# The American Idol Results Prediction Contest (Year 2)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390>\
**Category:** Cafe Society\
**Created:** [March 10, 2007, 5:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390 "2007-03-10T17:41:32Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [March 29, 2007, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/41 "2007-03-29T03:25:11Z")

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Well, this was an easy one to tabulate. Since the lowest anyone predicted Chris Sligh would finish was seventh, everyone gets to be a loser this week!

The Standings:  
1st Place: **micahjn** , **Nutty Bunny** and **Omega Glory** with three points each  
2nd Place: **Reloy3** and **Tangent** with one point each  
3rd Place: You, me, and everyone else not mentioned above without a damn point between us.

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [March 29, 2007, 4:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/42 "2007-03-29T04:36:11Z")

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Yep, no point changes this week. Maximum possible score is 10.

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [April 5, 2007, 4:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/43 "2007-04-05T04:33:18Z")

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Again, no change in score. Aren’t we doing great? :dubious:

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [April 12, 2007, 8:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/44 "2007-04-12T20:27:50Z")

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\<Gasp!\> People scored this week!

**Omega Glory** and **vivalostwages** each picked that Haley would get booted last week. Being off by a week gives them each one “close enough” point.

Latest Standings:  
1st Place: **Omega Glory** stands alone atop the heap with a big, fat four points  
2nd Place: **micahjn** and **Nutty Bunny** with three points each  
3rd Place: **Reloy3** , **Tangent** and **vivalostwages** with one point each

And, of course, we have our 13-way tie for last place – everyone else with zip, nada, zilch, zero points.

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**Author:** ![vivalostwages](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d07c76/32.png) [@vivalostwages](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/vivalostwages)\
**Post date:** [April 12, 2007, 8:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/45 "2007-04-12T20:36:00Z")

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[QUOTE=Hal Briston]  
\<Gasp!\> People scored this week!

**Omega Glory** and **vivalostwages** each picked that Haley would get booted last week. Being off by a week gives them each one “close enough” point.

Latest Standings:  
1st Place: **Omega Glory** stands alone atop the heap with a big, fat four points  
2nd Place: **micahjn** and **Nutty Bunny** with three points each  
3rd Place: **Reloy3** , **Tangent** and **vivalostwages** with one point each

And, of course, we have our 13-way tie for last place – everyone else with zip, nada, zilch, zero points.  
[/QUOTE]

Well, hey! I’ll take whatever I can get at this point!

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**Author:** ![rockle](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/73ab20/32.png) [@rockle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rockle)\
**Post date:** [April 12, 2007, 11:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/46 "2007-04-12T23:10:01Z")

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[QUOTE=Hal Briston]  
And, of course, we have our 13-way tie for last place – everyone else with zip, nada, zilch, zero points.  
[/QUOTE]  
I like to think of it as a 13-way tie for _fourth_ place. 😉

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [April 13, 2007, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/47 "2007-04-13T02:37:05Z")

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Oops, forgot to post last night. Scores are easy to calculate when we’re all doing lousy. 🙂

Maximum possible is up to 21 points.

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [April 19, 2007, 5:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/48 "2007-04-19T05:02:07Z")

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American Idol Finalists:  
7. Sanjaya Malakar  
8. Haley Scarnato  
9. Gina Glocksen  
10. Chris Sligh  
11. Stephanie Edwards  
12. Brandon Rogers

Maximum possible score: 27  
[ul]  
[li] 4: **micahjn** , **Omega Glory** , **Tangent** [/li][li] 3: **Nutty Bunny** [/li][li] 2: **Reloy3** [/li][li] 1: **DanBlather** , **vivalostwages** [/li][/ul]

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [May 1, 2007, 10:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/49 "2007-05-01T22:12:22Z")

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Just need to put in a note for this week’s update. Because of last week’s non-elimination, we’re going to have to make an update to this week’s rules. Here’s how we’ll work it:

_Hopefully_, when they eliminate the bottom two tomorrow night, they will come right out and say “[Contestant A] is the lowest vote-getter, and [Contestant B] is the second-lowest vote-getter”. If that is the case, then “Contestant A” will be regarded as the Week 6 elimination and “Contestant B” will be regarded as the Week 5 elimination. We’ll be able to play this as if there was nothing out of the ordinary last week.

