Hi Chronos,
Thanks for your interesting post. This is like an adventure for me as I see that you are open to hearing things contrary to what you believe, yet you seem to believe that the “heretics” are so very wrong. But since you have not engaged in any personal attacks, which are so common with people against Arp and Hoyle etc…, I feel perhaps we can gain something here. So let’s do some deeper analysis together and perhaps both of us can learn something new.
I’m curious, apparently you are a student? Of astronomy or physics or something else?
Now onto your points:
>>One clarification about Hoyle and the Steady-State model, AnotherHeretic (I’m going to focus on Hoyle here, because I’m not as familiar with Arp. I imagine that much of the same applies, but I can’t be sure).<<
Yes, that is fair, but before we ignore Arp, may I ask you something respectfully? You did make a very strong statement to the effect that in each and every case in the catalog of Arp’s peculiar galaxies, the connecting matter was proven to be unconnected, or optical illusions (I know it’s not exact quote, but I think the thrust is correct).
In fairness to someone who has risked his career to espouse a theory, would you mind sharing where you got the info? I assume you heard it from a professor or in some discussions? Would it at all be possible to dig out the reference or ask the person? And please, do look at the evidence yourself. To really learn these things properly, it’s best to look at the original evidence and counter arguments. You may be surprised at what you find. I’m saying this from personal experience. In cases where I trusted the “experts” and later did the research myself, I was astonished at how ill informed the experts were.
>>Currently, yes, the Steady-State model is ridiculed. However, this was not always so. When the model was first proposed, in fact, it was very popular, and was considered a serious, realistic theory (this was before the discovery of the microwave background radiation).<<
This statement is very telling. Why does a once serious model later get ridiculed? Why can’t it be treated with respect? Even if it’s wrong? Newton wasn’t right about everything? But no need for ridicule in science.
BTW, I’m aware that it was considered a very serious model. I’m not aware that the cause of the change was the microwave background radiation, but will check into it. Do you happen to know what year the background radiation was discovered?
>>At that time, a paper on the steady-state model was just as likely to be published as one on the Big Bang, all other things being equal, and I’m sure that you could find a number of scholarly, well-received papers on the topic, from that time. As new evidence came out, however, it became clear that the Steady-State model was at the best badly incomplete,<<
My question is how much was politics and how much was evidence?
>>and at the worst simply wrong, as it could not explain certain observations, most noteably the microwave background.<<
Have you read Tom Van Flandern? He brings up a lot of observations that the Big Bang theory can only explain in very ad hoc way. Any theory can come up with ad hoc explanations. Be it big bang or steady state. If the scientists with the power choose to believe big bang’s ad hoc theories, it will become popular. If they choose to believe steady state’s ad hoc theories, it will become popular. Don’t take my word for it. All I say is it’s worth looking at the alternates because their voice has been taken away from them.
>>Faced with this new evidence, most cosmologists abandoned the Steady-State model in favor of the Big Bang model, which was able to explain those observations, until the present time, when Hoyle is pretty much the only supporter left for the theory.<<
Don’t be so sure of that. Do you really think in today’s environment any astronomer can loudly proclaim they agree with Hoyle and keep their job? From what I’ve seen and read, what typically happens, is that when working scientists retire, that is when they show their support for the heretics, and still, in a quiet way. But they don’t dare do this while they are working. I know personally of 2 such instances, and before you ask, no I won’t name names.
>> His support is generally considered to not be due to any evidence, but rather to an overdeveloped ego and a desire to be right, qualities which are very detrimental to a scientist, regardless of other qualifications.<<
You are absolutely right. I couldn’t agree with you more. Except that you are pointing the accusation at the wrong person. Although I could conceivably believe it’s true, I tend to doubt that Hoyle has an overdeveloped ego due to the stories I’ve heard, but more on that later.
