# So, we should get used to saying "President Christie?" Yea or nay?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 21, 2013, 5:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448 "2013-11-21T17:12:47Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 7

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 2:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/121 "2013-12-10T14:20:19Z")

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> [@What\_Exit](#):
>
> You think something this small is going to derail him? He has to overcome being a loud, fat, brash New Jerseyian who is too liberal for the Tea Party (though he is not liberal by any reasonable use of the term), and you think a dumb ass lane closure that may or may not have been done for the reasons stated in the article is going to be a smoking gun? Really?

Well, he has to come up with a better reason for fucking up the traffic in Fort Lee. Shutting lanes for a traffic study? It doesn’t work that way. If it wasn’t political retribution, what was it? And if it WAS political retribution, that disqualifies him from office.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/122 "2013-12-10T14:26:47Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> Well, he has to come up with a better reason for fucking up the traffic in Fort Lee. Shutting lanes for a traffic study? It doesn’t work that way. If it wasn’t political retribution, what was it? And if it WAS political retribution, that disqualifies him from office.

Last I checked Politics do not work this way. It would be better if they did, but lets face it, they do not.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 2:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/123 "2013-12-10T14:35:06Z")

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> [@What\_Exit](#):
>
> Last I checked Politics do not work this way. It would be better if they did, but lets face it, they do not.

Got a logical reason for closing 2/3 of the lanes from Fort Lee onto the George Washington Bridge? And for doing so on the first day of school? And specifically ordering the bridge authority NOT to breathe a word of it to anyone? Christie has a lot to answer for here. Funny how the guy who ordered the closing resigned- looks like he fell on the sword for his old high school chum. What Christie needs to do is say that his men did something foolish without his knowledge. If he keeps trying to cover this up, it’ll do him in just like it did Tricky Dickie.

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**Author:** ![Skammer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skammer/32/143_2.png) [@Skammer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skammer)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 4:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/124 "2013-12-10T16:29:34Z")

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How does this hurt Ft. Lee’s mayor exactly?

It sounds more like a dumb plan than political maneuvering to me.

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**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/125 "2013-12-10T16:38:18Z")

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I find it hard to believe that Christie would be so stupid (and ineffective; this wouldn’t really prove a point or get him what he wants). But, readying the article, it does sound suspicious. If Christie did order this, I think people would punish him for it. I’m still skeptical.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 5:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/126 "2013-12-10T17:04:56Z")

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What is baffling about the story and demands a full investigation is why would they do this? Take perfectly good lanes and just not use them and make sure that nobody finds out about it in advance. Intentionally mess up traffic in an entire city, putting people’s lives in jeopardy, and for what purpose? To make the town angry with the mayor? There just isn’t an innocent explanation here.

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**Author:** ![Boyo\_Jim](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/87869e/32.png) [@Boyo\_Jim](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Boyo_Jim)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 7:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/127 "2013-12-10T19:13:41Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> What is baffling about the story and demands a full investigation is why would they do this? Take perfectly good lanes and just not use them and make sure that nobody finds out about it in advance. Intentionally mess up traffic in an entire city, putting people’s lives in jeopardy, and for what purpose? To make the town angry with the mayor? There just isn’t an innocent explanation here.

Nobody’s going to investigate anything. It’s just not a big enough deal. Christie will just give a big Fuck You to any reporter who asks, and the state will just write it off as missed communications.

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**Author:** ![Exapno\_Mapcase](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/exapno_mapcase/32/1051_2.png) [@Exapno\_Mapcase](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Exapno_Mapcase)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 7:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/128 "2013-12-10T19:28:01Z")

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It’ll be interesting to see where this goes from here. Seemingly minor incidents are blown up to major failings because they are taken as shorthand symbolism for the entirety of the way people feel about a politician.

But nobody knows in advance which minor incidents get treated in this way. I’m not making any predictions about this one. Just saying that if it does get legs it will be because people use it as a symbol of a petty, vindictive politician not because it is or isn’t intrinsically important.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 7:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/129 "2013-12-10T19:38:12Z")

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I think it will have some legs. The state assembly needs to get the recently-quitting but still drawing six figures David Wildstein under oath and get him to say what went through his mind when he ordered the closing and why he told bridge officials to keep the planned closing secret. Now I would expect him to fall on his sword for Christie and give him deniability. If Wildstein was just a loose cannon, damage to Christie will be minimal. But if it turns out that Christie approved of the plan, then all bets are off. The point is somewhat moot- there is no danger of Christie getting the nomination anyway.