## However, if they don’t discern between the two (and knowing this show, that is a distinct possibility), then we’ll have to go into fallback mode. Here’s how we’ll do it:

Picking either one of the eliminated contestants in either the #6 or #5 slot will net you _two_ points. Since we can’t say if you were right on or one week off, we’ll split the difference between the three points and one point.

## If you picked either one of the eliminated contestants in either the #7 or #4 slot, that will net you one point this week.

Any questions/comments?

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [May 3, 2007, 2:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/50 "2007-05-03T02:57:01Z")

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Ok, since they didn’t announce who finished 6th and who finished 5th, we’re going to have to go with the backup plan. And because of that, we had a _whole_ lot of people get on the scoreboard this week:

Picking up two points were **Sam Stone** , **koeeoaddi** , **vivalostwages** , **Diogenes the Cynic** , **DanBlather** , **Queen Tonya** , **Millit the Frail** and **The SDMB Average Grouping**.  
Picking up one point were **Hal Briston** , **Liberal** , **Omega Glory** and **rockle**.

That means our leaderboard now shakes out as follows:

5 points: **Omega Glory**  
4 points: **micahjn** and **Tangent**  
3 points: **vivalostwages** , **Nutty Bunny** and **DanBlather**  
2 points: **Reloy3** , **Sam Stone** , **koeeoaddi** , **Diogenes the Cynic** , **Queen Tonya** , **Millit the Frail** and **The SDMB Average Grouping**  
1 point: **Hal Briston** , **Liberal** , and **rockle**

It’s going to be tricky to catch up to **Omega Glory** , who has three of the four Top Four still in play. Of course, there are a lot of players who can make a similar claim, so we’ll see how it shakes out.

(Bit of triva: With only two exceptions, everyone picked at least one Chris to make the Top Four)

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**Author:** ![Queen\_Tonya](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/4491bb/32.png) [@Queen\_Tonya](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Queen_Tonya)\
**Post date:** [May 5, 2007, 2:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/51 "2007-05-05T14:54:10Z")

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I’ve got two points, whee!!! 😃

Wow, looking at my list now, I’m only surprised at how low I had Jordin, even though everyone else seemed equally fooled by the Chris factor and had one or both of them higher.

And I still miss Gina, sigh.

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**Author:** ![Biggirl](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/biggirl/32/3294_2.png) [@Biggirl](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Biggirl)\
**Post date:** [May 5, 2007, 7:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/52 "2007-05-05T19:26:06Z")

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No points. I still have a chance for points though. Looking back on my list, I am struck by how far up I had Stephanie Edwards when now I can’t even remember what she looks like and have no recollection of anything she sang.

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**Author:** ![Queen\_Tonya](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/4491bb/32.png) [@Queen\_Tonya](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Queen_Tonya)\
**Post date:** [May 5, 2007, 7:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/53 "2007-05-05T19:56:05Z")

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I’ll share one of my points with you **BigG** and then we’ll be tied with the other three one-pointers. 🙂

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**Author:** ![vivalostwages](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d07c76/32.png) [@vivalostwages](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/vivalostwages)\
**Post date:** [May 5, 2007, 9:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/54 "2007-05-05T21:10:15Z")

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I’m still hoping for a few more points.

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [May 11, 2007, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/55 "2007-05-11T16:38:08Z")

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Ok all, here’s the latest:

Hitting the 4th place elimination dead-on and grabbing up two points were **koeeoaddi** , **Diogenes the Cynic** and **Nutty Bunny**.

