# Speculation time: What will Iraq's surprising "non-conventional" act be?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [April 4, 2003, 5:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493 "2003-04-04T17:16:05Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![toadspittle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/c0e974/32.png) [@toadspittle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/toadspittle)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/1 "2003-04-04T17:16:05Z")

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[http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&cid=564&ncid=564&e=1&u=/nm/20030404/ts\_nm/iraq\_nonconventional\_dc](http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&cid=564&ncid=564&e=1&u=/nm/20030404/ts_nm/iraq_nonconventional_dc)

> [@](#):
>
> BAGHDAD (Reuters) - Iraq (news - web sites) threatened a “non-conventional” act on Friday against U.S.-led forces who have seized Baghdad airport and hinted at suicide attacks while ruling out use of weapons of mass destruction.
> 
> “We will commit a non-conventional act on them, not necessarily military,” Iraqi Information Minister Mohammed Saeed al-Sahaf said at a news conference. “We will do something that will be a great example for these mercenaries.”
> 
> Asked if Baghdad planned to use weapons of mass destruction, he said: “No, not at all. But we will conduct a kind of martyrdom operation.” Iraqi officials often use the word “martyrdom” in describing suicide attacks.

So what do we think? Terrorist attack against US interests? More car-bombing, etc.? Is the Baghdad airport (with those “underground facilities”) that we just captured wired with explosives so that they can bring it down on the heads of the occupying troops?

As an aside, I have to give Sahaf credit for this statement:

> [@](#):
>
> Sahaf, looking confident and repeatedly insulting the United States, said the attack on Baghdad airport was an “airborne landing. … They are completely besieged,” he said.

I thought for sure the Iraqi govt. wouldn’t be able to explain that one away.

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**Author:** ![TVAA](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/c57346/32.png) [@TVAA](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TVAA)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/2 "2003-04-04T17:21:39Z")

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Surrender?

_I_ sure wouldn’t be expecting it. . .

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**Author:** ![Beagle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/85f322/32.png) [@Beagle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Beagle)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/3 "2003-04-04T17:22:13Z")

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I copied this link, came here looking for a thread, and [as usual, someone has a perfect thread.](http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/afp/20030404/ts_afp/iraq_war_car_blast&cid=1503&ncid=1480) Blowing up expectant mothers.

> [@](#):
>
> Coalition forces were controlling a checkpoint 18 kilometers (seven miles) from Hadithah Dam in Iraq when a vehicle drove up and a pregnant woman stepped out “screaming in fear,” a Centcom statement said Friday.  
> As soldiers approached, the vehicle exploded. The woman and the car’s driver were killed along with three coalition troops. Two other soldiers were injured, Centcom said.

I’m rarely speechless. ☹

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**Author:** ![AZCowboy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/97f17d/32.png) [@AZCowboy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AZCowboy)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/4 "2003-04-04T17:24:23Z")

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Here’s a WAG:

Using the million plus civilians bypassed in Basra as hostages. Threaten to kill tens of thousands of civilians unless the coalition forces withdraw from Iraq.

Just a WAG.

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**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/5 "2003-04-04T17:32:48Z")

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My first guess would be some sort of massed car/truck-bomb operation, at the airport or elsewhere. It is highly unlikely that the airport facilities have been booby-trapped, or that if they are, that US forces would not know about them.

Other reports I’ve quote the the Information Minister as saying that the operation would be “beautiful”, whatever that means; maybe they’ve decided to greet the invaders with flowers after all.

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**Author:** ![MeanJoe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/meanjoe/32/5693_2.png) [@MeanJoe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MeanJoe)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/6 "2003-04-04T17:34:37Z")

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I would say the current footage (very fake, IMHO) of Saddam walking the streets of Baghdad with ecstatic supporters following along is a likely ploy being refered to by the Iraqi IM. The idea behind this, I am guessing, is to try and stir the population out of their homes and into the streets believing there is a ‘movement’ of support.

Mass crowds have a way of building their own momentum and I can see them trying to build, then direct them to the airport.

Even CNN is outright questioning the validity of what they are seeing by the way.

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**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/7 "2003-04-04T17:35:10Z")

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“Other reports I’ve _seen_…”

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**Author:** ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/8 "2003-04-04T17:38:48Z")

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[Coalition Forces May Face Up To 8,000 Armed Children](http://www.msnbc.com/news/883330.asp)

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**Author:** ![toadspittle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/c0e974/32.png) [@toadspittle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/toadspittle)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/9 "2003-04-04T17:41:36Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> Mass crowds have a way of building their own momentum and I can see them trying to build, then direct them to the airport.

That would be a great (evil) move–march hundreds of unarmed Iraqi civilians ahead of/among the advancing Republican Guard units, so that US troops would be forced to massacre innocents in order to stop the troops that were firing on them.

> [@](#):
>
> Blowing up expectant mothers.

Or strapping bomb-belts to hospital patients, for when US troops come in to “liberate” them?

