# The House Judiciary Impeachment Case discussion thread.

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [July 27, 2019, 12:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697 "2019-07-27T00:58:45Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![Sherrerd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sherrerd/32/8_2.png) [@Sherrerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sherrerd)\
**Post date:** [August 3, 2019, 11:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/61 "2019-08-03T23:01:31Z")

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> [@Walken\_After\_Midnight](#):
>
> Speaker Pelosi has [released a statement](https://www.speaker.gov/newsroom/8219-2/) on the progress of the various House investigations. Here’s what the committees are up to:

Many thanks for that run-down, which is impressive. “Holding Donald Trump to account” is progressing on many fronts, some of which do include the ‘I’ word as part of their rationale and underpinnings.

Of course that won’t play well with the ‘PELOSI AND THE DEMS ARE TOTAL COWARDS WHO ARE DOING NOTHING!!!1!!!’ advocates. So the list will probably be ignored by those folks.

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**Author:** ![galen\_ubal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/galen_ubal/32/4440_2.png) [@galen\_ubal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/galen_ubal)\
**Post date:** [August 4, 2019, 1:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/62 "2019-08-04T01:39:21Z")

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> [@Sherrerd](#):
>
> Many thanks for that run-down, which is impressive. “Holding Donald Trump to account” is progressing on many fronts, some of which do include the ‘I’ word as part of their rationale and underpinnings.
> 
> Of course that won’t play well with the ‘PELOSI AND THE DEMS ARE TOTAL COWARDS WHO ARE DOING NOTHING!!!1!!!’ advocates. So the list will probably be ignored by those folks.

I read the run-down.  
I am one of those advocating impeachment.  
I question your utter certainty that an impeachment inquiry will energize Trump’s base more than the Democrat’s base, and more effectively. I believe it would have the opposite effect.  
Thus far, the Trump administration has ignored every one of the House’s attempt to perform oversight. Subpoenas have been ignored, and the DOJ will not act on them. I don’t see anything in the list above that isn’t more of the same. An impeachment inquiry, at least, would increase the psychological pressure on Trump and his supporters, and hearten the democrats and other progressives who thus far have seen little but failure during this administration, save through the actions of the courts.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [August 4, 2019, 3:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/63 "2019-08-04T03:56:55Z")

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I think impeachment’s on the table once you can consistently get the polling north of 50% (preferably closer to 60%). No it won’t result in his removal from office, but if we’re gonna impeach at least get more than half the country on board with it and let the Repubs deal with their voters.

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**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [August 4, 2019, 3:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/64 "2019-08-04T15:55:40Z")

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> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> Emphasis added
> 
> Clinton was not “cornered” into lying. He **chose** to commit perjury and straight out [lied to the American people](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VBe_guezGGc).

No, I’m not going to watch a YouTube video that references an occasion when he spoke publicly and not under oath. That has nothing to do with perjury, duh.

ETA: And besides, I’m talking about how most of the public viewed it. Contemporaneous polling backs me up on that, not to mention the 1998 midterms which the GOP turned into a referendum on impeachment, and lost.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [August 6, 2019, 10:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/65 "2019-08-06T10:13:31Z")

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I’m curious to see how recent events might shape public opinion on impeachment. I suspect that Trump is quietly sustaining at least some political damage over his response to the shootings this weekend.

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**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [August 6, 2019, 1:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/66 "2019-08-06T13:43:30Z")

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> [@asahi](#):
>
> I think impeachment’s on the table once you can consistently get the polling north of 50% (preferably closer to 60%). No it won’t result in his removal from office, but if we’re gonna impeach at least get more than half the country on board with it and let the Repubs deal with their voters.

Yes. It isn’t likely to actually result in President Pence for even a brief period, not that that’s a desirable goal anyway, but it does force the Regressives to either try to politically defend the guy from criminal charges during his re-election campaign, or somehow convince him not to run. And who has the standing with him, combined with the will, to do _that_? Ivanka?

