# The "Longest Election Campaign in Modern Canada" Thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [August 2, 2015, 3:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807 "2015-08-02T15:45:22Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 33
**Author:** ![Gorsnak](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gorsnak/32/7587_2.png) [@Gorsnak](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorsnak)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 12:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/641 "2015-10-20T00:56:16Z")
Liberals so far significantly outperforming the threehundredeight model, which had the Maritimes going 26 Lib 3 Con 3 NDP. If this isn’t a strictly regional thing Trudeau will have 4 years before his next employment review. ---
**Author:** ![Rysto](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/ecccb3/32.png) [@Rysto](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rysto)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 1:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/642 "2015-10-20T01:05:07Z")
It’s early yet. Even though the Liberals are outperforming the projection, that still has them only 6 seats up of the projection. And there’s no guarantees that the dynamics in Ontario, Quebec and BC will be the same. ---
**Author:** ![elbows](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/b3f665/32.png) [@elbows](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elbows)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 1:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/643 "2015-10-20T01:11:06Z")
Every seat in the Maritimes. Every seat! Wowsa! (And I believe the Jays are ahead!) ---
**Author:** ![Gorsnak](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gorsnak/32/7587_2.png) [@Gorsnak](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorsnak)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 1:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/644 "2015-10-20T01:14:22Z")
Absolutely true. But while they’re only up 6 seats from the projection, their vote share is significantly higher across the board. Ridings which were projected as tight battles are Liberal cakewalks. If the vote share deviates nationally from late opinion polls in favour of the Liberals by even a few points, then the Liberals could go over 40% and into majority territory. ---
**Author:** ![Rysto](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/ecccb3/32.png) [@Rysto](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rysto)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/645 "2015-10-20T01:16:42Z")
Yeah, I am curious if this is a reflection of strategic voting. If the Liberals pick up a couple of percentage points of likely NDP voters who decide that they’d prefer to see Harper go down, then that’s a gigantic shift in this election. ---
**Author:** ![FloatyGimpy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/floatygimpy/32/7750_2.png) [@FloatyGimpy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FloatyGimpy)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/646 "2015-10-20T01:30:59Z")
> [@elbows](#): > > Every seat in the Maritimes. Every seat! Wowsa! > > (And I believe the Jays are ahead!) I know! Good TV tonight, eh? 🙂 ---
**Author:** ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/647 "2015-10-20T01:59:50Z")
> [@Rysto](#): > > Yeah, I am curious if this is a reflection of strategic voting. If the Liberals pick up a couple of percentage points of likely NDP voters who decide that they’d prefer to see Harper go down, then that’s a gigantic shift in this election. The Liberals always pick up a bunch of “likely” NDP votes. They always chicken out at the last second, afraid of throwing their vote away. I thought it might be different this time with the NDP in the official opposition but I guess not. ---
**Author:** ![Biffster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/biffster/32/339_2.png) [@Biffster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Biffster)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/648 "2015-10-20T02:30:39Z")
181 seats at this point for the Liberals. That’s a majority and then some, not even counting BC seats yet. They’ll end up over 200 at this rate. ---
**Author:** ![Sunspace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sunspace/32/1250_2.png) [@Sunspace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sunspace)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 2:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/649 "2015-10-20T02:34:53Z")
“Prime Minister Trudeau”! ---
**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 2:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/650 "2015-10-20T02:39:09Z")
> [@elbows](#): > > Every seat in the Maritimes. Every seat! Wowsa! > > (And I believe the Jays are ahead!) CBC isn’t projecting a Liberal majority yet, just a Liberal government, but that’s something. I’m personally disappointed with the poor outcome for the NDP, but dammit, it’s great to see Harper sent out to pasture. I predict he’ll resign, but who knows. I also predict a Jays win tonight! 😃 ---
**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 2:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/651 "2015-10-20T02:46:14Z")
Wow! CBC now officially projects a _majority_ Liberal government! ---
**Author:** ![elbows](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/b3f665/32.png) [@elbows](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elbows)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 2:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/652 "2015-10-20T02:49:47Z")
AND the Jays are crushing it! ---
**Author:** ![yawuntz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/y/a5b964/32.png) [@yawuntz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/yawuntz)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 2:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/653 "2015-10-20T02:56:42Z")
It is indeed great to see the sonofabitch go. Heavy comeuppance earned, and delivered. I wonder if the poor performance by the NDP was due in part to the strategic thing - not so much an anti-NDP vote as an anti-Harper vote. I’ve never been a great Trudeau fan in general, but who knows? Harper clearly misunderestimated him, as did Brazeau 🙂 Maybe he’ll do something worthwhile. Who knows, maybe Vancouver will get our coast guard station back. Maybe people will continue to get their mail delivered. It had to be Trudeau or Mulcair, come what may but Harpo had to go. Thank you my fellow canucks. God bless you all. I love you madly! For a while anyway : ) ---
**Author:** ![elbows](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/b3f665/32.png) [@elbows](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elbows)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/654 "2015-10-20T03:01:35Z")
I think people were afraid if they voted NDP we’d end up with a minority government. Then the conservatives need only pick their moment to bring it down and boom! Another election cycle. And no one wants to get back into that cycle, I think! (And props to those who voted in ski masks, hockey masks, even a guy I with a pumpkin over his head.! I love this country!) ---
**Author:** ![FluffyBob](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/ecb155/32.png) [@FluffyBob](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FluffyBob)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/655 "2015-10-20T03:07:00Z")
Yeah… we’ll see what Trudeau can do, I don’t have high expectations. The important thing is that smug, nasty muppet-headed frat boy is out and hopefully the rest of the greedy frat house with him. Good riddance Harper. ---
**Author:** ![Uzi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/91b2a8/32.png) [@Uzi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Uzi)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 3:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/656 "2015-10-20T03:07:15Z")
> [@Sunspace](#): > > “Prime Minister Trudeau”! I wonder if anyone against the Monarchy is voting for this twit who’s only claim to fame is his father’s name? Truly baffled that people are so shallow. ---
**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 3:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/657 "2015-10-20T03:17:43Z")
> [@Uzi](#): > > I wonder if anyone against the Monarchy is voting for this twit who’s only claim to fame is his father’s name? Truly baffled that people are so shallow. It’s always good to have a comprehensive, in-depth analysis of the issues, thanks. :rolleyes: ---
**Author:** ![Uzi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/91b2a8/32.png) [@Uzi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Uzi)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 3:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/658 "2015-10-20T03:21:02Z")
> [@wolfpup](#): > > It’s always good to have a comprehensive, in-depth analysis of the issues, thanks. :rolleyes: The issue is that the only reason this guy is leading the Liberal party is because of who his daddy was. I’ve not commented on any other ‘issue’, but in this one issue I am 100% accurate. ---
**Author:** ![Kenm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/bc79bd/32.png) [@Kenm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kenm)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 3:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/659 "2015-10-20T03:24:10Z")
I don’t like political dynasties, but any port in Hurricane Harper. ---
**Author:** ![yawuntz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/y/a5b964/32.png) [@yawuntz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/yawuntz)\ **Post date:** [October 20, 2015, 3:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807/660 "2015-10-20T03:29:33Z")
Harper was trying to say the election wasn’t about him. I wonder if he actually believed that. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807.md?page=32) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-longest-election-campaign-in-modern-canada-thread/726807.md?page=34)