# The Dropping Out Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [January 14, 2016, 4:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146 "2016-01-14T16:36:38Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2016, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/21 "2016-02-01T03:30:50Z")

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> [@The\_wind\_of\_my\_soul](#):
>
> On the Democrat side, I don’t know why the hell O’Malley hasn’t dropped.

Early on in the process I sent him $50. He just wants to be sure I got my money’s worth.

Given the weirdness of the field this time around I suspect the next major winnowing of the field won’t happen until after New Hampshire.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2016, 3:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/22 "2016-02-01T15:16:35Z")

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Will Huckabee and Santorum drop out tomorrow, or wait until Wednesday? 😃

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**Author:** ![Boyo\_Jim](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/87869e/32.png) [@Boyo\_Jim](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Boyo_Jim)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2016, 6:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/23 "2016-02-01T18:46:53Z")

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Will Ben Carson drop out, or just fall asleep? I think he’s toast.

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**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2016, 9:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/24 "2016-02-01T21:25:24Z")

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> [@RTFirefly](#):
>
> Will Huckabee and Santorum drop out tomorrow, or wait until Wednesday? 😃

If nobody’s paying any attention to them anyway, does it matter?

Apparently Iowa has a 15% floor at any given caucus site. Jeb! ain’t gonna get there at very many of them, and only a few are. Be interesting to see if any of the Token Relatively Sane guys get any delegates at all.

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**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\
**Post date:** [February 1, 2016, 10:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/25 "2016-02-01T22:56:15Z")

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Trump might not do so well after all: his main cheerleader, Palin, just [bombed](http://www.redstate.com/absentee/2016/02/01/watch-trump-crowd-dead-silent-sarah-palins-desperate-rant-steve-king/) in Iowa with a bizarre rant.

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**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 12:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/26 "2016-02-02T00:01:31Z")

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Steve King does deserve far more denunciation than he’s ever received, and it’s refreshing to hear it from a Republican.

Time and place, though, Sarah.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 12:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/27 "2016-02-02T00:06:36Z")

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> [@ElvisL1ves](#):
>
> Apparently Iowa has a 15% floor at any given caucus site.

That’s just on the extremely convoluted Dem side.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 12:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/28 "2016-02-02T00:15:38Z")

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> [@Quartz](#):
>
> Trump might not do so well after all: his main cheerleader, Palin, just [bombed](http://www.redstate.com/absentee/2016/02/01/watch-trump-crowd-dead-silent-sarah-palins-desperate-rant-steve-king/) in Iowa with a bizarre rant.

Kinda reminds me of the time Trump himself ranted at Iowans about falling for Carson: [“How stupid are the people of Iowa? How stupid are the people of the country to believe this crap?”](https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2015/11/13/donald-trump-begs-iowans-not-to-believe-ben-carson-dont-be-fools-okay/)

That was on November 12, and his subsequent plunge in the polls was so immeasurable that nobody’s bothered to measure it.

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**Author:** ![WF\_Tomba](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/d9b06d/32.png) [@WF\_Tomba](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WF_Tomba)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/29 "2016-02-02T01:31:08Z")

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If candidates drop out immediately after Iowa, can we call them “Iowa carcasses”?

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/30 "2016-02-02T02:07:41Z")

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I’d say feel free.

Bush should drop out. Nate Silver just mentioned that if Bush’s 2% turns into 2500 votes he’ll have spent about $25,000 per vote.

That seems…unsustainable.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/31 "2016-02-02T03:02:29Z")

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> [@WF\_Tomba](#):
>
> If candidates drop out immediately after Iowa, can we call them “Iowa carcasses”?

And the first carcass is Martin O’Malley!

Who’s next?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![WF\_Tomba](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/d9b06d/32.png) [@WF\_Tomba](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WF_Tomba)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/32 "2016-02-02T03:03:30Z")

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It’s being reported that O’Malley will be our first Iowa carcass.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![WF\_Tomba](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/d9b06d/32.png) [@WF\_Tomba](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WF_Tomba)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/33 "2016-02-02T03:04:30Z")

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Hey, I made up the pun; I feel I should have been permitted to deploy it first!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 3:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/34 "2016-02-02T03:28:50Z")

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Sorry about that.

Huckabee is out!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 4:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/35 "2016-02-02T04:52:00Z")

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> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> Sorry about that.
> 
> Huckabee is out!

I think God is playing with him.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 2:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/36 "2016-02-02T14:50:55Z")

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So, maybe the next Pub debate will have fewer than seven on the stage?

Not likely.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Steve\_MB](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steve_mb/32/5339_2.png) [@Steve\_MB](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steve_MB)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 4:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/37 "2016-02-02T16:10:34Z")

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> [@BrainGlutton](#):
>
> So, maybe the next Pub debate will have fewer than seven on the stage?
> 
> Not likely.

“And now, you die, and we all move up in rank!”

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 4:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/38 "2016-02-02T16:46:26Z")

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> [@Steve\_MB](#):
>
> “And now, you die, and we all move up in rank!”

Come to think of it, the GOP **does** have a lot in common with the Mirrorverse Imperial Starfleet, doesn’t it?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [February 2, 2016, 10:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/39 "2016-02-02T22:35:43Z")

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Are we about done with the kiddie table yet?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [February 3, 2016, 9:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-dropping-out-thread/743146/40 "2016-02-03T09:05:08Z")

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> [@Jonathan\_Chance](#):
>
> I’d say feel free.
> 
> Bush should drop out. Nate Silver just mentioned that if Bush’s 2% turns into 2500 votes he’ll have spent about $25,000 per vote.
> 
> That seems…unsustainable.

Let’s see: 25 squared is 625. 3 zeroes + 2 zeroes is 5 zeroes… $25,000\*2500 = $62,500,000.

Seriously, how do you spend 62M in Iowa??

And while I assume that’s mostly Right to Rise money, that would still be most of their vaunted $100M war chest.

But it’s hard to see Bush dropping out before Florida - or at least, before it becomes abundantly clear that he’ll get pantsed in his home state if he stays in that long.

ETA: Too bad for Bush that the days your people could just hand out money and say, “Here’s $200, go vote for my candidate” are long past, because that approach would certainly have been more cost-effective.

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