# Senate races 2026

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [January 28, 2025, 3:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534 "2025-01-28T15:04:17Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 71

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 4:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1402 "2026-11-03T04:05:55Z")

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> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> I think Stevens realized as a Democratic Moderate she was closer to the Republican platform than the extreme progressive agenda of El-Sayed.

Nonsense.

> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> Medicare for all,

What do you mean by this? El Sayed’s single player plan is indeed further left than what most Democrats support, but that’s not really where the party is, so I’m not clear on why Stevens would feel not at home among the Democrats over that issue. Like most Democrats, Stevens doesn’t support a single payer Medicare for All system, but she DOES support a public option.

> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> Boys taking away scholarship opportunities from girls

Not a thing.

> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> Boys changing in girls lockerrooms,

Also not a thing.

> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> student loan forgiveness

Like most Democrats, she supports some level of assistance and forgiveness for student loans, but not across the board wiping out of the debt. Why is she supposed to feel out of place over that either?

> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> open borders

Not a thing.

> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> elimination of ICE,

An idiotic slogan that I’ve been on the record criticizing, but I think that very very few Democrats actually want to _abolish_ ICE. It’s “Defund the Police” all over again. If anyone should feel out of place in the party over this issue, it’s El Sayed.

It’s pretty clear that her issue is with El Sayed, not the Democratic party as a whole.

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 4:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1403 "2026-11-03T04:19:32Z")

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> [@Mighty\_Mouse](#):
>
> It’s greatest hits time!

I knew it was a bad to stop sniffing glue!

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**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 4:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1404 "2026-11-03T04:19:35Z")

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What’s all this about stealing bananas, then?

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 4:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1405 "2026-11-03T04:22:15Z")

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Moderating:

> [@notfrommensa](#):
>
> I think Stevens realized as a Democratic Moderate she was closer to the Republican platform than the extreme progressive agenda of El-Sayed. Medicare for all, Boys taking away scholarship opportunities from girls, Boys changing in girls lockerrooms, student loan forgiveness, open borders, elimination of ICE, etc

Do not laundry-list your hobby horse assertions in a thread that has nothing to do with what you’re talking about. You appear to be posting solely for the purpose of angering other posters and providing no supporting evidence or citations for your claims.

If you continue with this trolling behavior, you will receive formal warnings, possibly be banned from the thread or even suspended.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 4:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1406 "2026-11-03T04:30:05Z")

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Moderating:

This is a permanent formal warning and suspension from this thread as well as a suspension from the board for a period of time while we discuss your future posting privileges.

> [@ZosterSandstorm](#):
>
> Worry not. The guy running an ad reaching out to Tucker Carlson fans is still the nominee in Michigan, and Graham Platner, Totenkopf and all, was full speed ahead as the nominee in Maine until the number of rape victims became too big to ignore. This before getting into what the average Dearborn voter or Ilhan Omar constituent thinks about the Banana-Stealing People. The coalition definitely includes some pencil mustache aspirants. But not Haley Stevens, anymore.

You are back to using virtually the identical troll-like language you were mod-noted yesterday by me to stop using. As I told you then, moderation would escalate. Now it has.

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 4:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1407 "2026-11-03T04:59:15Z")

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Nate Silver addressed this in a post the other day; briefly, if the polls are approximately correct, or have underestimated Democrats, we should have a confirmed majority in both houses tomorrow night. If that doesn’t happen, the polls have underestimated Republicans, although our lead in the polls is large enough that we can afford to underachieve significantly and still win in the end.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 5:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1408 "2026-11-03T05:04:15Z")

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Moderating:

> [@hajario](#):
>
> Are you for real? She’s the one who changed teams. If you think that the Democratic leadership are being hypocrites here, you are delusional

This is a personal attack. You know better. Don’t do this again.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 5:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1409 "2026-11-03T05:08:18Z")

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This thread has gotten very heated with the El Sayed/Stevens thing.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 5:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1410 "2026-11-03T05:22:49Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> Nate Sliver’s penultimate model shows an 81.5% chance of the Dems taking the Senate with the two most likely outcomes being 53 or 54 seats. This is a high water mark. He’ll run one more model at around midnight (EST?).
> 
> (The House is at 96.4%)

The final projection is 82.4% for the Senate and 96.4% for the house)

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**Author:** ![dtilque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d6d6ee/32.png) [@dtilque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dtilque)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 5:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1411 "2026-11-03T05:24:08Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> This thread has gotten very heated with the El Sayed/Stevens thing.