Getting the “off by one week” one point were **Hal Briston** , **Sam Stone** , **vivalostwages** , **Reloy3** , **yellowval** , **micahjn** , **xnylder** , **Pleonast** , **Omega Glory** and **Tangent**.

That leaves our leaderboard looking like this:  
6 points: **Omega Glory**  
5 points: **micahjn** , **Nutty Bunny** and **Tangent**  
4 points: **vivalostwages** , **koeeoaddi** and **Diogenes the Cynic**  
3 points: **Sam Stone** , **Reloy3** and **DanBlather**  
2 points: **Hal Briston** , **Queen Tonya** , **Millit the Frail** and **The SDMB Average Grouping**  
1 point: **Pleonast** , **Liberal** , **yellowval** , **xnylder** and **rockle**

It’s going to be an interesting one these next two weeks. Both **koeeoaddi** and **Diogenes** have a chance at picking up turkey bonus points next week. In addition, there are the big bonus points for picking the overall winner. Of course, since nearly everyone picked Melinda to win, those may well pretty much cancel out almost across the board.

In fact, the player poised to make the biggest leap is **Tangent**. He’s the only player left who correctly picked the Top Three, and if they go out in the order he predicted, then he’ll win this by a thoroughly disgusting margin (it doesn’t help matters that I’m actively rooting for his prediction to come true).

Also, **Tangent** and **DanBlather** are the only players left who can possibly get any points out of Jordin, since most of the rest of us seem to have decided that she was a pleasant, but unremarkable singer. Ahh, we were so young and foolish then.

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**Author:** ![vivalostwages](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d07c76/32.png) [@vivalostwages](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/vivalostwages)\
**Post date:** [May 11, 2007, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/56 "2007-05-11T16:51:38Z")

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As I said before, next season I’m going to make up my list, then do some reshuffling. Maybe that way I’ll score more points.

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**Author:** ![Tangent](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tangent/32/3098_2.png) [@Tangent](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tangent)\
**Post date:** [May 11, 2007, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/57 "2007-05-11T17:01:32Z")

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[QUOTE=Hal Briston]  
In fact, the player poised to make the biggest leap is **Tangent**. He’s the only player left who correctly picked the Top Three, and if they go out in the order he predicted, then he’ll win this by a thoroughly disgusting margin (it doesn’t help matters that I’m actively rooting for his prediction to come true).  
[/QUOTE]

🆒

At this point, I won’t be suprised by any of the possible final placements, but I’m not real confident in Blake winning the top spot for me. If I had to make a prediction right now, I’d say Blake is out next with Melinda finishing in second place and Jordin winning it all.

Damn it! I may have to actually start phoning in some votes.

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**Author:** ![Nutty\_Bunny](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/d07c76/32.png) [@Nutty\_Bunny](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nutty_Bunny)\
**Post date:** [May 11, 2007, 5:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/58 "2007-05-11T17:17:31Z")

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[QUOTE=Tangent]  
🆒

At this point, I won’t be suprised by any of the possible final placements, but I’m not real confident in Blake winning the top spot for me. If I had to make a prediction right now, I’d say Blake is out next with Melinda finishing in second place and Jordin winning it all.

Damn it! I may have to actually start phoning in some votes.  
[/QUOTE]

I tried voting for Jordin this week (since I’m over Blake) and on both of her numbers, all I got for 45 minutes was “All circuits are busy”. I tried one of Blake’s numbers and got that, too. Since Ryan said there were 45 million votes and they were spread among 8 numbers, I’m not surprised.

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**Author:** ![Liberal](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/848f3c/32.png) [@Liberal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Liberal)\
**Post date:** [May 11, 2007, 5:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/59 "2007-05-11T17:20:43Z")

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I very prood of my one pint. […hick!..]

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**Author:** ![vivalostwages](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/d07c76/32.png) [@vivalostwages](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/vivalostwages)\
**Post date:** [May 17, 2007, 3:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-american-idol-results-prediction-contest-year-2/395390/60 "2007-05-17T03:13:08Z")

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Well, shoot…

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