# Simple (not to me!) probability problem

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/simple-not-to-me-probability-problem/602594>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [November 11, 2011, 1:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/simple-not-to-me-probability-problem/602594 "2011-11-11T13:51:03Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![ultrafilter](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/3d9bf3/32.png) [@ultrafilter](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ultrafilter)\
**Post date:** [November 11, 2011, 9:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/simple-not-to-me-probability-problem/602594/21 "2011-11-11T21:20:31Z")

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That’s sampling without replacement, so the probability is about 0.44 as calculated.

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**Author:** ![Turek](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/turek/32/18782_2.png) [@Turek](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Turek)\
**Post date:** [November 12, 2011, 12:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/simple-not-to-me-probability-problem/602594/22 "2011-11-12T12:09:50Z")

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Well, I was one of the 56.25%, darn it. ☹

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