# The 2020 Presidential election betting thread.

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [April 21, 2019, 3:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856 "2019-04-21T15:49:48Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 15\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Mr\_Shine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mr_shine/32/464_2.png) [@Mr\_Shine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr_Shine)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 10:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/21 "2019-04-23T10:25:24Z")

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You miss the point: the :rolleyes: was for you. Trying to claim you’re betting “qatloos” for the **second time** in a thread that was already clearly stated to be talking about **real bets** you **actually placed** with **real money.** I’m not sure why the concept is so hard for you.

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 10:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/22 "2019-04-23T10:29:38Z")

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Yes I know and I’m ignoring that. It’s not hard at all because this is not a thread about real bets, per the mods. I don’t know why that concept is so hard for you.

Anyway I wish I could bet real money on this here.

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**Author:** ![Mr\_Shine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mr_shine/32/464_2.png) [@Mr\_Shine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr_Shine)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 10:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/23 "2019-04-23T10:33:58Z")

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> [@Quartz](#):
>
> Let’s keep this thread for real bets by people prepared to put their money where their mouths are.

> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> I’m going to interpret that as meaning you can discuss your own wagers outside the dope

This thread is for people who actually placed bets, not those waffling on about quatloos.

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 11:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/24 "2019-04-23T11:16:45Z")

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You conveniently missed a few quotes.

> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> No cash wagers on the Straight Dope.

> [@](#):
>
> you cannot bet cash with other Dopers regardless of the two party’s location.

> [@](#):
>
> I’m going to leave this thread open given the above ruling. But let’s try to keep within the guidelines, please.

It’s not that difficult to understand. Really.

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**Author:** ![Mr\_Shine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mr_shine/32/464_2.png) [@Mr\_Shine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr_Shine)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 11:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/25 "2019-04-23T11:32:51Z")

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> [@Bullitt](#):
>
> It’s not that difficult to understand. Really.

No, it really isn’t.

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**Author:** ![Mr\_Shine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mr_shine/32/464_2.png) [@Mr\_Shine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr_Shine)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 11:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/26 "2019-04-23T11:36:31Z")

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But to make it clear

No cash wagers\*\* on the Straight Dope.\*\*

you cannot bet cash **with other Dopers** regardless of the two party’s location.

Nothing about not talking about betting cash, which is the point of **this thread.**

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**Author:** ![dalej42](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@dalej42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dalej42)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 5:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/27 "2019-04-23T17:49:20Z")

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> [@Quartz](#):
>
> Might as well start it now.
> 
> I’ve just placed £10 on Pete Buttigieg at 10/1.

I’m going to be in the UK next week. Where can I place a similar bet? Is it online only or can I walk into a Ladbrokes or similar betting shop?

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**Author:** ![Mr\_Shine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mr_shine/32/464_2.png) [@Mr\_Shine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mr_Shine)\
**Post date:** [April 23, 2019, 6:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/28 "2019-04-23T18:06:48Z")

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> [@dalej42](#):
>
> I’m going to be in the UK next week. Where can I place a similar bet? Is it online only or can I walk into a Ladbrokes or similar betting shop?

You can certainly place politics bets in the physical bookies, and link it to your account if you have one. I’m not sure how you would conveniently get your money though if you don’t have an account, unless you were going back to UK in Nov 2020

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**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [April 24, 2019, 6:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/29 "2019-04-24T18:45:58Z")

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> [@KarlGauss](#):
>
> Are federal elections really considered a sport?

It was up to interpretation as to whether or not the law applied just to sports.

Note that Nevada still specifically outlaws its casinos/sports books from taking bets on elections.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2019, 12:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/30 "2019-04-25T00:56:01Z")

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> [@Mr\_Shine](#):
>
> But to make it clear
> 
> No cash wagers\*\* on the Straight Dope.\*\*
> 
> you cannot bet cash **with other Dopers** regardless of the two party’s location.
> 
> Nothing about not talking about betting cash, which is the point of **this thread.**

The point of the thread is election betting. Nothing says cash in the OP. The only restriction placed upon posters is to not bet cash with each other. We’re not in the position of being a clearinghouse for election wagering nor do we want to be.

But if someone wants to bet quatloos, points toward heaven or whatever that’s as valid as anything else.

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**Author:** ![Thing\_Fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ecb155/32.png) [@Thing\_Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing_Fish)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2019, 5:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/31 "2019-04-25T05:48:06Z")

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I’d guesstimate current odds as like

Trump 2-1  
Biden, Harris 6-1  
Bernie 8-1  
Beto, Warren, Mayor Pete 10-1  
Everyone else at least 20-1

So is there anywhere I can get significantly better odds than those on any of the candidates?

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**Author:** ![octopus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/octopus/32/3716_2.png) [@octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/octopus)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2019, 6:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/32 "2019-04-25T06:16:53Z")

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> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> The point of the thread is election betting. Nothing says cash in the OP. The only restriction placed upon posters is to not bet cash with each other. We’re not in the position of being a clearinghouse for election wagering nor do we want to be.
> 
> But if someone wants to bet quatloos, points toward heaven or whatever that’s as valid as anything else.

Avatar bets is where it’s at.

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**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2019, 8:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/33 "2019-04-25T08:47:20Z")

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> [@Thing\_Fish](#):
>
> I’d guesstimate current odds as like
> 
> Trump 2-1

Ladbrokes have Trump at 5/4, Sanders at 6/1, Biden at 8/1, Harris and Buttigieg at 10/1, Beto at 20/1, and Warren at 33/1.

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**Author:** ![penultima\_thule](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/penultima_thule/32/3833_2.png) [@penultima\_thule](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/penultima_thule)\
**Post date:** [April 25, 2019, 2:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/34 "2019-04-25T14:01:36Z")

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> [@Thing\_Fish](#):
>
> I’d guesstimate current odds as like
> 
> Trump 2-1  
> Biden, Harris 6-1  
> Bernie 8-1  
> Beto, Warren, Mayor Pete 10-1  
> Everyone else at least 20-1
> 
> So is there anywhere I can get significantly better odds than those on any of the candidates?

Current odds being offered by William Hill:

Trump. 5/4  
Sanders 6/1  
Biden. 8/1  
Harris. 8/1  
Buttigieg 8/1  
O’Rourke 10/1

Plenty of arbitrage options there

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Unreconstructed\_Man](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/76d3ee/32.png) [@Unreconstructed\_Man](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Unreconstructed_Man)\
**Post date:** [May 5, 2020, 8:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2020-presidential-election-betting-thread/832856/36 "2020-05-05T08:23:14Z")

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Reported.

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