# Share your 2024 electoral map prediction

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 2, 2024, 7:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591 "2024-11-02T19:16:16Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 9

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**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2024, 12:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-2024-electoral-map-prediction/1009591/9 "2024-11-03T00:54:56Z")

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Here’s mine — it reflects what I posted in another thread yesterday

[![](https://www.270towin.com/maps/ODYJA.png) ](https://www.270towin.com/maps/ODYJA.png)

I admit this is optimistic but I outlined my reasons here. My prediction for IA seems a little less crazy than it did yesterday.

> [@2024 US general election prediction thread](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/2024-us-general-election-prediction-thread/1007585/112):
>
> Here is my most optimistic prediction. Harris 308 EV Trump 230 EV Harris keeps all the blue wall states and picks up IA. She keeps GA (not at all sure about this, but I’m staying optimistic) and picks up NC. She loses AZ and NV. Optimist reason 1 — [Maps](https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/trump-harris-donors-zip-code-map/) showing donor data in a very granular way. Harris is doing really well in the states I think she’ll pick up, in some cases the numbers are comparable to those in blue states (this is why I’m predicting a surprise pickup in IA.). Those maps r…

For this that don’t want to click through to the thread, my opinion was heavily informed by small donor data and a few new Marist polls that had data on people that had already voted vs. likely voters that haven’t voted yet.

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