# Take a guess at when you will end up being vaccinated **URL:** \ **Category:** The Quarantine Zone\ **Tags:** covid-quarantine\ **Created:** [December 27, 2020, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006 "2020-12-27T04:33:47Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 29
**Author:** ![carrps](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carrps/32/2957_2.png) [@carrps](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/carrps)\ **Post date:** [March 22, 2021, 6:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/563 "2021-03-22T18:52:28Z")
Pretty much everybody in my family has been vaccinated (small family). I get my second shot next week, and then I’ll be done. The only one not vaccinated is my niece and grand-nephew. They’re both too young. My nephew and nephew-in-law are both RNs, so they were actually the first in the family to be vaccinated. Us oldsters are in the second “ordinary people” round. I’m a bit nervous. My older sister and BiL had no reactions, but my younger sister was really sick for about 36 hours after her second Moderna shot. ---
**Author:** ![squeegee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/squeegee/32/14537_2.png) [@squeegee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/squeegee)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 12:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/564 "2021-03-23T00:16:15Z")
> [@squeegee](#): > > Well, here’s discouraging news for my chances: the rate of vaccinations in California has actually been _falling_ all month, not picking up speed. Here’s a chart I snagged from a [Sacramento Bee article](https://www.sacbee.com/article250072249.html) that’s paywalled (well, free-subscription-walled): > > The dotted line is statewide, showing 2800 doses per 100k residents / week, or 1.1 million people/week. That number needs to _triple_ to get to the state’s target in the next 5 1/2 weeks. Okay, this is weird. I found [another story in the Sacramento Bee](https://www.sacbee.com/news/coronavirus/article250025634.html) showing a vaccines per 100k/week chart that doesn’t match the other one at all. There’s newer data, but the rate of vaccination doses a week is about 4400ish on 3/14, vs 2800ish on the same day in an article in the same paper. I don’t know what gives. [[Album] imgur.com ![](https://i.imgur.com/KKdeV9w.jpeg?fb "imgur.com") ](https://imgur.com/a/B0HZGhe) The underlying data is [here](https://data.ca.gov/dataset/covid-19-vaccine-progress-dashboard-data/resource/ad88b39f-49ed-4b3f-9a29-0aa9705c1dc1), but it’s doses per county per diem, so teasing out a weekly statewide rate is non trivial. ---
**Author:** ![suranyi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e36b37/32.png) [@suranyi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/suranyi)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 12:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/565 "2021-03-23T00:31:25Z")
The sources usually say data, especially within the last five days, is subject to change. I have seen the numbers for recent days change dramatically. So don’t use very recent vaccination data as evidence of anything. ---
**Author:** ![squeegee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/squeegee/32/14537_2.png) [@squeegee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/squeegee)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/566 "2021-03-23T02:22:11Z")
Where do you look for California data on vaccinations? I don’t find stuff like [this](https://data.chhs.ca.gov/dataset/e283ee5a-cf18-4f20-a92c-ee94a2866ccd/resource/77f6c0ad-5b27-49e0-9fa2-b63f110210f3/download/vaccine-progress-dashboard-zs7gs8.zip) easily digestible. Thanks in advance. ---
**Author:** ![suranyi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e36b37/32.png) [@suranyi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/suranyi)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 2:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/567 "2021-03-23T02:47:53Z")
I don’t know about California, but Alameda County is [here](https://app.powerbigov.us/view?r=eyJrIjoiMzZhZDA1NDMtYjU4OS00NWNiLTliYmUtZWNmYzhiNDJiY2FiIiwidCI6IjMyZmRmZjJjLWY4NmUtNGJhMy1hNDdkLTZhNDRhN2Y0NWE2NCJ9): ---
**Author:** ![Saintly\_Loser](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saintly_loser/32/4045_2.png) [@Saintly\_Loser](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saintly_Loser)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 2:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/568 "2021-03-23T02:57:05Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > CVS apparently has a policy of not strictly verifying information prior to making an appointment or when one shows up. It’s the honor system. They don’t want to be in the business of policing and I don’t blame them. Seems like the same policy applies at Duane Reade/Walgreens where I got my first shot last week. I filled out the form quite truthfully (vaccines were available to anyone over 60, and I think it’s anyone over 50 now, or maybe just open to all), but nobody asked for ID or proof of age or anything at all when I went in for the shot. ---
**Author:** ![JaneDoe42](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/janedoe42/32/14104_2.png) [@JaneDoe42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JaneDoe42)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 5:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/569 "2021-03-23T05:09:20Z")
I wouldn’t have any hard feelings if folks from California or other bordering states were to come to Arizona and help use up the unwanted 58,000\* doses. The only requirements are to be 16 or older and have some sort of picture ID and I’m doubting that the ID is much of an issue now. Do remember to mask up while you are waiting for full vaccination, IMHO Arizona will never reach 70% vaccinated. \*as of 3/22/21 am ---