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**Author:** ![Akaj](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/akaj/32/145_2.png) [@Akaj](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Akaj)\
**Post date:** [August 6, 2019, 2:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/67 "2019-08-06T14:40:49Z")

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I’m coming around to the slow-roll impeachment approach. Pelosi knows what she’s doing.

Think about how the FBI investigation hurt Hillary in 2016 by convincing undecided voters her corruption made her just as bad as Trump. Now think about that FBI investigation times ten, with new revelations of Trump’s iffy dealings popping up every week. Whether the oversight ever comes to an impeachment vote is almost beside the point.

Remember, the point isn’t to convince the GOP base – they’ll always believe it’s a witch hunt. The point is to motivate the undecideds to vote against the corrupt, self-enriching criminal. That’s all it will take to win.

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**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [August 6, 2019, 2:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/68 "2019-08-06T14:48:17Z")

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It isn’t just about Trump, but his enablers and excusers and before- and after-the-fact accomplices, IOW his entire party. \*All \*offices are involved in the party brand image. The slow-roll process forces them to either continue trying to do the impossible by defending him, or show some spine and lose their base. But keeping it going weakens GOP Senate and House and state candidates as well.

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**Author:** ![Akaj](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/akaj/32/145_2.png) [@Akaj](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Akaj)\
**Post date:** [August 6, 2019, 3:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/69 "2019-08-06T15:26:41Z")

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> [@ElvisL1ves](#):
>
> It isn’t just about Trump, but his enablers and excusers and before- and after-the-fact accomplices, IOW his entire party. \*All \*offices are involved in the party brand image. The slow-roll process forces them to either continue trying to do the impossible by defending him, or show some spine and lose their base. But keeping it going weakens GOP Senate and House and state candidates as well.

Yep, that too.

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**Author:** ![Sherrerd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sherrerd/32/8_2.png) [@Sherrerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sherrerd)\
**Post date:** [August 6, 2019, 11:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/70 "2019-08-06T23:09:54Z")

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> [@galen\_ubal](#):
>
> I read the run-down. I am one of those advocating impeachment. I question your utter certainty that an impeachment inquiry will energize Trump’s base more than the Democrat’s base, and more effectively. I believe it would have the opposite effect.

I think you may be defining “the Democrat’s base” in a way that doesn’t reflect reality. If you are assuming that the base is far-left and activist (and consequently focused on Impeach Now), that’s not an accurate view. See, for example, this research published a couple of weeks ago. It found that _only 31% of registered Democrats identify as “very liberal;”_ additionally:

> [@](#):
>
> When it comes to impeachment, the very liberal are the most likely group to say they want to hear candidates talk about impeaching Donald Trump right now, **though across all three groups, the more popular position is to focus on beating him in the 2020 election instead**.

[Analysis: How liberal are Democratic voters? - CBS News](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/analysis-how-liberal-are-democratic-voters/)

> [@galen\_ubal](#):
>
> Thus far, the Trump administration has ignored every one of the House’s attempt to perform oversight. Subpoenas have been ignored, and the DOJ will not act on them.

Your claim ignores the successes the House is racking up. From last May:

> [@](#):
>
> A second federal judge has now rebuffed President Donald Trump’s sweeping attempt to block House lawmakers from accessing his financial records, handing him another defeat in a fight that has infuriated the President and opened deep rifts with Democrats.
> 
> Judge Edgardo Ramos in New York on Wednesday refused to block subpoenas from the House Intelligence and Financial Services panels for Trump’s financial records from Deutsche Bank and Capital One. It’s the second such ruling against the President in three days.  
> … Earlier this week, Judge Amit Mehta in Washington, DC, said Trump’s former accounting firm Mazars would have to comply with a subpoena from Congress. Trump’s legal team appealed on Tuesday, and the parties have agreed on an expedited briefing and hearing schedule that awaits signoff from an appeals court judge.  
> … House Oversight Committee Chairman Elijah Cummings told reporters the latest ruling “definitely” helps his committee’s case with its subpoena to Mazars.  
> “We now have two opinions. I think we’re going to have more,” Cummings said. “Clearly I think the courts are going to uphold the rule of law.”