Yes, and I wish they’d knock off the discussion about those two. Come on, it’s Election Day, Dixville Notch has probably already voted, and they’ll be cueing up the theme from Hawaii Five-0 soon. I can hear the drums already…

> **[Classic TV Theme: Hawaii 5-O +Bonus!](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WViNyoIYkAc%2F)**
>
> Airing from 1968 to 1980, 'Hawaii Five-O' focused on a fictional statewide law-enforcement team, headed up by Steve McGarrett. Viewers came for the scenery a...

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 5:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1412 "2026-11-03T05:54:52Z")

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> [@Chronos](#):
>
> > [@puzzlegal](#):
> >
> > CA and AZ take a long time because… It’s a little unclear to my why, but they do.
> 
> One obvious factor with California is just that it’s big.
> 
> Though that should also come with a correspondingly amount of people and infrastructure for vote-counting.

This is true but most of the CA races are walkovers. There will be no more than a small few House races that we won’t know by the end of tomorrow.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 6:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1413 "2026-11-03T06:05:47Z")

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The great Andy Borowitz reports:

**Susan Collins Troubled and Concerned About Getting Ass Kicked**

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 6:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1414 "2026-11-03T06:30:45Z")

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> [@Thing.Fish](#):
>
> Susan Collins Troubled and Concerned About Getting Ass Kicked

I’m trying to imagine what will make me the happiest if it happens tomorrow night. Susan Collins losing is certainly in the top three.

Texas going blue would also be sweet.

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 6:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1415 "2026-11-03T06:44:24Z")

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> [@Procrustus](#):
>
> Texas going blue would also be sweet.

That would be the crown jewel for me. It’s more likely than some other races, but even as a cynic who is still not certain it will happen, it would make me happiest. I have several very liberal friends in or from Texas and they’re used to being shut out despite most of the big metro areas shading blue. I’d be thrilled for them to get a win.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 6:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1416 "2026-11-03T06:58:41Z")

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The last Democrat to be elected Senator in Texas was Lloyd Bentsen in 1988.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 7:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1417 "2026-11-03T07:44:42Z")

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I’ve been in Texas for all of my 54 years, and in my house here in far north DFW for 20 years. Talarico’s is only the second yard sign I’ve put out in that time, so like someone said above, I have my fingers crossed so hard that they’re hurting.

If he does pull it off, I can not WAIT to hear the crying and bitching about all the “cheating” and how it was “rigged by the Democrats”, in a state where Republicans have controlled every branch of government for three decades.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 7:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1418 "2026-11-03T07:56:48Z")

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Whatever the reason, she chose to embrace the party of white supremacism and rape.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 10:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1419 "2026-11-03T10:39:17Z")

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> [@Tamerlane](#):
>
> That would be the crown jewel for me. It’s more likely than some other races, but even as a cynic who is still not certain it will happen, it would make me happiest.

Same here. Partly because Talarico seems so good at his job. If he can show Texas that Democrats really aren’t the terrifying monsters the right makes them out to be, he might have, in future years, coattails.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1420 "2026-11-03T11:51:09Z")

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Okay, thanks. So the NYT is just being click-baity. Rant for another thread. I’ll be out at a dance this evening, but I’m sure i won’t be able to restrain myself from checking the results from time to time. I’ll have friends handy-by to hug either way.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Nicest\_of\_the\_Damned](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/8baadc/32.png) [@Nicest\_of\_the\_Damned](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nicest_of_the_Damned)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2026, 11:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1421 "2026-11-03T11:51:09Z")

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> [@romansperson](#):
>
> The Associated Press has a pretty good tracker (though I usually watch the NYT’s tracker)

New York Times political coverage is currently free, without a subscription, for anyone interested.

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