# smoking

**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/t/smoking/830431
**Category:** Cecil's Columns/Staff Reports
**Created:** [March 2, 2019, 2:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/smoking/830431 "2019-03-02T14:32:42Z")
**Posts on this page:** 1
**Showing post:** 9

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### Author: ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)
#### Post date: [March 3, 2019, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/smoking/830431/9 "2019-03-03T01:54:32Z")

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> [@UnwittingAmericans](#):
>
> Sloan-Kettering used to have a risk calculator on its website. They took it down a few years ago and put up a screening calculator instead.
> 
> The old calculator said if you were age 60 and never smoked, your risk of getting lung cancer in the next 5 years was 2%. If you smoked a pack a day since you were 20, it was 3%.

So, you are “citing” something that purportedly comes from Sloan-Kettering that conveniently doesn’t exist any longer?

This is complete nonsense.

From table 1 in the research paper that I cited above, a smoker is about 15 times more likely to die of lung cancer than a non-smoker.

The CDC agrees:

> **[What Are the Risk Factors for Lung Cancer? | CDC](https://www.cdc.gov/cancer/lung/basic_info/risk_factors.htm)**
>
> Tobacco smoke, radon, and other things can increase your risk.

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