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 8:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/130 "2013-12-10T20:36:41Z")

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I put this firmly in the wait-and-see category. Even facts that should be easy to come by are pretty sparse in what I’m reading there. For instance, one of the people involved is a police officer named “Licorice”, but nobody knows how his name is spelled? How is that not known?

This story should either become clear (one way or another) within a week, or fade away to nothing in the same time.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [December 10, 2013, 8:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/131 "2013-12-10T20:54:25Z")

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Waaaaay too early to say, but I have my doubts that Christie will (a) wear well with the American public for the next three years, and (b) appeal to the very conservative GOP primary and caucus electorate in early 2016.

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**Author:** ![bup](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/6bbea6/32.png) [@bup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bup)\
**Post date:** [December 11, 2013, 3:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/132 "2013-12-11T15:51:17Z")

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[QUOTE=Marley23]

[QUOTE=bup]  
No, but they can change the rules for the nomination process. If they want the nominee to be Christie, it’ll be Christie.  
[/quote]

What do you think they’re going to do? Stop the far right from voting?  
[/quote]

[GOP Having Meetings to Reconfigure Nomination Process](http://www.cnn.com/2013/12/11/politics/rnc-2016-changes/index.html?hpt=hp_t2)  
I didn’t think I’d get vindication so soon. In 2013 they’re talking about how to change the nomination process in 2016.

The changes they’re planning are to protect moderates.

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**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Post date:** [December 11, 2013, 5:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/133 "2013-12-11T17:34:59Z")

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> [@bup](#):
>
> [GOP Having Meetings to Reconfigure Nomination Process](http://www.cnn.com/2013/12/11/politics/rnc-2016-changes/index.html?hpt=hp_t2)  
> I didn’t think I’d get vindication so soon. In 2013 they’re talking about how to change the nomination process in 2016.
> 
> The changes they’re planning are to protect moderates.

This move has some backfire potential. If it is brazenly set out to protect moderates (ie cut out the Tea Party candidates) the Tea Party guys could conceivably head out on their own. If the goal is to anoint Christie, they might end up with Christie and Paul vs the Democratic candidate.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [December 11, 2013, 5:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/134 "2013-12-11T17:37:13Z")

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> [@Typo\_Negative](#):
>
> …Romney never had any principles, moderate, conservative or otherwise. Didn’t we have some sort of chart about the ideas he both endorsed and atacked?..

This, perhaps?: [Dear Romney Campaign, This Is How You Make a Venn Diagram - The Atlantic](http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/07/dear-romney-campaign-this-is-how-you-make-a-venn-diagram/259484/)

> [@Mr\_Quatro](#):
>
> I think Romney said it best when he said that President Obama bought the election with promises to the poor people of this land and in the end that’s who put him over the top.

> [@Little\_Nemo](#):
>
> If Romney said that, it was a dumb move…

Yup, looks like he said it:

[http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/15/romney-obama-won-votes-due-to-promise-gifts/](http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/15/romney-obama-won-votes-due-to-promise-gifts/)

> **[HuffPost - Breaking News, U.S. and World News](https://www.huffpost.com/)**
>
> Read the latest headlines, news stories, and opinion from Politics, Entertainment, Life, Perspectives, and more.

> [@Little\_Nemo](#):
>
> I still say if McCain had picked Pawlenty (who was supposedly his first choice) he could have won.

John Heilemann and Mark Halperin’s very good campaign book _Game Change_ makes it clear that the McCain brass’s internal polling showed that if Pawlenty were picked, McCain would lose. It was a “safe choice” and wouldn’t shake up the dynamic of the campaign enough for McCain to overcome Obama’s by-then-substantial lead. They turned to Palin as a potential running mate in near-desperation, and gave her a very cursory and rushed vetting; the rest is history.

> [@pkbites](#):
>
> My Pop told me that back in his day there was a joke about a well to do man who stopped at a news stand and looked at the headlines of the newspaper. The attendant asked him if he wanted to buy the paper and the rich guy says “_I’m just checking the obituaries_”. To which the attendant replies “_the obituaries aren’t on the front page_” to which the wealthy man responds \*\*\*“the sonovabitch I’m waiting for will be!!!” \* \*\*

The story goes that JFK, flying on Air Force One, was jokingly asked by a reporter what would happen if the plane crashed. Kennedy thought for a moment and said, “Your name would be in the paper the next day, but in very small print.”

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**Author:** ![Budget\_Player\_Cadet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/budget_player_cadet/32/205_2.png) [@Budget\_Player\_Cadet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Budget_Player_Cadet)\
**Post date:** [December 12, 2013, 2:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/135 "2013-12-12T14:16:52Z")

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Ugh, never mind. Taking this to the pit.

> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> Nyeh. I’ve seen Springsteen twice. He doesn’t really do loudness well. Tons of other bands bring the pain better. And not just metal bands.

You want loud? **Manowar**. Accept no replacement.

Okay, okay. Topic.

> [@ILikeForeignLanguages](#):
>
> Obviously, since I’ve already discussed who I think _shouldn’t_\*\* run as the republican nominee, one might naturally ask who I think _should_\*\* run. Well, I think a good alternative to Christie and a stickler with his conservative values would be Rand Paul. He’s firm in his positions and doesn’t waver, even though those positions make him vulnerable to unpopularity with the mainstream crowd. If he ran in the general election in 2016, he would get my vote.

Rand Paul would be a decent pick, wouldn’t he? He’d certainly have the conservative bend to get through the primaries ([and the heartless, callous, stupid streak](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=709881) necessary). Plus he stands very little chance of winning the general election, because, well, heartless, callous, and stupid.

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**Author:** ![Ulfreida](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ulfreida/32/8014_2.png) [@Ulfreida](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ulfreida)\
**Post date:** [January 1, 2014, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/136 "2014-01-01T00:34:40Z")

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If Christie is nominated he will get an extreme amount of scrutiny, far more than he ever has had in his life. Remember that all you need is a few strikingly offensive stories that cement on-the-fence voters’ sneaking suspicions, and I think Christie is a sure bet to provide them. Clinton has already gone through her trial by fire and successfully come out the other side. I feel fairly safe in predicting that a vindictive power-hungry blowhard with a long history of dirty politics, like Christie, will be crisped in the process.

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**Author:** ![SaharaTea](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e9a140/32.png) [@SaharaTea](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SaharaTea)\
**Post date:** [January 1, 2014, 8:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/137 "2014-01-01T20:41:23Z")

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> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#):
>
> Waaaaay too early to say, but I have my doubts that Christie will (a) wear well with the American public for the next three years, and (b) appeal to the very conservative GOP primary and caucus electorate in early 2016.

I still think he’s the guy to beat, but you may be right. I overheard a group of old folks in my rural western state talking about how they didn’t care for Christie because he’s “too loud and pushy.” I know that’s anecdotal, but he does seem to rub a lot of midwesterners and southerners the wrong way.

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**Author:** ![aceplace57](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aceplace57/32/3500_2.png) [@aceplace57](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/aceplace57)\
**Post date:** [January 1, 2014, 8:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/138 "2014-01-01T20:50:27Z")

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I like Christie and his willingness to reach outside his party to help his state. He could be a good President. But he is thin skinned and takes criticism personally. I can’t see him surviving a long election without blowing up.

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**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2014, 1:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/139 "2014-01-02T01:06:01Z")

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> [@SaharaTea](#):
>
> I still think he’s the guy to beat, but you may be right. I overheard a group of old folks in my rural western state talking about how they didn’t care for Christie because he’s “too loud and pushy.” I know that’s anecdotal, but he does seem to rub a lot of midwesterners and southerners the wrong way.

I think that is going to be accurate, but honestly he will not do well in the primaries of those states either based on his relative moderate positions compared to those that vote in Republican Primaries in the south and midwest. If he can win the primary battle, it will be by winning what are basically the Blue states. If he wins all the Blue States and those like Florida and Penn, I am pretty sure he can get the nomination over a Tea Party darling or the like.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2014, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/so-we-should-get-used-to-saying-president-christie-yea-or-nay/674448/140 "2014-01-02T01:51:19Z")

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The problem there is that even in the blue states the republican primary electorate can be extreme, or at least problematic for a moderate candidate.

In 2012, early in the game a candidate more extreme that Romney - who, other than Huntsman, was the moderate candidate - either won or took a strong second in:

Florida  
Colorado  
Missouri  
Minnesota  
Maine  
Michigan  
Washington

Later these swing or blue states had Romney lose or have a strong second:

Ohio  
Virginia  
Illinois  
Hawaii

After that it was largely over with Romney the clear long-term winner. Still, past that there was a strong primary showing for more extreme candidates in:

Maryland  
Wisconsin  
Delaware  
Rhode Island

That was with Romney playing a more-extreme-than-usual card to try to win primary votes. Christie will have trouble in some of those states without that tactic. If he does take that tactic it’ll make it easier for the D candidate to knock him around in the general. It’s a conundrum for whomever becomes the R candidate, frankly.

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