can only use each number once. So if there are 16 games that weekend, you’ll assign the confidence number 16 to the game where the outcome seems most clear to you, 15 for the next one, all the way down to 1 for the one you’re least sure of. If you pick correctly, the confidence value of your pick is added to your weekly score. If you only play one league, I suggest the confidence league.

Survival:  
Each player picks one team that has to win each week. If your picked team fails to win, you get a strike. You can only use each team once. Three strikes and you’re out.

These leagues can hold up to 50 players each, so we’re not really at risk for filling up, and you’re competing against the whole league, not one other team per week like fantasy football, so it’s not a big deal if you end up dropping out. I’d like for everyone to play all the way through the season, but it won’t hurt anyone if you don’t, so feel free to sign up if you’re only a little interested. The more the merrier.

[Sign up page for pick 'em](https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/register/joingroup)  
[Sign up page for survival](https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/survival/register/joinprivategroup/)

The password on all groups is cecil. The group numbers are:

Straight pick 'em: 29491  
Spread: 29494  
Confidence: 29505

Survival: 19749

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**Author:** ![Frosted\_Glass](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frosted_glass/32/3926_2.png) [@Frosted\_Glass](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frosted_Glass)\
**Post date:** [August 27, 2024, 9:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/2 "2024-08-27T21:17:16Z")

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Back in!

Thanks, @SenorBeef!

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**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\
**Post date:** [September 3, 2024, 4:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/3 "2024-09-03T16:33:48Z")

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I just now realized I missed this. Thanks, Beef!

Oh, and Bump!

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [September 3, 2024, 9:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/4 "2024-09-03T21:48:18Z")

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We currently have many fewer people signed up for the leagues than we usually do and I’m not sure why. Last year pick em, confidence, and spread had 18, 17, and 15 teams but so far we’re at 10, 5, 10. Survival last year had 24, this year 14.

I invited everyone through yahoo and posted a link to this thread in last year’s thread. That’s usually enough to get us up to our normal numbers.

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**Author:** ![garygnu](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/garygnu/32/2924_2.png) [@garygnu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/garygnu)\
**Post date:** [September 5, 2024, 12:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/5 "2024-09-05T00:12:41Z")

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I’m and made all my picks right away, but forgot to pick a survival game. Glad I checked.

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [September 5, 2024, 11:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/6 "2024-09-05T11:20:45Z")

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Get your Thursday game picks in. I mean, you may as well do them all, but the Thursday game at least.

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**Author:** ![dalej42](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@dalej42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dalej42)\
**Post date:** [September 5, 2024, 12:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/7 "2024-09-05T12:24:44Z")

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Just signed up for all, will have picks in before kickoff tonight

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [September 8, 2024, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/8 "2024-09-08T19:57:19Z")

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44% of Yahoo picked Cincinatti as their survival pick (as did I) and we all lost. I thought this might be devastating to this league, but turns out nope, you guys mostly skillfully avoided that game. Only 4 out of out of 17 of us picked it.

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**Author:** ![garygnu](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/garygnu/32/2924_2.png) [@garygnu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/garygnu)\
**Post date:** [September 9, 2024, 12:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/9 "2024-09-09T00:13:34Z")

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That felt like a trap game right out of the gate.

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [September 9, 2024, 12:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/10 "2024-09-09T12:18:40Z")

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> [@SenorBeef](#):
>
> 44% of Yahoo picked Cincinatti as their survival pick (as did I) and we all lost.

I’m in a survivor pool on Draft Kings. 30% of the entries had the Bengals, and they are gone. There are over 64k entries in that pool at 10 bucks a pop. My odds of winning just jumped dramatically. Of course, so did many others…

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [September 15, 2024, 8:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/11 "2024-09-15T20:25:56Z")

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Alright so nevermind about this whole survival thing. The most popular survival pick (across yahoo) lost twice in a row. The rest of you were smarter than average since only 3 of us picked Baltimore compared to 29% of yahoo users.

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [September 23, 2024, 12:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/12 "2024-09-23T00:12:24Z")

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Well I did it. Three strikes in three weeks. A perfect season. Madtheswine joined me in this feat. Four people have two strikes.

It was a massacre today. Four players took the big favorite Tampa Bay bucs against Denver. Three of us chose the Cleveland Browns against NYG. Three took the raiders against Carolina. One non-pick. All strikes.

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**Author:** ![dalej42](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@dalej42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dalej42)\
**Post date:** [September 23, 2024, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/13 "2024-09-23T01:26:04Z")

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I’m stunned at the Tampa Bay result, I had this as a lock.

Good thing I don’t bet NFL football for stakes greater than a pitcher of beer.

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**Author:** ![garygnu](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/garygnu/32/2924_2.png) [@garygnu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/garygnu)\
**Post date:** [September 23, 2024, 1:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/14 "2024-09-23T01:33:38Z")

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I had a week 3 Survival pick, but the app forgot it or something.

But whatever. This season sucks. I though week 2 was a tough one.

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**Author:** ![CreaseMunky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/f475e1/32.png) [@CreaseMunky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CreaseMunky)\
**Post date:** [October 7, 2024, 9:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/15 "2024-10-07T21:03:15Z")

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My Survival seasons seem to end in one of three ways- get bounced in the playoffs, get bounced in Week 9, get bounced in Week 5.

Me and my Acid Trip Picks will see you next year.

Stupid 49ers

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [October 7, 2024, 9:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/16 "2024-10-07T21:35:27Z")

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> [@CreaseMunky](#):
>
> Stupid 49ers

I’m out as well.

Stupid Seahawks.

Good luck to everyone who’s still alive!

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**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\
**Post date:** [October 8, 2024, 2:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/17 "2024-10-08T02:05:49Z")

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Congrats to the Indiana Poidogs (not sure who that is) as the only poster without a single wrong pick this year so far. Well done!

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**Author:** ![Frosted\_Glass](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frosted_glass/32/3926_2.png) [@Frosted\_Glass](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frosted_Glass)\
**Post date:** [October 8, 2024, 7:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/18 "2024-10-08T19:14:58Z")

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This was a rough year in Survivor but I think I enjoy the chaotic years more than the straightforward ones.

Indiana Poidogs is killing it!

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**Author:** ![Jegpeg](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f475e1/32.png) [@Jegpeg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jegpeg)\
**Post date:** [October 15, 2024, 7:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/19 "2024-10-15T07:01:34Z")

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Somehow managed to get every pick right this week.

What I don’t like about the scoring system is I scored more points in week 1 dispite getting 4 results wrong including my most confident pick. Would prefer it if you gave 15 points down to 2 in bye weeks.

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**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2024, 12:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324/20 "2024-11-25T00:48:51Z")

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A great run is finally over. Indiana Poidogs lost their first Survivor pick of the year. Helluva run, and he still has a one loss lead over everyone else.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/1006324.md?page=2)
