The “market research shows” argument is reductionist. Not all C&W fans are flag-waving, my-country-right-or-wrong types who are also NASCAR fans and prefer Heinz over Hunts and corn flakes over Rice Crispies.
The cable broadcast of the 2004 Vote For Change Tour included man-on-the-street interviews with attendees who made it clear that they absolutely intended to vote for Bush but that they couldn’t pass up the concert, knowing that they would be inundated with political messages for the entire show.
People walked out of Pearl Jam shows and Streisand had someone throw a cup of soda at her last night when she “disparaged” the President. Those people presumably knew how Eddie and Barbara felt before they went to the show, and they went anyway. In general the number of people who are going to boycott an act because of politics is small. The number of listeners who are going to stop listening to station KXYZ-FM because they played a cut from the new album or promoted the concert would fit in my dentist’s waiting room (ok, it’s a larger-than-average waiting room, but still…).
I’ve gone to movies that feature Gary Oldman, Ron Silver, Bruce Willis, Arnold (though I won’t vote for him), even though I disagree with their politics.
I contend that “market research” would show that, in 2003, there were (was?) a significant minority of Dixie Chicks fans who agreed with the band’s politics. Put that together with the group who might not agree, but still like the band well enough to buy the album and to see the show, and you’ve got a market. If I recall correctly there were no concerts cancelled in the 2003 tour, and attendance was good at all of the shows.
Any musical act that “comes out” politically (or any other way, for that matter) is going to lose a segment of its audience, and that is something for which they should be ready and willing to accept responsibility. But this group has been isolated from a large segment of their audience by a few corporations. In 2006 the banning of the group from C&W airwaves is not a boycott, it is a blacklist.
As I said earlier, it is perfectly legal for these companies to do this but arguing that the decisions are being made on pure economic grounds are weasely (weaselly? weasel-ly?) at best. This is politics.
And, to reiterate my point from earlier, the meta-story here is not about the Dixie Chicks, or about what music most Americans get to hear on the radio. It is about fewer and fewer media companies, with larger and larger shares of the media pie (much of which consists, again, of a publically-owned resource), able to make decisions about what information the public has access to (and telling us, despite evidence to the contrary, that choices are being made on a rational economic basis, not a political one).
(by the way, I work in physical science. The “paranoid speculation” crack I made was my inelegant way of saying that I can’t demonstrate my assertion beyond all doubt – it seems pretty obvious to me. Those who think all of these decisions are being made by cool heads who are unmoved by political considerations or alliances seem to be speculating as much, if not a great deal more, than I am…)