# Speculation for and/or Consequences to the US and Elsewhere for Engaging in the Bombing of Iran and Other Targets **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Tags:** iran-strikes-2026\ **Created:** [March 4, 2026, 10:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210 "2026-03-04T22:01:24Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 20
**Author:** ![Moriarty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/moriarty/32/49_2.png) [@Moriarty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Moriarty)\ **Post date:** [April 4, 2026, 1:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/381 "2026-04-04T13:31:13Z")
Amazon is adding a surcharge to account for the increased cosds engendered by this war. > **[Amazon to add 3.5% fuel and logistics surcharge for sellers as Iran war...](https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/04/02/amazon-add-3point5percent-fuel-and-logistics-surcharge-for-sellers-amid-iran-war.html)** > > With the Iran war now in its fifth week, Amazon said it's adding a 3.5% fuel and logistics surcharge for third-party sellers in the U.S. and Canada. ---
**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\ **Post date:** [April 4, 2026, 2:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/382 "2026-04-04T14:25:07Z")
And Bezos doesn’t have, as Republicans say, the testicular fortitude to name it after Trump. Which is weird, I thought Trump loved seeing his name on things. ---
**Author:** ![Odesio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/odesio/32/20003_2.png) [@Odesio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Odesio)\ **Post date:** [April 4, 2026, 3:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/383 "2026-04-04T15:02:21Z")
> [@Moriarty](#): > > Amazon is adding a surcharge to account for the increased cosds engendered by this war. Amazon tried to label a surcharge for tariffs and Trump shot that down. I wonder if Amazon has the fortitude to keep the surcharge if faced with opposition from the current administration. Bezos has a track record of kissing Trump’s ass. ---
**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\ **Post date:** [April 4, 2026, 3:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/384 "2026-04-04T15:41:38Z")
Bezos should just call it Iran surcharge and blame the mullahs. Then thank President Ineptstein for whatever and make a donation to his charity. Problem solved. 3.5% surcharge, hmm… not bad. **[First they came for](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_They_Came)** sellers, not for buyers. Yes, I can see that working just fine. 3.5% is above the official inflation figure, isn’t it? As long as the surcharge is applied only in the USA and Canada it is not my problem, so no consequences. ---
**Author:** ![Dr.Drake](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ad7895/32.png) [@Dr.Drake](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Drake)\ **Post date:** [April 4, 2026, 4:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/385 "2026-04-04T16:03:22Z")
> [@Pardel-Lux](#): > > As long as the surcharge is applied only in the USA and Canada it is not my problem, so no consequences. From the Canadian perspective (Trump is not our leader; we are not involved in the Iran war), this is very much a problem. Just not one we can do anything about. (Those of us who are also American citizens keep voting against the Republicans, but voters abroad are not a voting bloc in the US system so it does no good.) ---
**Author:** ![SailorHG](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ecae2f/32.png) [@SailorHG](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SailorHG)\ **Post date:** [April 4, 2026, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/386 "2026-04-04T17:40:24Z")
> [@Odesio](#): > > It’s a little difficult to figure out why Trump decided it was a good idea to go to war, but the various reasons we’ve been given is the following: > > 1. To stop their nuclear program (a program Trump said he already destroyed). > 2. Because we’ve been at war with Iran for the last 47 years and they’ve been a threat this whole time and only Trump had the courage to end this. > 3. Regime change. 1. Yet another opportunity to enrich himself and his insider-trading cronies by timing market buys and sales against announcements either pro or con about the war. ---
**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\ **Post date:** [April 4, 2026, 5:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/387 "2026-04-04T17:47:13Z")
> [@Dr.Drake](#): > > From the Canadian perspective (Trump is not our leader; we are not involved in the Iran war), this is very much a problem. My apologies, I thought that posting a link to “**[First they came for](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_They_Came)**” in **bold** would show that it was meant sarcastically. Not blaming you, nobody has to open a link or get a cultural/historical reference (yes, me of all posters would write that, funny!), just correcting an erroneous impression. ---
**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\ **Post date:** [April 5, 2026, 6:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/388 "2026-04-05T18:54:20Z")
2 posts were split to a new topic: [Temp title](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/temp-title/1029050) ---
**Author:** ![enipla](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/54ee81/32.png) [@enipla](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/enipla)\ **Post date:** [April 5, 2026, 7:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/389 "2026-04-05T19:12:47Z")
The entire Trump administration, and everyone he has appointed are the most clueless incompetent morons to ever come down the pike. I worked for small county government for decades. IS department. We have better security than the head of the FBI does. ---
