# South Carolina Republican race

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [February 17, 2016, 7:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372 "2016-02-17T19:50:58Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/61 "2016-02-21T00:27:58Z")

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And NBC is projecting that Trump has won SC.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/62 "2016-02-21T00:32:02Z")

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> [@Rick\_Kitchen](#):
>
> 1. Gilmore is still officially running.

No, [he dropped out a week or so ago](http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2583169/).

I realize practically nobody noticed he had dropped out, because practically nobody took notice of the fact that he was running to begin with. But still.

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**Author:** ![Rick\_Kitchen](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rick_kitchen/32/522_2.png) [@Rick\_Kitchen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rick_Kitchen)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/63 "2016-02-21T00:33:13Z")

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> [@RTFirefly](#):
>
> No, [he dropped out a week or so ago](http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2583169/).
> 
> I realize practically nobody noticed he had dropped out, because practically nobody took notice of the fact that he was running. But still.

Ha. Thanks.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/64 "2016-02-21T00:34:22Z")

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> [@Rick\_Kitchen](#):
>
> Ha. Thanks.

No prob. 🙂

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**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/65 "2016-02-21T00:34:53Z")

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I’ve got CNN on and they haven’t called it yet.

Bush is barely better than Kasich. If the numbers hold up, I don’t see how he can continue.

Now they’ve called it, for Trump.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/66 "2016-02-21T00:35:28Z")

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And ABC and AP have joined NBC in calling it for Trump.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/67 "2016-02-21T00:38:34Z")

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And with a mere 1.56% of precincts reporting, Cruz and Rubio are in a dead heat for second, with Rubio leading Cruz by a very mere 13 votes.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/68 "2016-02-21T00:40:42Z")

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5% and Rubio’s up by 2% over Cruz.

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**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/69 "2016-02-21T00:41:32Z")

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[AP appears to be declaring Trump the winner in every Congressional district as well](http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2016/by_cd/SC_Page_0220_VD.html?SITE=WJCLTVELN&SECTION=POLITICS), which is strange as two districts have no votes reported in yet, but if that holds up, Trump gets 50 delegates and everybody else gets zero. Even if he wins just the four districts where he has sizable leads, that’s 41-9.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/70 "2016-02-21T00:44:16Z")

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Weirdly, Rubio is doing better in the Upstate - I live in South Carolina - than anywhere else. I’d have thought that was more suited to Cruz.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/71 "2016-02-21T00:48:07Z")

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> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> 5% and Rubio’s up by 2% over Cruz.

Where are you getting your numbers from, JC? Most states, the Secretary of State has the official tallies, but that doesn’t seem to be the case for SC. I’ve been relying on TPM so far.

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/72 "2016-02-21T00:51:33Z")

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> [@That\_Don\_Guy](#):
>
> [AP appears to be declaring Trump the winner in every Congressional district as well](http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2016/by_cd/SC_Page_0220_VD.html?SITE=WJCLTVELN&SECTION=POLITICS), which is strange as two districts have no votes reported in yet, but if that holds up, Trump gets 50 delegates and everybody else gets zero. Even if he wins just the four districts where he has sizable leads, that’s 41-9.

He should wait a bit and see if that holds up. Better to give the victory speech being able to say he swept the State.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/73 "2016-02-21T00:52:17Z")

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> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> Weirdly, Rubio is doing better in the Upstate - I live in South Carolina - than anywhere else. I’d have thought that was more suited to Cruz.

That IS weird. I’d have figured the same way, based on my five years in SC, even though my knowledge of the state has accumulated a couple of decades of rust.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/74 "2016-02-21T00:54:29Z")

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It’s early yet. And maybe the influence of Atlanta on the upstate - particularly on the route from Greenville/Spartanburg to ATL - is suburbanizing that sector.

I’m pulling from CNN, RTF.

> **[Politics | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/politics)**
>
> Politics at CNN has news, opinion and analysis of American and global politics Find news and video about elections, the White House, the U.N and much more.

It’s seesawed and now Cruz is up by a point over Rubio for second.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/75 "2016-02-21T00:56:29Z")

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And now Rubio is up over Cruz 22.5 - 20.5

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 12:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/76 "2016-02-21T00:59:25Z")

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Big question of the night.

If Bush’s 9% holds up…is that enough for him to stay in the race or does he finally admit defeat and bow out? He had GWB working the state pretty hard this week.

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 1:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/77 "2016-02-21T01:03:29Z")

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Out.

OTOH if Kasich holds to 9%, especially if he comes out ahead of Bush, he sticks it out.

And truth be told Kasich will have done not significantly to no worse in delegates here than Cruz or Rubio are likely to come away with …

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**Author:** ![Octarine](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/22d042/32.png) [@Octarine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Octarine)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 1:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/78 "2016-02-21T01:07:30Z")

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Just popping in to thread drop [that time we all laughed at the idea of a Trump campaign](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=759708). The first page or so is really striking, and at the time, I was in complete agreement. Even a couple of weeks ago, I was convinced Trump was going to crash and burn in juuust a couple more days . . . but if his 30%+ lead in SC holds, he definitely has history on his side. Weird election.

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**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 1:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/79 "2016-02-21T01:15:56Z")

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Speaking about laughing about Trump.

> [@Why I would vote for Trump](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-i-would-vote-for-trump/744398/16):
>
> That is as easily as delusional as any Trump supporter you imagine. Get a grip on reality, he is speaking and connecting with actual people. The people cheering aren’t all doing it ironically. Ignore this at your peril.

> [@Why I would vote for Trump](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-i-would-vote-for-trump/744398/24):
>
> Pfffttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttt.

Sorry, I need this “I told you so”. 😛

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [February 21, 2016, 1:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/south-carolina-republican-race/746372/80 "2016-02-21T01:17:57Z")

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Eh, I’m still not too concerned about his chances. I could very well be wrong, but I’m just not. I just don’t see it happening.

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