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**Author:** ![toadspittle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/c0e974/32.png) [@toadspittle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/toadspittle)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/10 "2003-04-04T17:44:03Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> Coalition Forces May Face Up To 8,000 Armed Children

Wow. I feel dizzy now.

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**Author:** ![TVAA](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/c57346/32.png) [@TVAA](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TVAA)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/11 "2003-04-04T17:50:25Z")

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Wow. That’d be so brilliant tactically. Strategically, it’d be a tremendous mistake for Iraq: this is one of the few things that would increase the world’s opinion of this war and the U.S.

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**Author:** ![AZCowboy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/97f17d/32.png) [@AZCowboy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AZCowboy)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/12 "2003-04-04T17:54:47Z")

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Not discounting it all, but please note the date on the “child soldier story” - it’s from before the war started.

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**Author:** ![Beagle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/85f322/32.png) [@Beagle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Beagle)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 5:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/13 "2003-04-04T17:58:05Z")

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After reading this thread a couple times I’m reminded of the reasons that the regime should be destroyed. The strategies employed by the regime will tend to steel the resolve of the combatants and supporters of the war, IMO. I think, aside from the obvious pathological cruelty, the tactics won’t work.

However, I fear for the mental (not to mention physical) health of the Iraqi populace, in addition to our soldiers. This whole thing has become surrcruel–to coin a word.

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**Author:** ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 6:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/14 "2003-04-04T18:00:15Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by AZCowboy \*  
> \*\*Not discounting it all, but please note the date on the “child soldier story” - it’s from before the war started. \*\*

And your point would be…

So are the reports of WMD’s; are we to discount them for the same reason?

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**Author:** ![AZCowboy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/97f17d/32.png) [@AZCowboy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AZCowboy)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 6:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/15 "2003-04-04T18:03:21Z")

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Uh, didn’t I just say I wasn’t discounting it?

The link made it appear as “news”, when really, it is “olds”.

So although I wasn’t discounting it then, I will now. If this were a real liklihood, we would have probably already seen it.

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**Author:** ![KidCharlemagne](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@KidCharlemagne](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/KidCharlemagne)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 6:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/16 "2003-04-04T18:04:00Z")

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“Civilians” surrendering with a load of dynamite around their belly.

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**Author:** ![Zoe](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/z/a4c791/32.png) [@Zoe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zoe)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 6:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/17 "2003-04-04T18:20:40Z")

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Brick bats at forty paces…

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**Author:** ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 6:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/18 "2003-04-04T18:21:58Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by AZCowboy \*  
> \*\*If this were a real liklihood, we would have probably already seen it. \*\*

I don’t think so. According to the story, of the 12,000 children in the Ashbal Saddam, 8,000 are in Baghdad. That leaves 4,000 spread around the rest of the country, without any central control (after all the lines of communication have been cut). Coalition commanders should consider how they will respond in the possible, even if not likely event of attacks by brigades of children. The alternative is to make it up as we go along, and risk coalition lives who may hesitate to fire on children. Or we could just mow 'em down, world opinion be damned. Is it worth considering, even if the story is a few days old?

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**Author:** ![X\_Slayer\_ALE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/x/bbe5ce/32.png) [@X\_Slayer\_ALE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/X_Slayer_ALE)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 6:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/19 "2003-04-04T18:22:54Z")

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I dont remember the Iraqis fighting conventionally since the war started. There was never any concerted organized action against the coalition forces. All they did was defend the area where they were. So far what theyve done are

\*Suicide bombers at checkpoints  
\*Use human shields to check Coalition positions  
\*Use a whole town as a shield  
\*Uses schools, mosques, hospitals as barracks and ordinance storage areas  
\*Place explosives under bridges without blowing them up  
\*Use the information monkey to lie about what is really going on just 10 miles from where he was transmitting.  
\*Call the Saudi Foreign minister a Loser.  
\*Use the Fedayeen to recruit unwilling men to be canon fodder  
\*Prevent regular army units at gunpoint from surrendering  
\*Call for a Jihad (even tho no one in the regime are Mullahs)  
\*Show pictures of iraqi civilians beinf wounded when its quite probable that the regime inflicted the wounds themselves.

these have all been as effective as catching a cluster bomb with a baseball glove. After all of that, I wouldnt be (too) suprised that a large group of children with explosives strapped on them to be standing in front of the US Marines.

What if they parade a whole group of trucks in the middle of downtown Baghdad that look like mobile chemical laboratories and say they will release their contents if the US Army and Marines do not leave the city. Only the civilians would get killed because both sides have B&C protection gear. If the coalition does move back, the regime could just say they were only bluffing but they made the almighty USA cower back.

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**Author:** ![Sofa\_King](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/58956e/32.png) [@Sofa\_King](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sofa_King)\
**Post date:** [April 4, 2003, 6:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493/20 "2003-04-04T18:40:44Z")

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This thread has a surprisingly regional outlook with regard to this war.

Non-conventional? Martyrdom? Beautiful?

I’d say the Iraqi response is coming to a shopping mall near you.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/speculation-time-what-will-iraqs-surprising-non-conventional-act-be/166493.md?page=2)
