# Senate races 2026 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [January 28, 2025, 3:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534 "2025-01-28T15:04:17Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 82
**Author:** ![Gorsnak](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gorsnak/32/7587_2.png) [@Gorsnak](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorsnak)\ **Post date:** [November 8, 2026, 3:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1622 "2026-11-08T03:59:53Z")
My basic extrapolation run on the Alaska vote counts only predicts Peltola gaining a couple thousand votes, which I don’t think puts her past 50%. So that’s not at all conclusive. However, if you like Sullivan’s chances you can buy Sullivan to win for 3¢ on the dollar on Kalshi or for 1.5¢ on Polymarket. ---
**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\ **Post date:** [November 8, 2026, 4:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1623 "2026-11-08T04:02:02Z")
Just think how discounted betting on Dan J Sullivan would be! ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [November 8, 2026, 8:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1624 "2026-11-08T20:16:52Z")
Buying yesterday’s winning lottery ticket tends to go at a premium. Yesterday’s losing tickets? Not so much. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 3:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1625 "2026-11-10T15:17:10Z")
Looking forward to today’s drop in the Alaska race. This is something like a quarter of all votes and the vast bulk of the outstanding. Should have a decent idea by sometime later today … ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 3:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1626 "2026-11-10T15:25:13Z")
Do we have an eta? ---
**Author:** ![LSLGuy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lslguy/32/5813_2.png) [@LSLGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/LSLGuy)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 4:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1627 "2026-11-10T16:32:42Z")
They’re 4 hours earlier than the US east coast, and 1 earlier than the US west coast. Decent bet it’ll be close to normal close of business Alaska time. Presumably they’d want as long as possible during today’s working day to make progress counting & double check, write their press releases, record their vids, etc. then have the big reveal all at once via all media types. So probably well after dinner for us east coasters. _Probably._ ---
**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 5:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1628 "2026-11-10T17:14:19Z")
If it’s announced at 5pm their time that would be 9pm EST. ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 5:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1629 "2026-11-10T17:27:43Z")
> [@LSLGuy](#): > > They’re 4 hours earlier than the US east coast, and 1 earlier than the US west coast. I think you mean “later”? ---
**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 5:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1630 "2026-11-10T17:34:45Z")
You could phrase it either way. It’s certainly earlier in Alaska than New York. On the other hand, 5:00 pm comes later there. ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1631 "2026-11-10T17:44:10Z")
> [@Procrustus](#): > > You could phrase it either way. I’ve never heard someone say the west coast was earlier than the east coast, though you’re right that at any given time, the time itself is earlier. I’ve just never in my life heard someone say the time zone itself is earlier; EST is **always** said to be 3 hours earlier than PST. So the way LSLGuy phrased it was backwards. But phrased a different way, you could say that when they’re counting votes in Alaska it will be 4 hours earlier than the east coast. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1632 "2026-11-10T17:49:52Z")
I always use it the way @LSLGuy does. I’m in California if I’m taking to my friend in St Louis I’ll say that it’s two hours earlier here ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 5:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1633 "2026-11-10T17:51:38Z")
I was commenting on what seems to me to be a simple mistake, and I still believe it is, but I wasn’t trying to turn it into a whole conversation, as this is a thread on Senate races and not time zones. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 6:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1634 "2026-11-10T18:06:20Z")
MS released a small number of ballots to the count and Colom’s lead increased slightly to 2575. Still going in the right direction. ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 6:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1635 "2026-11-10T18:13:58Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > MS released a small number of ballots to the count and Colom’s lead increased slightly to 2575. That’s the race I’m anxious about, because AFAIK that one should be close to being decided, and there’s little chance of a recount because it’s really difficult to get one. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 6:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1636 "2026-11-10T18:21:20Z")
Yes. They are still accepting mail-ins until the end of today which might be 5pm local time. I’ll leave it to the reader what that means in California 😃 ---
**Author:** ![fachverwirrt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/94ad74/32.png) [@fachverwirrt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fachverwirrt)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 6:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1637 "2026-11-10T18:29:17Z")
I saw an update on Threads that there was a new vote dump in Mississippi. Hyde-Smith got 100% of the reported votes. It was one vote. ---
**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 6:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1638 "2026-11-10T18:45:08Z")
Some dump. 🙂 ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 6:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1639 "2026-11-10T18:50:03Z")
Not a dump. It’s a number one. A dump is number two. But any vote for her is shitty. ---
**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 8:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1640 "2026-11-10T20:36:55Z")
AK- Peltota (D)= 106,321, GOP =103,804. MS- Moore (D) =468,020, GOP- 465,445. > **[Why clarity in Mississippi Senate election could come by week's end](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/11/10/mississippi-senate-election-results-could-come-soon/92707245007/)** > > With deadlines approaching in Mississippi's process of counting and reporting votes, the state's Senate election outcome could be clear very soon. > With multiple deadlines approaching in Mississippi’s process of counting and reporting votes, it’s possible the [state’s Senate election outcome](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/11/09/when-will-mississippi-alaska-senate-elections-be-called/92691597007/) could [become clear by the end of the week](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/11/04/alaska-mississippi-senate-elections-results-timeline/92613073007/), especially if one candidate has a significant margin. > > Mississippi Democratic challenger Scott Colom was narrowly leading incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith as of 2:55 p.m. ET on Nov. 10, with a margin of about 2,700 votes in a race with almost 1 million votes, or 99% of the total vote counted, according to [results from USA TODAY](https://www.usatoday.com/elections/results/2026-11-03/us/ms/). ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 10, 2026, 10:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534/1641 "2026-11-10T22:46:02Z")
That Alaska result includes apparently some that dropped yesterday that went 68 to 30% Peltola. > **[Peltola widens narrow Alaska Senate lead over Sullivan as counting continues...](https://apple.news/AosE7UoyqTDyqe_9h_aX0RA)** > > Mary Peltola's lead over Dan Sullivan grew to 2,517 votes after Monday's ballot drop, but tens of thousands of absentee ballots remain uncounted. If it keeps at that rate she may hit it tonight. 🤞 [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534.md?page=81) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/senate-races-2026/1013534.md?page=83)