# Share your 2024 electoral map prediction **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 2, 2024, 7:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591 "2024-11-02T19:16:16Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![griffin1977](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/977dab/32.png) [@griffin1977](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/griffin1977)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2024, 7:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/1 "2024-11-02T19:16:16Z")
You can create your own at [www.270towin.com](http://www.270towin.com) here’s mine. A teensy bit of wishful thinking (calling Florida is for my mental health as much as anything. Can you imagine how joyful and stress free the rest of election night will be if Florida is called for the Dems early on?) But I do genuinely think the polls are greatly underestimating Harris’s advantage: [270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map](https://www.270towin.com/maps/nVzrY) Image here… [![](https://www.270towin.com/maps/zzWxw.png) ](https://www.270towin.com/maps/zzWxw.png) Put your prediction below with as much or as little commentary as you see fit… (Edit: I forgot to flip PA 😉 Hopefully Harris does not make this mistake) ---
**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2024, 8:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/2 "2024-11-02T20:00:45Z")
I have a hard time seeing how Florida could turn blue if Texas stays red, considering Florida is even redder than Texas these days. I won’t post a map, but I played around with it and my prediction is simple, that Harris sweeps all 7 swing states and wins 319 EVs. ---
**Author:** ![Roderick\_Femm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/roderick_femm/32/14875_2.png) [@Roderick\_Femm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Roderick_Femm)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2024, 9:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/3 "2024-11-02T21:35:03Z")
Is there any chance we can move this to Politics and keep it out of IMHO? I stay out of that forum so that I don’t have to see stuff like this. This is worse than trying to avoid Christmas. ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2024, 9:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/4 "2024-11-02T21:37:21Z")
Moderating: > [@Roderick\_Femm](#): > > Is there any chance we can move this to Politics and keep it out of IMHO? I stay out of that forum so that I don’t have to see stuff like this. I think this is a fair ask. Moving. ---
**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2024, 9:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/5 "2024-11-02T21:46:15Z")
Here we go: > **[270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map](https://www.270towin.com/maps/xzD6B)** > > Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential election ---
**Author:** ![pkbites](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pkbites/32/204_2.png) [@pkbites](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pkbites)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2024, 9:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/6 "2024-11-02T21:58:30Z")
Tough call to make. Can I get back to you next Thursday? Put a gun to my head and I say the Electoral College is going to tie. Trump will win/lose everything he did in 2020 except he will flip Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. He will also win back the one electoral vote he lost in Nebraska. 269-269 May you live in interesting times! ---
**Author:** ![E-DUB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/e-dub/32/403_2.png) [@E-DUB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/E-DUB)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2024, 10:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/7 "2024-11-02T22:27:41Z")
Democrats retain a 50/50 split in the Senate (who under the split EC scenario selects the VP). With Harris casting the tie-breaking vote, Tim Walz becomes VP. Dems narrowly retake the House, but do not control a majority of House delegations. Speaker Jeffries refuses to hold a vote for President (knowing it would go to trump. January 20th comes around, no president is elected. VP elect Tim Walz becomes president. ---
**Author:** ![griffin1977](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/977dab/32.png) [@griffin1977](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/griffin1977)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 12:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/8 "2024-11-03T00:02:10Z")
> [@BobLibDem](#): > > Here we go: > > [270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map](https://www.270towin.com/maps/xzD6B) FYI if you put .png at the end of the URL it gives an image: [![](https://www.270towin.com/maps/xzD6B.png) ](https://www.270towin.com/maps/xzD6B.png) ---
