# SDMB NFL Pick 'em and Survival leagues **URL:** \ **Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\ **Created:** [August 8, 2007, 2:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860 "2007-08-08T14:34:58Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 6
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [September 25, 2007, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/101 "2007-09-25T22:01:45Z")
Top scores this week: Straight up: 14 Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) (nice) 11 Blindfolded guesses(EsoEnigma), asterion, SeñorBeef’s Pain Train Confidence: 111 Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks 106 Varlos – Makin’ It Rain 105 asterion Spread: 9 Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks 8 asterion, soulmurk’s Stinkers, Hal’s Rabid Ferrets Top overall scores, unadjusted: Straight up: 35 Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) 32 Fear the Turtle, meek reeks, SeñorBeef’s Pain Train, Blindfolded guesses(EsoEnigma) Confidence: 314 Varlos – Makin’ It Rain 305 Hal’s Rabid Ferrets 295 meeks eeks! Spread: 24 SenorBeef’s 0 trans fat picks, Hal’s Rabid Ferrets 22 Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks, asterion Survival elimination: DEN vs JAX - bearflag70 ---
**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\ **Post date:** [September 29, 2007, 6:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/102 "2007-09-29T18:49:45Z")
Still waiting on: **SDMB Survival Football** SenorBeef Omni’s Crystal Balls Varlos & the Zzzzzzz’s Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) **SDMB Pick 'em** Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) I like to do well Omni’s Crystal Balls Dob SeñorBeef’s Pain Train **SDMB Pick 'em Confidence** Court Jesters Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks Varlos – Makin’ It Rain My dog picked these Omni’s Crystal Balls SenorBeef’s magic cheesecake **SDMB Pick 'em Spread** Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks Court Jesters Varlos the DVOA Pimp Omni’s Crystal Balls SenorBeef’s 0 trans fat picks ---
**Author:** ![D\_Odds](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/d_odds/32/2882_2.png) [@D\_Odds](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/D_Odds)\ **Post date:** [September 30, 2007, 3:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/103 "2007-09-30T03:57:20Z")
How did you catch me on Pick 'em Spread and Pick 'em Confidence, yet miss out on Pick 'em. I did all three simultaneously this evening. ---
**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\ **Post date:** [September 30, 2007, 2:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/104 "2007-09-30T14:43:29Z")
Man, I am having a compulsion to pick a lot of upsets this weekend. Maybe it’s because of the college games yesterday. Somebody stop me. ---
**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\ **Post date:** [September 30, 2007, 11:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/105 "2007-09-30T23:26:36Z")
[QUOTE=ShibbOleth] Man, I am having a compulsion to pick a lot of upsets this weekend. Maybe it’s because of the college games yesterday. Somebody stop me. [/QUOTE] Nevermind. Next time, someone encourage me. ---
**Author:** ![Labtrash](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/labtrash/32/528_2.png) [@Labtrash](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Labtrash)\ **Post date:** [October 1, 2007, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/106 "2007-10-01T00:40:45Z")
Winning formula: Take all my picks, then play the opposite of those picks. Trust me, you’ll have a great week. :smack: ---
**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\ **Post date:** [October 1, 2007, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/107 "2007-10-01T01:31:59Z")
Don’t feel badly, there are some doing much worse than you are this weekend. ---
**Author:** ![meek](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ce73a5/32.png) [@meek](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/meek)\ **Post date:** [October 1, 2007, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/108 "2007-10-01T01:55:28Z")
It was like watching a train wreck… One pick after another crashing in a big steaming pile of crap. I changed 4 picks at the last minute. All four WRONG. :smack: The rest I already had wrong. What a week. I guess that makes Cincy a lock for Monday night, cuz I took N.E. . ---
**Author:** ![Bearflag70](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/8e7dd6/32.png) [@Bearflag70](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bearflag70)\ **Post date:** [October 1, 2007, 3:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/109 "2007-10-01T03:41:16Z")
What’s interesting and frustrating about the Confidence game is that my picks are almost the same as Isotopes’ picks this week. The only difference in our straight up win-loss picks is that Isotopes picked Buf to beat NYJ and I did the opposite. With only 1 game difference on the straight up picks, Isotopes currently has 43 points (Rank 8/22), while I have 30 points (Rank 20/22). :smack: ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [October 2, 2007, 8:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/110 "2007-10-02T20:00:19Z")
Shibb’s reign of asskicking has begun. Top 3 scores this week Straight up: 11 Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) 10 I like to do well 9 SeñorBeef’s Pain Train Confidence: 91 Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks 76 My dog picked these 64 SenorBeef’s magic cheesecake Spread: 10 **Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks** , Varlos the DVOA Pimp 9 SenorBeef’s 0 trans fat picks Top 3 overall scores: Straight up: 46 Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) 41 SeñorBeef’s Pain Train 39 Blindfolded guesses(EsoEnigma), Hal’s Rabid Ferrets Confidence: 382 Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks 360 Hal’s Rabid Ferrets 359 Varlos – Makin’ It Rain Spread: 33 SenorBeef’s 0 trans fat picks 32 Shibb’s Unskilled Hacks, Hal’s Rabid Ferrets Survival eliminations: SDG vs KAN: Mad The Swine, Omni’s Crystal Balls, Stuffy’s picks HOU vs ATL: asterion 10 out of 26 still surviving. Technically 28, but 2 of those teams never made a pick so I’m not counting them. I removed Dob from the pick 'em league because he’s made 0 picks over 4 weeks. If he wants to start playing later in the season, as well as anyone else, feel free to join. You could still have fun and win individual weeks. ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [October 3, 2007, 9:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/111 "2007-10-03T09:51:32Z")