[https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/22/politics/trump-financial-records-bank-house-subpoenas-hearing-new-york/index.html](https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/22/politics/trump-financial-records-bank-house-subpoenas-hearing-new-york/index.html)

> [@galen\_ubal](#):
>
> An impeachment inquiry, at least, would increase the psychological pressure on Trump and his supporters, and hearten the democrats and other progressives who thus far have seen little but failure during this administration, save through the actions of the courts.

Well, that impeachment inquiry is already underway. (See below.)

> [@asahi](#):
>
> I think impeachment’s on the table once you can consistently get the polling north of 50% (preferably closer to 60%). No it won’t result in his removal from office, but if we’re gonna impeach at least get more than half the country on board with it and let the Repubs deal with their voters.

> [@Akaj](#):
>
> I’m coming around to the slow-roll impeachment approach. Pelosi knows what she’s doing.
> 
> Think about how the FBI investigation hurt Hillary in 2016 by convincing undecided voters her corruption made her just as bad as Trump. Now think about that FBI investigation times ten, with new revelations of Trump’s iffy dealings popping up every week. Whether the oversight ever comes to an impeachment vote is almost beside the point. …

> [@ElvisL1ves](#):
>
> It isn’t just about Trump, but his enablers and excusers and before- and after-the-fact accomplices, IOW his entire party. \*All \*offices are involved in the party brand image. The slow-roll process forces them to either continue trying to do the impossible by defending him, or show some spine and lose their base. But keeping it going weakens GOP Senate and House and state candidates as well.

I agree with all this.

It seems as though some are ignoring that an impeachment inquiry is already underway (with Nadler’s July 26 filing seeking grand jury materials having used the word “impeachment” 76 times)\*. Some people are dissatisfied with this; they appear to feel that a big showy announcement, with lots of chest-thumping from Democrats about ‘now we’ll get him’ and the like, would bring a feeling of satisfaction.

I think they’re wrong about that. Trump won’t display shame or feel shame; he won’t be embarrassed in the least. Other Republicans will be scornful, not penitent. A big production number “We’re Impeaching Now!!!” will not provide the catharsis that some imagine it will.

It will only endanger the House seats newly won in 2018, and make it more likely that Democrats will lose the House in 2020. There’s nothing “right” or “moral” about that.  
\*[https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/26/politics/nadler-democrats-grand-jury/index.html](https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/26/politics/nadler-democrats-grand-jury/index.html) and many others. My emphasis in the polling quote.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 4:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/71 "2019-08-07T16:23:08Z")

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> [@Walken\_After\_Midnight](#):
>
> Speaker Pelosi has [released a statement](https://www.speaker.gov/newsroom/8219-2/) on the progress of the various House investigations. Here’s what the committees are up to:

Sounds like a lot of fishing expeditions the way it is phrased.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 5:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/72 "2019-08-07T17:27:47Z")

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To distill my thoughts on impeachment a bit, I’ve always felt it comes down not to a specific outrage, but it’s more about the timing. The timing has to be right. I’ve said in the past that Trump wants to be impeached, and I believe that he does, but only if he believes he can rush the process. If the Dems are patient, however, then they might get people on board with it and then we’d see a completely different reaction from Trump and his supporters.

The country has to be on board with impeachment. I don’t think we’re quite there yet, but we may be slowly moving in that direction. I do believe the country will be on board with impeachment once Trump’s incompetence starts impacting people’s bank accounts. American politics is almost always about what’s happening with people’s bank accounts, and it’s almost always a referendum on how they view their future. I won’t say other issues don’t matter -they do and Trump’s racism, general asshattery, and corruption are gradually wearing people out. But even with all of that, Trump could still survive an impeachment effort and even win the next election. It’s the economy that will determine his political fate, and ours.

If there’s one good thing about opening the inquiry, it may be that it can make impeaching him go a lot faster once Americans send signals that they want him out.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 6:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/73 "2019-08-07T18:02:21Z")

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We have to do whatever gives us the best chance of him not being in office 1/21/21. If he is impeached without lengthy public testimony that moves the needle of public opinion sufficiently, then Donald is going to claim that Moscow Massacre Mitch’s inevitable failure to convict will be total exoneration and also claim the mantle of victimhood and that could depress Democratic turnout. Better to have the hearings, lay out the case and say “In an election year, the people need to try this case, not the partisan hacks in the Senate.”

