You know, D’Anconia, you deserve a better response than the above flippant ‘5am-bleary-eyed-check-the-phone’ reply, so here it is.
Top 20 drops in the DJIA by points:
[ul]
[li]1 2020-03-09 23,851.02 −2,013.76 −7.79% Republican[/li][li]2 2020-02-27 25,766.64 −1,190.95 −4.42% Republican[/li][li]3 2018-02-05 24,345.75 −1,175.21 −4.60% Republican[/li][li]4 2018-02-08 23,860.46 −1,032.89 −4.15% Republican[/li][li]5 2020-02-24 27,960.80 −1,031.61 −3.56% Republican[/li][li]6 2020-03-05 26,121.28 −969.58 −3.58% Republican[/li][li]7 2020-02-25 27,081.36 −879.44 −3.15% Republican[/li][li]8 2018-10-10 25,598.74 −831.83 −3.15% Republican[/li][li]9 2019-08-14 25,479.42 −800.49 −3.05% Republican[/li][li]10 2018-12-04 25,027.07 −799.36 −3.10% Republican[/li][li]11 2020-03-03 25,917.41 −785.91 −2.94% Republican[/li][li]12 2008-09-29 10,365.45 −777.68 −6.98% Republican[/li][li]13 2019-08-05 25,717.74 −767.27 −2.90% Republican[/li][li]14 2008-10-15 8,577.91 −733.08 −7.87% Republican[/li][li]15 2018-03-22 23,957.89 −724.42 −2.93% Republican[/li][li]16 2001-09-17 8,920.70 −684.81 −7.13% Republican[/li][li]17 2008-12-01 8,149.09 −679.95 −7.70% Republican[/li][li]18 2008-10-09 8,579.19 −678.92 −7.33% Republican[/li][li]19 2018-02-02 25,520.96 −665.75 −2.54% Republican[/li][li]20 2019-01-03 22,686.22 −660.02 −2.83% Republican[/li][/ul]
Now, points are a dumb way to do this, because a 1,000 point drop on Dow 25,000 is nowhere near as bad as 25 points on Dow 200, so….
Top 20 drops in the DJIA by percentage:
[ul]
[li]1 1987-10-19 1,738.74 −508.00 −22.61% Republican[/li][li]2 1929-10-28 260.64 −38.33 −12.82% Republican[/li][li]3 1929-10-29 230.07 −30.57 −11.73% Republican[/li][li]4 1929-11-06 232.13 −25.55 −9.92% Republican[/li][li]5 1899-12-18 58.27 −5.57 −8.72% Republican[/li][li]6 1932-08-12 63.11 −5.79 −8.40% Republican[/li][li]7 1907-03-14 76.23 −6.89 −8.29% Republican[/li][li]8 1987-10-26 1,793.93 −156.83% Republican[/li][li]9 2008-10-15 8,577.91 −733.08% Republican[/li][li]10 1933-07-21 88.71 −7.55 −7.84% Democrat[/li][li]11 2020-03-09 23,851.02 −2,013.76% Republican[/li][li]12 1937-10-18 125.73 −10.57 −7.75% Democrat[/li][li]13 2008-12-01 8,149.09 −679.95% Republican[/li][li]14 2008-10-09 8,579.19 −678.92% Republican[/li][li]15 1917-02-01 88.52 −6.91 −7.24% Democrat[/li][li]16 1997-10-27 7,161.14 −554.26% Democrat[/li][li]17 1932-10-05 66.07 −5.09 −7.15% Republican[/li][li]18 2001-09-17 8,920.70 −684.81% Republican[/li][li]19 1931-09-24 107.79 −8.20 −7.07% Republican[/li][li]20 1933-07-20 96.26 −7.32 −7.07% Democrat[/li][/ul]
A little more balanced, 15-5 but note the Republicans holds the top nine spots (#Winning). The Democratic losses are Great Depression related (3), our entry into WW1 (1), and the 1997 ruble devaluation and the resulting Long Term Capital Management bailout (1).
… and before you respond with “Well, 6 of the Republican ones are GD related too”, I would like to note that the Republicans directed American economic policy from 1921-1933, so frankly, the Great Depression can be placed squarely on their shoulders, just as the Great Recession can be as well. (Going further, the Panic of 1873 and the subsequent depression was also during a string of Republican administrations (Grant (1869-1877), Hayes (1877-1881)), and I’m happy to discuss the causes of this, but very few are interested in 19th-century economic policy, alas.)
But, you know, movements in the DJIA are not exactly proof of my claim… just indicators… so let’s take another approach, shall we?
Since 1948 the Federal Reserve has published the Z1 report, entitled “Financial Accounts of the United States”. This report, for all intents and purposes, measures the balance sheet of our country to determine (line 31 in Appendix B1) the total National Net Worth of the US of A. And, as we all should’ve learned in high school:
Net Worth = (Assets – Liabilities)
So you take the complete value of the US’s assets (human capital, physical capital, stocks, land, etc) subtract all of our debt (government, corporate, civilian), and you have the National Net Worth. And I prefer this yardstick because the growth of wealth is what’s truly important. GDP is a far more commonly used figure, but [analogy alert!] GDP measures income while the Z1 report measures wealth. Lord knows I’ve heard a variant of this a million times, even on the SDMB: You’re better off making $50k a year and saving $1k than you are making $100k a year and spending $110k. “GDP” wise, person 2 is doing better, but “Net Worth” wise, person 1 is doing better. [/analogy alert!]
Fortunately for us, I’ve reviewed 70 years of Z1.B1 reports, adjusted for inflation (2015 dollars), and correlated it to Presidential Administrations. And what did I find?
That Republicans just suck at creating wealth, that… with the exception of Eisenhower… the party is addicted to debt-fueled growth, and while this addiction might boost GDP and make it appear the country is growing wealthier, in fact, it isn’t.
Post 1948 Presidential Administrations ranked by Year-over-year compounded increases in National Net Worth as determined by the Federal Reserve’s Financial Accounts of the United States:
[ul]
[li]1. Clinton, 5.08%, Dem[/li][li]2. Eisenhower, 5.06%, Rep[/li][li]3. Truman, 4.94%, Dem[/li][li]4. Johnson, 4.56%, Dem[/li][li]5. Kennedy, 4.46%, Dem[/li][li]6. Obama, 4.27%, Dem[/li][li]7. Ford, 3.38%, Rep[/li][li]8. Reagan, 2.85%, Rep (! Remember what I said about debt-fueled growth? You can lie to the GDP, but you can’t lie to the NNW!)[/li][li]9. Carter, 2.42%, Dem[/li][li]10. Nixon, 1.22%, Rep[/li][li]11. GHW Bush, 0.94%, Rep[/li][li]12. GW Bush, .14%, Rep[/ul][/li]
(Disclaimer: Partial data for the Truman Administration (1944-1948 was not measured), no data for the Trump Administration)
That last is amazing – Under Bush2, the total net worth of this country grew at an annual compounded rate of .14%! Not 14%, not 1.4%, but .14%! And his Dad wasn’t much better, tbh.
So… politics aside… there is strong correlative evidence published by the Federal Reserve which proves that Republican Administrations are horrible, simply horrible, at creating wealth.
I stand by my statement: The Republican party doesn’t really know how to manage a post-1860, post-slavery economy. They just don’t, and we’re seeing it (AGAIN) today.