# Share your electoral map

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [July 10, 2012, 9:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834 "2012-07-10T21:47:10Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![CyclopticXander](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/59ef9b/32.png) [@CyclopticXander](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CyclopticXander)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2012, 9:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/1 "2012-07-10T21:47:10Z")

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Using this interactive map [http://www.270towin.com/](http://www.270towin.com/)

Out of the grey swing states I give Romney Fl, OH, NC

I give Obama VA, PA, NH, WI, IA,CO, NV

Which gives Obama the win at 285-253

That is me, as a democrat, playing it a little pessismistic by giving Republicans the two biggest prizes in FL and OH. I’m least certain about VA,CO,and NV, but my projection still gives Obama enough cushion to lose any of one of those. Romney’s path to 270 is looking pretty difficult from my perspective, what say you?

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**Author:** ![dvd418](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ecd19e/32.png) [@dvd418](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dvd418)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 1:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/2 "2012-07-11T01:44:43Z")

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Virginia seems like a lost cause for Romney for every new poll I have seen from there

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**Author:** ![Oakminster](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/77aa72/32.png) [@Oakminster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Oakminster)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 2:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/3 "2012-07-11T02:50:36Z")

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I have it 274-264 for Romney, giving him OH, FL, NC, CO, NV, IA.

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**Author:** ![emcee2k](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7bcc69/32.png) [@emcee2k](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/emcee2k)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 3:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/4 "2012-07-11T03:09:16Z")

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I went with I went WI, OH, PA and NH for Obama, not because it will happen that way, just for the novelty. Although that would be a win for Romney (in a round about way).

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**Author:** ![foolsguinea](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/foolsguinea/32/14751_2.png) [@foolsguinea](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/foolsguinea)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 3:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/5 "2012-07-11T03:26:09Z")

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nvm

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 11:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/6 "2012-07-11T11:57:59Z")

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It’s all coming down to Florida again for me. The ones I’m not firm about are FL, VA, OH, and NV, and if Obama wins FL then the other three don’t matter (of course if he wins FL he will also probably carry VA but that’s not important.) He could also carry any two of the other three and win.

I also gave Obama NH, PA, and WI, because if he doesn’t carry those then he won’t have a chance in the rest of the swing states.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 3:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/7 "2012-07-11T15:59:19Z")

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[This](http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=oEy)is about as conservative (from my perspective) as it could get.

Obama 284, Cayman Boy 254

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 8:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/8 "2012-07-11T20:27:49Z")

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I gave Romney NC, NH, WI, OH, and FL.  
I gave Obama NV, CO, IA, VA, and PA.

This gives Obama 271. I think the closest call in any of these will be Iowa. In my scenario, if Romney did get Iowa, that would put him over the top.

I could even imagine a recount scenario in little ol’ Iowa this time around.

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**Author:** ![GrandWino](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/grandwino/32/67_2.png) [@GrandWino](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GrandWino)\
**Post date:** [July 11, 2012, 8:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/9 "2012-07-11T20:46:34Z")

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Basing all of my choices on Nate Silver’s current odds (because that guy knows his shit), I give Obama NV, CO, IA, VA, WI, OH, PA, and NH. Romney gets FL and NC.

Obama wins 303-235.

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**Author:** ![emcee2k](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7bcc69/32.png) [@emcee2k](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/emcee2k)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 1:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/10 "2012-07-12T01:36:32Z")

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An interactive election map makes a terrible drawing app. I couldn’t make one recognizable picture.

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**Author:** ![Peanut\_Gallery](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/838e76/32.png) [@Peanut\_Gallery](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Peanut_Gallery)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 1:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/11 "2012-07-12T01:42:42Z")

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> [@emcee2k](#):
>
> An interactive election map makes a terrible drawing app. I couldn’t make one recognizable picture.

[try harder](http://xkcd.com/1079/)

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**Author:** ![iiandyiiii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/iiandyiiii/32/7924_2.png) [@iiandyiiii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iiandyiiii)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 12:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/12 "2012-07-12T12:41:39Z")

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> [@Bob Ducca](#):
>
> Basing all of my choices on Nate Silver’s current odds (because that guy knows his shit), I give Obama NV, CO, IA, VA, WI, OH, PA, and NH. Romney gets FL and NC.
> 
> Obama wins 303-235.

Exactly what I think.

Basically, if Obama gets _either_ VA or OH, he wins- because he’ll already have gotten PA and WI in either case.

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**Author:** ![Parthol](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/dec6dc/32.png) [@Parthol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Parthol)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 3:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/13 "2012-07-12T15:35:11Z")

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Being a pessimist, I think folks might be underestimating the effects of voter-suppression tactics in Pennsylvania and Florida. Combine that with a less enthusiastic Democratic base this time around, and I think Romney takes those states. So:

Obama: Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Virginia  
(265)

Romney: Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina  
(273)

I hope I’m wrong, though.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/14 "2012-07-12T16:15:54Z")

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> [@Parthol](#):
>
> Being a pessimist, I think folks might be underestimating the effects of voter-suppression tactics in Pennsylvania and Florida. Combine that with a less enthusiastic Democratic base this time around . . .

Not exactly. Less enthusiastic than in 2008, certainly, but more so than in 2010.

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 9:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/15 "2012-07-12T21:29:51Z")

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> [@Parthol](#):
>
> Being a pessimist, I think folks might be underestimating the effects of voter-suppression tactics in Pennsylvania and Florida. Combine that with a less enthusiastic Democratic base this time around, and I think Romney takes those states.

Despicable as they are, I actually don’t think that the voter suppression will make that much of a difference. I suspect that a large majority of the people without ID’s wouldn’t vote anyway. It might affect a really borderline state like Florida, but I don’t think it will tip Pennsylvania over the edge.

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**Author:** ![Drunky\_Smurf](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/drunky_smurf/32/449_2.png) [@Drunky\_Smurf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Drunky_Smurf)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 9:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/16 "2012-07-12T21:41:26Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> [This](http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=oEy)is about as conservative (from my perspective) as it could get.
> 
> Obama 284, Cayman Boy 254

[This](http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=oIi) is about as liberal (from my perspective) as it could get.

Romney 454, Honolulu Boy 84

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**Author:** ![emcee2k](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7bcc69/32.png) [@emcee2k](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/emcee2k)\
**Post date:** [July 12, 2012, 11:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/17 "2012-07-12T23:27:35Z")

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> [@Peanut\_Gallery](#):
>
> [try harder](http://xkcd.com/1079/)

I meant more like “[Guy playing baseball.](http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=oIt)”

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2012, 10:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/18 "2012-07-13T10:03:18Z")

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> [@emcee2k](#):
>
> I meant more like “[Guy playing baseball.](http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=oIt)”

Or [Guy who is not Florida](http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=oJj).

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2012, 12:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/19 "2012-07-13T12:04:36Z")

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> [@Drunky\_Smurf](#):
>
> [This](http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=oIi) is about as liberal (from my perspective) as it could get.
> 
> Romney 454, Honolulu Boy 84

Hardy har har! Romney wins DC and MA? I’ll have some of what you’re drinking.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [July 13, 2012, 2:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834/20 "2012-07-13T14:00:43Z")

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[This](http://www.democraticunderground.com/125154364) OP from a Democratic Underground thread has collected a whole list of links to such.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/share-your-electoral-map/627834.md?page=2)
