# Take a guess at when you will end up being vaccinated **URL:** \ **Category:** The Quarantine Zone\ **Tags:** covid-quarantine\ **Created:** [December 27, 2020, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006 "2020-12-27T04:33:47Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 7
**Author:** ![Eva\_Luna](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/e495f1/32.png) [@Eva\_Luna](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Eva_Luna)\ **Post date:** [January 11, 2021, 7:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/121 "2021-01-11T19:13:28Z")
My dad now has an appointment for a week from today. He is 80, asthmatic, and lives in NewYork. He previously tested positive for antibodies, but I don’t think anyone even asked about that before letting him make the appointment. Which totally makes sense given that we have no idea how long antibodies provide protection, and in any case he was likely infected in March when my (now late) stepmother was. ---
**Author:** ![Mr.Duality](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mr.duality/32/4098_2.png) [@Mr.Duality](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr.Duality)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 2:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/122 "2021-01-12T14:06:12Z")
My appointment for the first dose is January 25th, at a VA hospital. The 2nd dose will be February 23rd. I’m over 65 but have no other risk factors. ---
**Author:** ![chappachula](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/d2c977/32.png) [@chappachula](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/chappachula)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 2:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/123 "2021-01-12T14:32:30Z")
Sometimes it’s good to live in a very tiny country in a war zone, with a very centralized medical system. (Israel) So far, 73% of all citizens over age 60 have received their first shot,(with the second one scheduled 21 days afterwards. My second shot will be next week, Jan 20. ) The shots are now being given to everyone over 50. Most appointments are at the normal neighborhood medical clinics, but in some cities they are also using sports arenas and convention centers. Population of the country is 9 million people, 1.9 million have been vaccinated so far. ---
**Author:** ![ZipperJJ](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zipperjj/32/211_2.png) [@ZipperJJ](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ZipperJJ)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 3:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/124 "2021-01-12T15:11:44Z")
I checked the Ohio website last night. It seems that there is only a plan for people 65 and up, healthcare workers (including EMS), people in assisted living, people in psych hospitals, cognitively disabled people and educators. Those plans go through February. I’m diabetic and obese, but only 41 and don’t work away from home. I’d hope that after the above-mentioned people they can get to incarcerated people and essential workers. I suspect I’ll be after all them, and before young, healthy people and kids. Like maybe the front of the line for my age group. I’d suspect Ohio is kind of weird when it comes to rollout. We’ve got a huuuuuge medical community (Cleveland Clinic actually has competitors) but also plenty of rural communities which always come with scarcity. I haven’t heard of how the rollout’s going, one way or another. ---
**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 3:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/125 "2021-01-12T15:18:35Z")
Just cross posting from the other thread. If somebody could check if I’ve done the calculation right, I estimate that everyone in the U.S. who wants to be vaccinated should be done by about July. > [@CDC says 1 million vaccinations given in 10 days. Is that possible?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/cdc-says-1-million-vaccinations-given-in-10-days-is-that-possible/928816/65): > > Better than I expected, if I’ve done the numbers right. According to that graph, the U.S. is now vaccinating 0.2% of the population per day. Given the starting problems with the infrastructure, I think it’s conservative to assume that we will increase that to 0.5% per day. But we need two shots, so let’s assume 0.25% per day over the next few months. 24% of the population is under 18, and let’s assume that another 26% will reject vaccination, so half the population want to be vaccinated. … ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 3:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/126 "2021-01-12T15:20:46Z")
I’m in Maryland, in the 65-74 age group. Gov. Hogan says the target for commencing vaccinations for my cohort is early March. So I’m hoping for March, probably settling for April. Already have a song in mind for when I get that second shot. To the tune of the refrain of “Double Shot (of My Baby’s Love)”: _Double shot of my covid vax, yeah yeah yeah_ _Double shot of my covid vax_ _Now I know I can finally relax, I’ve got a_ _Double shot of my covid vax_ ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 3:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/127 "2021-01-12T15:22:49Z")
Nitpick: 16-17 year olds can get vaccinated, and probably should. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [January 12, 2021, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/128 "2021-01-12T17:44:08Z")
49, healthy, not in an essential job or health care. I will get my first shot of the Pfizer vaccine on June 19, and my second shot on July 5. No, of course they’re not scheduled that far ahead, but won’t you all be impressed if my guess turns out to be right. ---
**Author:** ![Fretful\_Porpentine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fretful_porpentine/32/2873_2.png) [@Fretful\_Porpentine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fretful_Porpentine)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 12:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/129 "2021-01-13T00:16:08Z")
February, apparently? At least, that’s when they just announced it was going to happen for higher ed employees in my state. This is all happening much faster than I would have expected; my dad and my brother have already had their first shot. ---
**Author:** ![FigNorton](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fignorton/32/5619_2.png) [@FigNorton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FigNorton)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 12:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/130 "2021-01-13T00:35:11Z")
The Moderna vaccine has not been approved for under 18 so no, they probably shouldn’t. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 1:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/131 "2021-01-13T01:38:09Z")
Pfizer is approved for 16 and up so they should. ---
**Author:** ![FigNorton](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fignorton/32/5619_2.png) [@FigNorton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FigNorton)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/132 "2021-01-13T01:54:20Z")
Sure. Don’t think many 16 yr olds were in the study groups but whatever, right? ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 6:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/133 "2021-01-13T06:01:32Z")
And how do you know this? There had to have been a decent number for them to recommend it for them and to get approval? ---
**Author:** ![FigNorton](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fignorton/32/5619_2.png) [@FigNorton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FigNorton)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 12:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/134 "2021-01-13T12:04:51Z")
It is likely why the approval vote wasn’t unanimous. [https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-12-15/fda-panelists-no-votes-on-pfizer-covid-19-vaccine-need-to-be-explained](https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-12-15/fda-panelists-no-votes-on-pfizer-covid-19-vaccine-need-to-be-explained) > [@](#): > > The key point of contention appeared to be that there were only 153 participants between the ages of 16 and 18 in the trial. It is very likely the dissenters were reluctant to recommend approval for this younger group without more data. > **[FDA advisor explains why she voted against recommending Pfizer's Covid...](https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/11/dr-archana-chatterjee-explains-her-fda-panel-no-vote-on-pfizer-covid-vaccine.html)** > > Dr. Archana Chatterjee told CNBC on Friday she's "fully supportive" of emergency use authorization for people who are 18 years and older. ---
**Author:** ![FigNorton](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fignorton/32/5619_2.png) [@FigNorton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FigNorton)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 12:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/135 "2021-01-13T12:14:46Z")
Footnote: the Moderna approval vote for use in 18+ _was_ unanimous. > **[FDA panel endorses second Covid vaccine in U.S. as Moderna wins key vote in...](https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/17/moderna-covid-vaccine-fda-panel-recommends-emergency-approval.html)** > > An influential FDA advisory panel on Thursday overwhelmingly voted to recommend the approval of Moderna's coronavirus vaccine for emergency use. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 4:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/136 "2021-01-13T16:24:59Z")
The Pfizer vote was 17-3 with one abstention. ---
**Author:** ![FigNorton](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fignorton/32/5619_2.png) [@FigNorton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FigNorton)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 4:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/137 "2021-01-13T16:54:53Z")
Yes, I linked the article saying that. You asked how I knew that very few 16 yr olds were part of the trial. If they had only sought approval for 18+ it would probably have been unanimous. ---
**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 5:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/138 "2021-01-13T17:41:55Z")
I agree. One of the three specifically cited that as her reason. It’s safe to assume that it was the reason for the other two. ---
**Author:** ![Crafter\_Man](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/crafter_man/32/458_2.png) [@Crafter\_Man](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Crafter_Man)\ **Post date:** [January 13, 2021, 6:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/139 "2021-01-13T18:02:47Z")
I received word from my workplace that I will be receiving it in the next day or two. ---
**Author:** ![Lancia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lancia/32/17174_2.png) [@Lancia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lancia)\ **Post date:** [January 14, 2021, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006/140 "2021-01-14T01:26:06Z")
I just found out that I am _not_ next in line, apparently “K-12 teachers and school district staff” does not include those working for community college despite that fact that I’m working at a specialized satellite campus (essentially a boarding school), with teenage students, doing F2F teaching as of next week. So… guess I’m back at the end of the line. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006.md?page=6) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/take-a-guess-at-when-you-will-end-up-being-vaccinated/929006.md?page=8)