**Author:** ![Monty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/monty/32/47_2.png) [@Monty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Monty)\ **Post date:** [April 6, 2026, 1:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/390 "2026-04-06T01:01:18Z")
[Thanks to the war, flights are being canceled around the world.](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/energy/articles/airlines-starting-cancel-flights-face-214736570.html) > [@](#): > > First, the war made flights more expensive. Now, it’s making them disappear. > > The [US and Israel’s war](https://www.businessinsider.com/iran-war-world-economy-trump-markets-oil-travel-food-ai-2026-3?utm_medium=referral&utm_medium=syndication&utm_source=yahoocom&utm_source=yahoo) on Iran has disrupted supply chains, trapping oil in storage facilities across the Middle East. That has caused the price of oil to rocket past $100 a barrel, and its availability to diminish. > > [Jet fuel prices](https://www.businessinsider.com/chart-rising-fuel-costs-make-plane-ticket-more-expensive-2026-4?utm_medium=referral&utm_medium=syndication&utm_source=yahoocom&utm_source=yahoo), as a result, reached $195 at the end of March, up nearly $100 from the end of February when the war began. And as the war drags on, jet fuel is getting harder to come by for countries that don’t produce their own or have limited supplies. > > International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Biro said during a podcast interview earlier this week that the loss of oil in April would be twice what was lost in March, resulting in a growing scarcity of jet fuel and diesel. > > “We are seeing that in Asia, but soon, I think, in April or May, it would come to Europe,” he said. > > June Goh, a senior oil market analyst at Sparta Commodities, said in a post on X that jet fuel requires specialized storage, which means there is less stored than other products, like gasoline. > > “Travel has gotten a lot more expensive in Asia, with many airlines adding fuel surcharges or downright canceling flights,” she wrote. “Europe is facing imminent jet fuel supply shortages. Brace yourselves.” ---
**Author:** ![ParallelLines](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/parallellines/32/3575_2.png) [@ParallelLines](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ParallelLines)\ **Post date:** [April 6, 2026, 9:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/391 "2026-04-06T21:24:55Z")
9 posts were split to a new topic: [Speculation: USA goes Nuclear in Iran - Reactions and Consequences (spun off from general Iran consequences thread)](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-usa-goes-nuclear-in-iran-reactions-and-consequences-spun-off-from-general-iran-consequences-thread/1029078) ---
**Author:** ![Frodo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frodo/32/302_2.png) [@Frodo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frodo)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 1:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/392 "2026-04-07T13:53:24Z")
So, the deadline approaches, will Iran cave? will Trump TACO again? will no one blink and the U.S. proceed to massively bomb Iran? if so, how close to the “War Crimes” line will it get?, what will happen afterwards? My prediction: - Iran will not cave - Trump will not TACO - The US will escalate bombing to just the line of the strictest possible definition of war crime (IE: no desalination plants bombed, but almost everything else is fair game) and when possible above it (“accidentally” bombing some targets that would hardly be valid military targets). - Afterwards Trump will renew his threats and ultimatums, promising to go even further, Iran will continue to defy him. I hope I’m wrong. ETA: Something that I didn’t include: What would be Iran’s retaliatory measures? ---
**Author:** ![Dr.Drake](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ad7895/32.png) [@Dr.Drake](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Drake)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 3:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/393 "2026-04-07T15:15:56Z")
I don’t understand why people are treating the deadline as a real time instead of the usual blather and posturing bullshit. ---
**Author:** ![Section\_Maker\_Jupe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/section_maker_jupe/32/1424_2.png) [@Section\_Maker\_Jupe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Section_Maker_Jupe)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 3:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/394 "2026-04-07T15:25:24Z")
trump does not appear to be stable right now, and due to his stupidity and others, seems to have backed himself into a corner. He will probably lash out to save face. I mean, look at the list of stupid decisions…he thinks he is above the law. Plus…the weird religious overtones being talked about, end times etc. Not good signs. ---
**Author:** ![Frodo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frodo/32/302_2.png) [@Frodo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frodo)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 3:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/395 "2026-04-07T15:27:52Z")
Because it’s reaching the point where he can no longer TACO without severe loss of face. But I hope you are right and everything ends up in the usual empty proclamations of victory. ---
**Author:** ![Frodo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frodo/32/302_2.png) [@Frodo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frodo)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 3:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/396 "2026-04-07T15:33:21Z")
I’m beginning to have doubts about my predictions above, the stock and oil markets do not seem to be moving in way compatible with the level of bombing I predicted, I hope they are right and not just bamboozled for nth time. ---
**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 4:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/397 "2026-04-07T16:04:33Z")
He has face to lose? Though now would be a good time to do what I’ve always expected him to do: just _say_ Iran surrendered and gave all sorts of tribute to the US. The change to his worldview (and that of his base) would be exactly zero. ---
**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 4:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/398 "2026-04-07T16:16:24Z")
> [@Frodo](#): > > the stock and oil markets do not seem to be moving in way compatible with the level of bombing I predicted, The markets are optimistically counting on a TACO. I’m not that hopeful. ---
**Author:** ![JRDelirious](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jrdelirious/32/9531_2.png) [@JRDelirious](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JRDelirious)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 4:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/399 "2026-04-07T16:18:19Z")
> [@Frodo](#): > > the stock and oil markets do not seem to be moving in way compatible with the level of bombing I predicted By now some in the market may be wary that there’s people in the Administration counting on their predictable reaction. ---
**Author:** ![Der\_Trihs](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/der_trihs/32/233_2.png) [@Der\_Trihs](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Der_Trihs)\ **Post date:** [April 7, 2026, 7:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210/400 "2026-04-07T19:07:32Z")
> [@Leaper](#): > > He has face to lose? In his own head, yes. His image of how he is perceived and the reality are wildly different. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210.md?page=19) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-for-and-or-consequences-to-the-us-and-elsewhere-for-engaging-in-the-bombing-of-iran-and-other-targets/1028210.md?page=21)