**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 12:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/9 "2024-11-03T00:54:56Z")
Here’s mine — it reflects what I posted in another thread yesterday [![](https://www.270towin.com/maps/ODYJA.png) ](https://www.270towin.com/maps/ODYJA.png) I admit this is optimistic but I outlined my reasons here. My prediction for IA seems a little less crazy than it did yesterday. > [@2024 US general election prediction thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-general-election-prediction-thread/1007585/112): > > Here is my most optimistic prediction. Harris 308 EV Trump 230 EV Harris keeps all the blue wall states and picks up IA. She keeps GA (not at all sure about this, but I’m staying optimistic) and picks up NC. She loses AZ and NV. Optimist reason 1 — [Maps](https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/trump-harris-donors-zip-code-map/) showing donor data in a very granular way. Harris is doing really well in the states I think she’ll pick up, in some cases the numbers are comparable to those in blue states (this is why I’m predicting a surprise pickup in IA.). Those maps r… For this that don’t want to click through to the thread, my opinion was heavily informed by small donor data and a few new Marist polls that had data on people that had already voted vs. likely voters that haven’t voted yet. ---
**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 1:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/10 "2024-11-03T01:10:30Z")
Thank you. I suck at embedding stuff. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/11 "2024-11-03T02:04:49Z")
I am 75% certain this will be the map, not that it is what I want. [![](https://www.270towin.com/maps/wzYrP.png) ](https://www.270towin.com/maps/wzYrP.png) Harris will lose MI and thus the election. ---
**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/12 "2024-11-03T02:09:48Z")
I believe you may be overestimating the Michigan Muslim anti-Biden/Harris vote and underestimating the anger of the women voter over the demise of Roe. Don’t forget in 2022 Whitmer cruised to victory along with the SoS and AG. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/13 "2024-11-03T02:13:07Z")
Whitmer wasn’t pissing off Arab/Muslim Americans by continuing to arm Israel. I’ve posted about this elsewhere so all I will say here is these voters are supremely pissed off. ---
**Author:** ![griffin1977](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/977dab/32.png) [@griffin1977](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/griffin1977)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/14 "2024-11-03T02:16:29Z")
> [@BobLibDem](#): > > I believe you may be overestimating the Michigan Muslim anti-Biden/Harris vote and underestimating the anger of the women voter over the demise of Roe. Don’t forget in 2022 Whitmer cruised to victory along with the SoS and AG I am trying to keep this thread as just folks electoral map predictions. Feel free to discuss in another thread ---
**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/15 "2024-11-03T02:24:31Z")
> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#): > > I’ve posted about this elsewhere so all I will say here is these voters are supremely pissed off. You are also assuming that these voters are supremely stupid, and think that a Trump administration will not continue to arm Israel, and also as a bonus, start putting these same voters into camps. ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/16 "2024-11-03T02:27:09Z")
Moderating: > [@BobLibDem](#): > > I believe you may be overestimating the Michigan Muslim anti-Biden/Harris vote and underestimating the anger of the women voter over the demise of Roe. Don’t forget in 2022 Whitmer cruised to victory along with the SoS and AG. > [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#): > > Whitmer wasn’t pissing off Arab/Muslim Americans by continuing to arm Israel. I’ve posted about this elsewhere so all I will say here is these voters are supremely pissed off. > [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#): > > You are also assuming that these voters are supremely stupid, and think that a Trump administration will not continue to arm Israel, and also as a bonus, start putting these same voters into camps. The OP has expressed a wish to keep this thread on topic for discussion of electoral map predictions. There are plenty of other threads to discuss the state of mind of voters in Michigan. Please stick to the topic and take the Michigan discussion to a thread better suited for it. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/17 "2024-11-03T02:27:49Z")
Heard. ---
**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/18 "2024-11-03T02:28:10Z")
Thank you. ---
**Author:** ![HEMAblerd313](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/e36b37/32.png) [@HEMAblerd313](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HEMAblerd313)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 5:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/19 "2024-11-03T05:58:07Z")
Here’s mine and keep in mind this is me being optimistic…I hope I’m actually wrong and its a VP Harris blowout… Edit: not sure how to post it… ---
**Author:** ![TeroSunbear](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/terosunbear/32/14748_2.png) [@TeroSunbear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TeroSunbear)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 11:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/20 "2024-11-03T11:51:14Z")
275-263 Harris. Mostly like maps above. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591.md?page=2)