# Senate races 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [January 28, 2025, 3:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534 "2025-01-28T15:04:17Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 56
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 6:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1102 "2026-10-31T18:37:50Z")
> [@DeadTreasSecretaries](#): > > The person I’m saying isn’t rational for her lack of support of the Democratic candidate is Stevens. > > I also think @Thing.Fish is wrong in case I didn’t already make that clear To be clear, I see where she is coming from but also think she is going about it the wrong way. And I also think that El Sayed is fumbling a very easy response. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 6:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1103 "2026-10-31T18:38:41Z")
> [@DSeid](#): > > I agree that applies to those who say fuck that guy in Iowa too. Yes, I agree with that too. In this election, after the primary, support Democrats in the general, period. ---
**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 6:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1104 "2026-10-31T18:52:13Z")
The fact people here have wasted much of a Saturday arguing about whether or not one specific candidate needs to denounce an ad that wasn’t even his, an ad placed by a person who specifically wanted this kind of disruption to the candidate’s campaign, shows that the troll did his job. Good going, y’all. Uygur would be proud. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 6:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1105 "2026-10-31T18:57:42Z")
Who is Unger? Do you mean Uygur? ---
**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 6:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1106 "2026-10-31T18:59:16Z")
Post fixed, but point still stands regardless of spelling. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 7:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1107 "2026-10-31T19:33:52Z")
> [@DeadTreasSecretaries](#): > > The Luz Cheney backlash was basically thecsame as the Carlson backlash. The difference is in the magnitude of how odious Cheney and Carlson are. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 7:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1108 "2026-10-31T19:36:59Z")
> [@Babale](#): > > I’m really curious as to what makes you say that. (Re my not thinking El-Sayeed is one of those using anti-Israel as a means to express and foment antisemitism.) Don’t want to to ignore stuff I breezed past. I have no reason to think so any more than anyone else who has said little on the subject. I presume not unless evidence to the contrary, and having antipathy to Israel is not such evidence. And FWIW strong support of Israel is not evidence against antisemitism. A decent number of Christian Zionists are both, for example. > [@Chronos](#): > > Antisemitism is completely unacceptable, and so I don’t want my elected officials doing anything antisemitic. Like, say, amplifying antisemitic messages. Fortunately, El-Sayed has chosen not to do so, even when others, like Stevens and yourself, are begging him to amplify antisemitism. I do not accept that ignoring hate speech out of fear of amplifying it is necessarily the best response to it. It sometimes is, I grant. And there are times it is a very bad choice, akin to be a bystander while someone else is bullied. Not explicitly cheering it on but easily interpreted as approval. To be very clear: Stevens is a tool in more than one meaning of the word. Rogers is awful. A Democratic Senate majority is within possible reach and is necessary to fight against major harms in our country and world. And the trolling works because it exploits a real calculation El-Sayeed has made. ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 7:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1109 "2026-10-31T19:40:20Z")
This is an interesting cite- > **[2026 CPR Senate Race ratings | Cook Political Report](https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings)** > > 2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings: current 7-point ratings (Solid D to Solid R) for all 35 Senate seats up in 2026, updated regularly by our nonpartisan analysts. This is good news- [https://www.nj.com/politics/2026/10/who-will-win-the-senate-new-poll-shows-dems-with-a-chance-to-flip-it.html](https://www.nj.com/politics/2026/10/who-will-win-the-senate-new-poll-shows-dems-with-a-chance-to-flip-it.html) > New CNN polling found that Democrats have a strong chance of flipping the Senate with just days to go before Election Day. > > [The CNN polls,](https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-maine-texas-kansas-senate-races-midterms-vis "https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-maine-texas-kansas-senate-races-midterms-vis")released Thursday, showed that Democratic candidates had leads in Michigan and Texas, and were neck-and-neck with the GOP candidates in Maine and Kansas. The poll results came after President [Donald Trump](https://www.nj.com/topic/donald-trump/ "https://www.nj.com/topic/donald-trump/") spent weeks [rallying for GOP candidates](https://www.nj.com/politics/2026/10/trump-is-hitting-the-road-1-week-before-the-midterms-heres-where-hes-campaigning.html "https://www.nj.com/politics/2026/10/trump-is-hitting-the-road-1-week-before-the-midterms-heres-where-hes-campaigning.html") in traditionally Republican states. ---
