So There's a Comet Headed This Way?

As an aside, why is it so difficult to estimate a comet’s brightness? What variables are fuzzy?

The comet itself is, literally. We can pin down the orbit pretty precisely, once we’ve observed it for a month or two, but it’s harder to determine the mass, and even if you know that, it’s almost impossible to know how much it will outgas. The gas cloud of a comet (or coma) can be bigger than the Earth… Or it can be almost nonexistent.

Hot Fudge Sundae* (Lucifers Hammer reference)
How much is nuts, how much is whipped cream, how much will boil away, how much light will it reflect. Those are questions they’ll be able to answer after it passes.

Don’t you mean perihelion?

I certainly do; nice catch. It’s funny as you proofread a post for spelling and grammar little things like word meaning can slip through the sieve.

'S OK. Aphelion your pain.

Spelling checkers have a long ways to go, eh? What self-respecting spelling checker of 2020 would miss that glaring error?

And spelling checkers don’t detect bad puns. Yet, so watch out. :slight_smile:

Sadly, it looks like comet C/2012 S1 (known as Comet ISON) has broken up at or close to perihelion. Bummer.

Or perhaps it didn’t.

As always, there’s an xkcd for that.

Indeed! It knows appears that the comet is not quite dead, yet.

Tentative “woo-hoo.”

Spectacular? To me it looked like a fuzzy star. We havent had many really spectacular comets in living memory:

But the one I personally remember was Comet Ikeya–Seki - Wikipedia

Visible in the daytime, but rather close to the sun.

Comet West in 1976 was quite beautiful. I saw it in the early morning light with a very long classic comet tail. All the other comets I’ve seen were just fuzzballs by comparison. The press coverage was basically nil due to the overhype of Kohoutek the previous year.

West, like quite a few other comets, was also visible in the daytime. This really isn’t that rare. You just need to know where to look. Phil Plait, for example, saw McNaught with binoculars at noon. Hardly a great comet.

I syzygy did there.

I would like to salute Karl Battams, astrophysicist at the Naval Research Laboratory, for clarifying the state of the comet in the New York Times.

“It’s definitely maybe alive,” Battams said. “There’s a strong definite chance it might be, may be alive.”

Thanks, Karl! There’s a big future for you working in the White House press office.

First there is a comet
then there is no comet
then there is

Nope. Looks like its nearly dead after all.

Quite the drama, though.

As one of the commenters on the CBC site said:

Comet ISON.
Comet IsOff, Isn’tOn, WasOn, NowOff.
Comet MightBeBackOn

So it wasn’t visible in daylight; but it was still sufficiently bright and well defined that I could easily make out the object and its classic “comet” shape. I say it was real, and it was spectacular! :smiley:

Looks like it’s officially dead.

Boo Sun! Comet Murderer! :frowning: