# The 2026 Oscars (celebrating films of 2025) - nominations, predictions, discussion

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926>\
**Category:** Cafe Society\
**Tags:** movies\
**Created:** [January 22, 2026, 3:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926 "2026-01-22T15:11:25Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 6

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2026, 11:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/101 "2026-03-13T23:52:35Z")

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> [@JohnT](#):
>
> > [@wolfpup](#):
> >
> > it lacks the charm of Yorgos Lanthimos’ previous _Poor Things_. &nbsp;
> 
> Holy shit, I have never seen a movie damned as much as this quote damns _Bugonia_.

Respectfully, to a genuinely respected poster, we seem to have radically different opinions about movies, but to each their own – there is no objective truth in art. But at least we share common ground about dogs – please give loving skritches to Luna on my behalf! 🐶

Moving on to the main topic, having just seen _Train Dreams_, I’ve now seen all ten of the Best Picture nominees. There are so many great movies there that it’s hard to pick a favourite, although I’m sure the voters will select one of the lesser ones like _One Battle After Another_. If that wins BP, and DiCaprio wins Best Actor, I’m giving up on the Oscars. Same if _Marty Supreme_ wins anything.

FWIW, my faves – in no particular order – are _Sentimental Value_, _Hamnet_, and _Frankenstein_, with _Bugonia_ and _Train Dreams_ trailing a little behind.

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**Author:** ![Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/elmer_j.fudd/32/1211_2.png) [@Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elmer_J.Fudd)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2026, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/102 "2026-03-14T01:32:52Z")

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This may be the first time my favorite and my prediction for Best Picture align. _One Battle After Another_ hits the sweet spot for Academy voters wanting to acknowledge the ridiculous state of our politics right now. They’ll make it up to _Sinners_ with Best Actor and a half dozen other well deserved wins. Amy Madigan is going to win for not just a great performance but also to make up for snubs of _Weapons_ in other categories. My personal victory will be if _Marty Supreme_ gets completely shut out.

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**Author:** ![Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eyebrows_0f_doom/32/3119_2.png) [@Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Eyebrows_0f_Doom)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2026, 2:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/103 "2026-03-14T02:34:36Z")

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It’s weird how Leo has basically no shot at winning when he seems like such a sure thing when One Battle first opened. Micheal B Jordan is now the front runner ahead of Timmy. It would be really cool if Wagner Moura managed a win, and the Brazilian contingent is strong. I’d probably say now it’ll be Jordan, and well-deserved.

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**Author:** ![dummygladhands71](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/c0e974/32.png) [@dummygladhands71](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dummygladhands71)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 4:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/104 "2026-03-15T04:36:57Z")

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Marty Supreme??!! really?? I quit

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**Author:** ![Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eyebrows_0f_doom/32/3119_2.png) [@Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Eyebrows_0f_Doom)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 5:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/105 "2026-03-15T05:11:19Z")

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Alright, I have finalized my Oscar predictions. Three of the four acting awards are _really_ up in the air and can go in several ways. (Jessie Buckley will win. The other three, I dunno!) I suspect I will be wrong in one or more of those three categories but I had to choose someone.

Best Picture: One Battle After Another

Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson

Best Actor: Michael B. Jordan

Best Actress: Jessie Buckley

Best Supporting Actor: Sean Penn

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Madigan

Best Original Screenplay: Sinners

Best Adapted Screenplay: One Battle After Another

Best Animated Feature: K-Pop Demon Hunters

Best Song: “Golden” from K-Pop Demon Hunters

Best Score: Sinners

Best Cinematography: One Battle After Another

Best Editing: One Battle After Another

Best Production Design: Frankenstein

Best Costume: Frankenstein

Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Frankenstein

Best Casting: Sinners

Best Sound: F1

Best Visual Effects: Avatar: Fire & Ash

Best International Feature: Sentimental Value

Best Documentary: The Perfect Neighbor

Best Live Action Short: Two People Exchanging Saliva

Best Animated Short: Butterfly

Best Documentary Short: All the Empty Rooms

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 2:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/106 "2026-03-15T14:43:49Z")

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> [@dummygladhands71](#):
>
> Marty Supreme??!! really?? I quit

Huh???

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**Author:** ![Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/elmer_j.fudd/32/1211_2.png) [@Elmer\_J.Fudd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elmer_J.Fudd)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 2:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/107 "2026-03-15T14:53:22Z")

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I finally saw **Blue Moon** last night. I still think Michael B. Jordan will win, but Ethan Hawke is my personal favorite.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 4:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/108 "2026-03-15T16:42:28Z")

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> [@Maserschmidt](#):
>
> On a side topic, every Oscar season my friends and I catalog actors who appear in multiple nominees (there are always some). So far, I see Kerry Condon (F1 and Train Dreams), plus on the non-actor side, two films had brief appearances of 2-headed animals (I won’t list those due to possible spoilers).

Nathaniel Arcand plays the Choctaw vampire-chaser in Sinners, and Joel Edgerton’s friend/employer in Train Dreams.

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**Author:** ![peccavi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/peccavi/32/388_2.png) [@peccavi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/peccavi)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 7:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/109 "2026-03-15T19:26:50Z")

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> [@Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](#):
>
> Alright, I have finalized my Oscar predictions. Three of the four acting awards are _really_ up in the air and can go in several ways. (Jessie Buckley will win. The other three, I dunno!) I suspect I will be wrong in one or more of those three categories but I had to choose someone.

Hey! We match (on the subset of predictions I made). Which, of course, means this will be an evening of upsets. 🙃

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 10:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/110 "2026-03-15T22:02:06Z")

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I Presume this is going to be the watch along thread, if any thread is?

I have not seen the Oscars in decades, I have never really had the means to for a long time, but I recently got live TV on Hulu, so I figured… Why not? Why not catch them tonight? This will be the first time I’m catching them as they go on since probably… Maybe early 2000s. I’m strangely excited so I am obviously looking for and hoping a watch along threat exists, I assume this will be it.

Also, I am woefully behind when it comes to movies. I am behind on my movies by at least 6 or 7 years, so I have not even heard of any of the movies nominated in any of the awards tonight, but that’s not the reason why I watch anyway, I like to watch just for the excitement and the spectacle and to be able to say that I watched.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 10:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/111 "2026-03-15T22:42:54Z")

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> [@Idle\_Thoughts](#):
>
> I Presume this is going to be the watch along thread, if any thread is?

Makes sense!

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 10:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/112 "2026-03-15T22:57:45Z")

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So is it a spoiler to say what won? I mean, I know that some record things to watch later and some might catch things later on on streaming services like peacock or hulu. I don’t really know what the rules are regarding these threads.

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/113 "2026-03-15T23:00:46Z")

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> [@Idle\_Thoughts](#):
>
> So is it a spoiler to say what won? I mean, I know that some record things to watch later and some might catch things later on on streaming services like peacock or hulu.

I may not watch it until tomorrow, but I would say it’s absolutely NOT a spoiler to say what won – it’s kinda hard to avoid if you go to any news source, which will be blasting the major winners in giant headlines! So, IMHO, go nuts! 🙂 I’m sure I’m going to disagree with many of the picks, so may as well get my disappointment out of the way ahead of time!

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/114 "2026-03-15T23:01:27Z")

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I saw go full spoilers as it airs. Totally a viewing thread.

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/115 "2026-03-15T23:24:02Z")

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Amy Madigan wins for Weapons the best actress in a supporting role award

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/116 "2026-03-15T23:27:08Z")

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Well, that was expected, but disappointing to me because it wasn’t memorable – as in, I literally don’t remember anything spectacular about her performance. But let’s move on …

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/117 "2026-03-15T23:30:16Z")

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Conan O’Brien: Welcome back to the “has a small penis” theater. Let’s see him put his name in front of that.

That was comedy gold

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**Author:** ![JRDelirious](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jrdelirious/32/9531_2.png) [@JRDelirious](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JRDelirious)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/118 "2026-03-15T23:32:23Z")

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Surprising no one, Animated Feature goes to KPop Demon Hunters.

After a rather cringe attempt at banter between the presenters.

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/119 "2026-03-15T23:33:35Z")

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I was kind of pulling for Zootopia 2 because I loved the first one, whereas I’ve never even heard of K-pop Demon Hunters until tonight.

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**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\
**Post date:** [March 15, 2026, 11:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-2026-oscars-celebrating-films-of-2025-nominations-predictions-discussion/1026926/120 "2026-03-15T23:36:29Z")

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The Girl Who Cried Pearls won the Oscar for best animated short.

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