**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 11:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1110 "2026-10-31T23:19:13Z")
Haley Stevens former campaign spokesperson lambasts her and her fiance for their anti-AES (and pro-MAGA Mike Rogers) meltdown: > **[Jake Grumbach (@jakemgrumbach.bsky.social)](https://bsky.app/profile/jakemgrumbach.bsky.social/post/3mz6t4kacgc2z)** > > From Haley Stevens’ campaign spokesperson 🍿🍿🍿 ---
**Author:** ![Chefguy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chefguy/32/138_2.png) [@Chefguy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chefguy)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 11:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1111 "2026-10-31T23:37:32Z")
Apparently FBI agents and other DOJ people are traveling to parts of Alaska and knocking on doors and asking people about how they’ve voted. I can tell you that this is a really wrong tactic to try out up there, especially in small towns like Sitka, where this has happened. You’re as likely to have a gun stuck in your face as you are to get an answer to your question. ---
**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2026, 11:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1112 "2026-10-31T23:43:48Z")
Even for government agents under a conservative administration? ---
**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 12:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1113 "2026-11-01T00:15:25Z")
People in general are more likely to be open about who they are _going_ to vote for than about who they _did_ vote for, regardless of where they are. The former is just a prognostication while the latter seems like a violation of the secret ballot. ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 12:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1114 "2026-11-01T00:16:55Z")
Correct. Alaskans are typically libertarian, or just get-away-from-government-and-everything-else types (other than the $1,300-ish oil revenue annual handout). Not really “conservative,” necessarily. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 12:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1115 "2026-11-01T00:27:17Z")
> [@Chefguy](#): > > Apparently FBI agents and other DOJ people are traveling to parts of Alaska and knocking on doors and asking people about how they’ve voted. Is there a source for this apparently? I can find some other door knocking but not that. This - [https://apnews.com/article/alaska-senate-sullivan-peltola-justice-department-25a71add61272c6b01897a645366b1cc](https://apnews.com/article/alaska-senate-sullivan-peltola-justice-department-25a71add61272c6b01897a645366b1cc) is the closest? ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1116 "2026-11-01T00:51:16Z")
This SNL skit perfectly captures my feelings about this election: [![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/OdNNjCHGixE/maxresdefault.jpg "Midterm Ad - SNL") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OdNNjCHGixE) ---
**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 1:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1117 "2026-11-01T01:09:20Z")
> [@Chefguy](#): > > You’re as likely to have a gun stuck in your face as you are to get an answer to your question. Even if the answer is, “None of your goddam business?” ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 4:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1118 "2026-11-01T04:00:34Z")
My final prediction is that Dems will control 53 or 54 seats. Worse case scenario: a 53-47 Senate. But the ceiling seems to be 54-46. I think Dems win OH, MI, ME, KS, GA, TX, NC, AK and all the usuals. If things swing even further blue, we pick up IA, but that’s it. I’m basing these predictions on Nate Silver’s current polling averages. IA still remains the only real wildcard tossup, imo. ---
**Author:** ![Chefguy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chefguy/32/138_2.png) [@Chefguy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chefguy)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 1:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1119 "2026-11-01T13:19:24Z")
> [@JKellyMap](#): > > Correct. Alaskans are typically libertarian, or just get-away-from-government-and-everything-else types (other than the $1,300-ish oil revenue annual handout). Not really “conservative,” necessarily. Yeah, it’s an odd place. Nationally, it votes red. But locally it’s surprisingly diverse, with Anchorage having both R and D mayors and governors when we lived there, and a divided legislature that actually worked together. > [@DSeid](#): > > Is there a source for this apparently? A reporter for CNN interviewed a woman who had an agent knock on her door in Sitka and ask about her vote. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 2:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1120 "2026-11-01T14:10:18Z")
> [@Happy\_Lendervedder](#): > > I think Dems win OH, MI, ME, KS, GA, TX, NC, AK and all the usuals. I don’t trust MI or ME. And I have no better than 50% confidence in TX or KS. OH, GA and NC are safe, and I think AK will still go to Peltola after this Decoy Dan nonsense. I think that makes it 49D-47R with 4 toss-ups (MI, ME, TX, KS). I think if I had to bet I’d say 51D-49R (Collins holds on once again and El-Sayed comes up achingly short, but KS and TX come through). ---
**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2026, 2:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1121 "2026-11-01T14:34:21Z")
I predict 56-44 Dem with D pickups in ME, OH, IA, TX, MS, AK, KS, NC, and SC. In the cases of TX, SC, KS, and OH- this is largely due to Republicans putting up terrible candidates. Add to that the own goals on inflation and Iran and you have the makings of a massive blue tsunami. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534.md?page=55) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534.md?page=57)