So I found a page detailing the “experts” at ESPN predicting games, like in our straight up league. > **[2023 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN](https://www.espn.com/nfl/picks?week=4&seasontype=2)** > > Visit ESPN to view NFL Expert Picks for the current week and season So, guess who’s smarter, the paid airbags at ESPN, or SDMBers? Top 5 ESPNers: 40 Schlereth 37 Mortensen, Jaworski 36 Wickersham 35 “Accuscore” - what’s that, a computer prediction model? SDMBers: 46 Shibb 41 Senorbeef 39 EsotericEnigma 38 “I like to do well” 36 meek Everyone in our top 5 is higher than their counterpart in ESPN’s top 5. To be fair, we’re working with more people to select the top scores from, and Ron Jaworski doesn’t pick the Monday night games because he does the commentary. In a semi-related note, props to Mortensen. In some preseason segment, he was asked about his “surprise fact” of the season. He said that the Cleveland Browns, 1-11 in divison games in the previous 2 years, were guaranteed locks to win 3 division games this year. After an embarassing failure against Pittsburgh, he stuck to his guns, and picked Cleveland against Cincinatti and Baltimore - the only one - and was right both times. Props. ---
**Author:** ![D\_Odds](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/d_odds/32/2882_2.png) [@D\_Odds](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/D_Odds)\ **Post date:** [October 3, 2007, 4:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/112 "2007-10-03T16:40:02Z")
[QUOTE=SenorBeef] I removed Dob from the pick 'em league because he’s made 0 picks over 4 weeks. If he wants to start playing later in the season, as well as anyone else, feel free to join. You could still have fun and win individual weeks. [/QUOTE] Great. Before that, I was always guaranteed at least one score worse than mine. No more. :mad: ---
**Author:** ![garygnu](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/garygnu/32/2924_2.png) [@garygnu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/garygnu)\ **Post date:** [October 3, 2007, 5:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/113 "2007-10-03T17:18:06Z")
[QUOTE=D\_Odds] Great. Before that, I was always guaranteed at least one score worse than mine. No more. :mad: [/QUOTE] Gimme a week… ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [October 6, 2007, 11:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/114 "2007-10-06T23:28:27Z")
Does anyone else think it’s totally wrong that Buffalo has the same spread (+10) vs Dallas as Tampa Bay has against a beat up Indy squad? I guess the swing due to home teams is 3 points in both cases, for 6 total. Must be a lot of Chicago homer bettors for them to be only getting 3 at Green Bay. And Tennessee is suddenly getting a little too much credit. Saturday night reminder (including survival league): Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) Court Jesters Omni’s Crystal Balls garygnu Deep Fried Demons Isotopes Varlos – Makin’ It Rain Mad The Swine ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [October 7, 2007, 4:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/115 "2007-10-07T16:29:48Z")
Varlos you forgot your survival pick. Garygnu also has picks in multiple leagues. ---
**Author:** ![ShibbOleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/848f3c/32.png) [@ShibbOleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShibbOleth)\ **Post date:** [October 7, 2007, 4:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/116 "2007-10-07T16:33:44Z")
Good luck today, everyone. I’m not feeling the huge upset love this week, although I think that there a few out there. Also, FWIW, Tampa Bay is a ten point dog because they lost their star RB and their veteran left tackle for the season. I think Indy will win, but not by 10 (although my spread picks are as weak as it gets, so take that with a grain of salt). And if Tampa Bay wins of course I’m happy. Shibb in Tampa ---
**Author:** ![Labtrash](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/labtrash/32/528_2.png) [@Labtrash](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Labtrash)\ **Post date:** [October 8, 2007, 2:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/117 "2007-10-08T14:32:37Z")
I liked this week much better than last week’s Crap-on-a-Stick Picks™! Last second field goal by Carolina: :smack: Last second field goal by Houston: 😃 I would have sworn this was Seattle’s week, too :mad: ---
**Author:** ![borschevsky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/97f17d/32.png) [@borschevsky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/borschevsky)\ **Post date:** [October 9, 2007, 3:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/118 "2007-10-09T15:14:02Z")
Finally a good week for me. I even had the top score in my fantasy league this week. Picking up the Houston kicker to cover a bye week turned out pretty well :D. ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [October 10, 2007, 12:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/119 "2007-10-10T00:24:28Z")
Top scores this week: Straight up: 12 **borschevsky** , Blindfolded guesses(EsoEnigma) 11 labtrash, Fear the Turtle Confidence: 96 **borschevsky** , Checkered Demon 95 Varlos – Makin’ It Rain Spread: 9 NurseCarmen 7 borschevsky, Mad The Swine, Blindfolded guesses(EsoEnigma), Varlos the DVOA Pimp Top overall unadjusted scores: Straight up: 52 Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) 51 Blindfolded guesses(EsoEnigma) 50 SeñorBeef’s Pain Train Confidence: 454 Varlos – Makin’ It Rain 447 Hal’s Rabid Ferrets 437 Checkered Demon Spread: 39 SenorBeef’s 0 trans fat picks 37 Varlos the DVOA Pimp, Hal’s Rabid Ferrets Survival eliminations: Varlos with no pick. ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [October 14, 2007, 3:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860/120 "2007-10-14T03:52:23Z")
Reminder: Unskilled Hacks (Shibb) (also survival) Omni’s Crystal Balls Varlos – Makin’ It Rain Kiros (survival) [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860.md?page=5) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/sdmb-nfl-pick-em-and-survival-leagues/414860.md?page=7)