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**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 7:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/74 "2019-08-07T19:32:29Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> We have to do whatever gives us the best chance of him not being in office 1/21/21. If he is impeached without lengthy public testimony that moves the needle of public opinion sufficiently, then Donald is going to claim that Moscow Massacre Mitch’s inevitable failure to convict…

Clarify for me: if the House passes a bill of impeachment (or whatever the terminology is), can’t Mitch simply refuse to bring it to the Senate for a vote like he has other Democratic bills?

> [@](#):
>
> …Better to have the hearings, lay out the case and say “In an election year, the people need to try this case, not the partisan hacks in the Senate.”

Now THIS is the best idea I’ve heard so far! Are you reading, Nancy? (She prolly already thought of it.)

Time the impeachment proceedings so that the election is positioned to be a referendum directly on it. Don’t need no stinkin’ Senate. Take that, Mitch!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 7:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/75 "2019-08-07T19:50:58Z")

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> [@ThelmaLou](#):
>
> Clarify for me: if the House passes a bill of impeachment (or whatever the terminology is), can’t Mitch simply refuse to bring it to the Senate for a vote like he has other Democratic bills?..

Maybe. But he certainly can just call for a vote without a real trial, have the whole thing out the door with “Not Guilty” in under a hour. Then Fox will say President acquitted and not guilty, and trump will tweet the same , and trump will win reelection.

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 8:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/76 "2019-08-07T20:08:44Z")

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> [@ThelmaLou](#):
>
> Clarify for me: if the House passes a bill of impeachment (or whatever the terminology is), can’t Mitch simply refuse to bring it to the Senate for a vote like he has other Democratic bills?

I think this is unclear. We’ve only had two impeachments and both times the Senate acted on them, of course voting to acquit both times. I’m guessing that if McConnell knows he has 34 votes, he’ll let things proceed if not, he’ll simply ignore the impeachment. Whether he can or not is open to debate.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 8:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/77 "2019-08-07T20:20:50Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> I think this is unclear. We’ve only had two impeachments and both times the Senate acted on them, of course voting to acquit both times. I’m guessing that if McConnell knows he has 34 votes, he’ll let things proceed if not, he’ll simply ignore the impeachment. Whether he can or not is open to debate.

No, Moscow Mitch wont let the truth out. He will gavel the truth out of existence.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 10:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/78 "2019-08-07T22:21:14Z")

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> [@RTFirefly](#):
>
> No, I’m not going to watch a YouTube video that references an occasion when he spoke publicly and not under oath. That has nothing to do with perjury, duh.
> 
> ETA: And besides, I’m talking about how most of the public viewed it. Contemporaneous polling backs me up on that, not to mention the 1998 midterms which the GOP turned into a referendum on impeachment, and lost.

None of this addresses my point that he was not “cornered” but that he _chose_ to lie - both to the court and to Americans.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 10:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/79 "2019-08-07T22:25:17Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> I think this is unclear. We’ve only had two impeachments and both times the Senate acted on them, of course voting to acquit both times. I’m guessing that if McConnell knows he has 34 votes, he’ll let things proceed if not, he’ll simply ignore the impeachment. Whether he can or not is open to debate.

Ummmm … there have been 19 impeachments and the Senate failed to act on one of them (Sen. Bount) because congressmen cannot be impeached. Also, it is in the Senate Rules that they must act on all impeachments regardless of how the majority leader feels about it.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [August 7, 2019, 10:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-house-judiciary-impeachment-case-discussion-thread/837697/80 "2019-08-07T22:39:36Z")

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> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> …Also, it is in the Senate Rules that they must act on all impeachments regardless of how the majority leader feels about it.

That’s good to know. But these days, don’t the Republicans just ignore rules they don’t like (subpoenas, for example)? And anyway, who’s going to enforce that rule? (Not a rhetorical question.)

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