>>He still has his job, due to tenure, but you can believe that he’s not likely to advance much farther in his career.<<
Tenure’s not the reason he has his job. I don’t know where you got your information on Hoyle, but I can tell you that it’s all one sided. You do not have his side of the story at all. My Dad grew up with all these stories happening before him and has been sharing his perspective with me all the years. My Dad has a great dislike for Hoyle because Hoyle didn’t have the guts to stand up to the establishment. Now I still want to research this, and say upfront that this is just what I’ve heard and is hearsay, but here’s the other side of the story as told to me:
Hoyle came up with his steady state theory. The astronomers in power did not agree with his theory. (perhaps it was after the cosmic background radiation, perhaps not). They demanded that he recant his theory. He refused. He got fired and could not get work anywhere in his field. Do you understand the enormity of this statement! This is a theory that you yourself said was considered science before the cosmic background radiation. Then it became unpopular. Even if the guy clung to a theory which didn’t work, which is understandable human nature for big bangers as much as steady staters, that is no reason to fire him. That’s not science.
So Wolfson, a rich jew, non-astronomer, offered him a job at his company paying him well enough to continue his research, apalled at his treatment by the astronomers. This was out of pure philanthropy and science. Wolfson had nothing to gain from the research (maybe the publicity was good though).
In those days, it was quite a stink that a Jew should be bankrolling a famous guy like Hoyle, and Oxford approached Hoyle again, offering him work, but asking him to recant, which eventually Hoyle did. My father heard him (in disgust), speak, with no dignity, claiming he didn’t believe his own theory anymore. A broken man who obviously caved into the pressure.
A pompous guy would never recant. Recanting shows someone with no backbone. I suspect that Hoyle’s new book came about because Arp’s work gives him the support and confidence that it’s a good time to try again.
Perhaps he’s holding on to his theory because he has good reasons to? Please please please, I beg you, do not trust your colleagues and professors. You seem like a nice guy who is open. Don’t take my word for it. You are obviously in a position to research this yourself. Please do so and draw your own conclusions. Don’t read the works written about Hoyle and Arp, read their own words. And then read the criticisms.
As to Arp, it is worth reading him. He is no fool. And ask yourself if those pictures do present some serious questions to the big bang. But if you are an astronomer, be ready to play a political game and wait for the right time to show what you believe…
I’ve heard privately that there are astronomers who believe the big bang is dead within a couple of years, and that Arp is on the money. They speak to Arp privately but won’t allow their names to be used for fear of reprisals. This is serious politics, not science.
>>It’s quite possible (although again, I’m not sure in his case) that Arp was dismissed for this same attitude.
I don’t have any evidence on hand relating to his theory, but I’ll ask some of my professors tomorrow, and let you know then.<<
That should be very interesting. Thanks for doing so.
>>As to the difference between cosmological and Doppler redshifts: <snip> but this serves to illustrate the difference. <<
OK, thanks, makes sense.
>>In regards (again) our ability to determine things about the early/distant Universe, we do have to make some assumptions. Most notably, we assume that the laws of physics are the same everywhere in the Universe.<<
Yup, that’s a huge one to me. I wouldn’t make this assumption. But I’m not against building a tentative theory with humility on this assumption because we have nothing else to go on.
>>One other note, about the speed of light: Compared to just about anything with which we are familiar, it is, of course, almost instantaneous. It’s not quite completely instantaneous, however,<<
Of course. And to those that are blind sound is also. Where you can really see the difference is a thunderstorm.
>>If, in fact, there were factors preventing him from making the measurements, such as clouds, and he had to fudge his data, he was remarkably lucky to guess at an answer that was so close to the truth<<
Actually, this is your answer to Sansbury. His theory is more complicated than that and I don’t want to do him injustice by butchering his theory with my explanation. Roemer’s observation under the cloud wasn’t done frivilously. He assumed that as long as the sky was free from clouds around the time that the light was supposed to arrive to be measured, it was ok. Somehow Sansbury felt that the clouds may have blocked a near instantaneous measurement (by his definition), but I don’t really know enough to explain. I am not personally attacking Roemer’s measurements. These experiments and experiments themselves are quite brilliant.
What I find more satisfying about technology than theory is that either technology works or it doesn’t. Theories can be wrong and accepted or right and not accepted. What interests me with Sansbury is that he is performing experiments which should be pretty easy to test if he could get someone to look at it.
It’s like flying. When the wright brothers were building their planes, they were ridiculed. A physicist got his paper published proving that heavier than air flight was impossible. Although there were literally thousands of witnesses, Scientific American, I believe, took 5 years before they showed an airplane in their magazine. It was considered pseudo science. That’s why I implore you as a young scientist to always question everyone and be open to the opinions of others.