**Author:** ![sachertorte](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sachertorte/32/3727_2.png) [@sachertorte](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/sachertorte)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 1:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/570 "2021-03-23T13:25:04Z")
Has anyone heard something about the JNJ vaccine rollout rate? Last month they were saying 20 million doses by the end of March, but the MA numbers are really low (one eighth what would be expected). On one hand, boo. On the other, vaccination rate is still going up so if JNJ gets their shit together, it will be even better. ---
**Author:** ![Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/do_not_taunt/32/2968_2.png) [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Do_Not_Taunt)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/571 "2021-03-23T16:59:35Z")
> [@sachertorte](#): > > Has anyone heard something about the JNJ vaccine rollout rate? Last month they were saying 20 million doses by the end of March, but the MA numbers are really low (one eighth what would be expected). Can’t say anything about any specific states, but if you want national data, you can also peek at the [CDC tracker](https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations). As of today, looks like 4.5MM doses have been ‘delivered’, but only 2.5MM have gone into arms. ---
**Author:** ![TheCuse](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thecuse/32/2854_2.png) [@TheCuse](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TheCuse)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 7:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/572 "2021-03-23T19:08:40Z")
NY State lowered the age to 50+ yesterday. So I signed up at my pharmacy (Walgreens) and there are a ton of spots available. So I am getting my first dose tomorrow (Moderna) at lunch time, and then the 2nd shot April 21st. It’s right down the street from me so it’s super convenient. ---
**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 9:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/573 "2021-03-23T21:49:13Z")
> [@Ludovic](#): > > Florida recently opened up to 50+ ages in certain professions. I’m not sure if this is for me, > A) a good sign because it shows we are making progress, > B) a neutral sign because Florida is opening up new categories for no good reason, or > C) a bad sign if it means Florida’s next opening would be everybody in the 50+ age range, which would exclude me. It turns out it was a mix between A) and C), that is, of course, if the data from Florida aren’t faked. This week they opened it up to everyone 50 and older which leaves me falling just short. But the good news is this is happening a month before I was expecting it, so maybe I am not that far off. ---
**Author:** ![eschrodinger](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschrodinger/32/122_2.png) [@eschrodinger](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschrodinger)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2021, 10:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/574 "2021-03-23T22:59:50Z")
I don’t know exactly when yet, but I just got notified that I’ve been selected to schedule at one of the big vaccination sites here. I don’t know how hard it will be to schedule, either. But I’m excited to be getting closer. I’m guessing I’ll have my first shot within a couple of weeks. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 1:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/575 "2021-03-24T01:19:57Z")
> [@thorny\_locust](#): > > That one strikes me as a quite reasonable exception; and that sort of thing is probably why NY does allow for case-by-case exceptions. This morning I helped an eligible friend sign up for a vaccine on the CVS system. For a first shot, they schedule no more than four days out. The closest place that she could find a vaccine was about 60 miles away on Friday. When she got to the part where she was to schedule her second shot, they didn’t even assume that she was to get it at the same place. She got to pick. She found a closer place, still not in town, in the other direction. ---
**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/576 "2021-03-24T01:27:04Z")
Obviously, California and New York aren’t doing this exactly the same way. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 2:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/577 "2021-03-24T02:16:59Z")
With the exception, at least, of CVS Pharmacies. Just checked. ---
**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/578 "2021-03-24T02:18:52Z")
From a computer and address in NY? ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/579 "2021-03-24T02:24:57Z")
Well no. Using the scheduling system with a NY zip code. I don’t see why they would use my IP address to make exceptions but I suppose it’s possible. I agree that there is a guidance (which you showed) but it doesn’t have to be explicitly followed. I won’t be getting a NY vax but some people here will and they should be aware that they can easily get their shot in two different places. Anyone who is reading this will have to make their own moral decision about following the guidance which they probably wouldn’t have even been aware of had they just gotten on the CVS web page one morning to schedule. ---
**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/580 "2021-03-24T03:02:50Z")
> [@hajario](#): > > which they probably wouldn’t have even been aware of had they just gotten on the CVS web page one morning to schedule. CVS web page clearly told me to schedule the second appointment when I made the first, and to schedule it at the same place. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/581 "2021-03-24T03:46:30Z")
That’s interesting. I wonder if there was a policy change at some point. ---
**Author:** ![eschrodinger](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eschrodinger/32/122_2.png) [@eschrodinger](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/eschrodinger)\ **Post date:** [March 24, 2021, 4:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/582 "2021-03-24T04:05:44Z")
Now I know exactly when. April 4 at 12:45. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006.md?page=28) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006.md?page=30)