Podkayne, that is only an example of what Parsimony is. As I originally wrote it, I used the theory that ‘The moon is made of green cheese’. I decided to use an already written example to display it, because the theory may be better recognized and understood.
As for the cite, the only one I can remember is a Discovery Channel TV show that was saying the impact was just a small contribution to the extinction. (sorry) As Im sure you all know, Disc channel is very inaccurate sometimes. But, then again, what do you expect from a channel with shows with topics such as UFOs, Bigfoot, lochness, etc.
MEBuckner:
Correct on all points.
As for the age of the universe, just remember that all dating methods are based on theories, which are further based on other assumptions and theories which are further based on assumptions, etc. Im not saying that scientific dating is wrong, just that it adds even more assumptions to the macroevolution theory. Therefore this adds more (possible and probable) error, as well as a lower Parsimony ‘rating’.
For example uranium dating (according to my understanding of it) is that we know the half life of uranium, we know it turns into lead therefore we can estimate how old the sample is based on the uranium/lead ratio. This is only accurate with the following assumptions. 1) The sample had no lead to begin with 2) The sample was not contanimated by lead, uranium or any other substance that would change the accuracy 3) The half life has remained constant (doesnt matter how; cosmic rays, changing speed of light, marvin’s blaster ray gun) Im sure the heory requires many other assumptions as well.
(I know those are anti-evolvo arguments but from a scientific how-good-is-the-theory standpoint, valid.) Im not trying to disprove any theory, just show that with each level there is a higher probability for error/incorrectness.
Let me restate something again. Modern theories are usually based both on assumptions and other theories preceding it. Those theories are usually based on at least a couple assumptions and possibly more theories. etc, etc, ad naseum. This can be visualised as a ‘leaning tower’ with the theory in question at the very top. For example years ago many theories were based on the assumption: There are no organisms so small they cannot be seen. This of course has been proven false any many theories had to be discarded or extreemly revised. (ie rotten meet spontaneously creates maggots given enough time)
Ill check into those links you supplied.
As for your last point, Ive always thought (and still do) that Macroevolution is very flawed and will eventually be replaced or at least very, very modified. Right now, however, it is the best ‘natural’ theory.
-Fox
P.S. MEBuckner, can you please tell me how you format the quote like that? I know HTML but somewhere on the message board it said HTML is turned off. Thanx
“Minds are like parachutes: They only function when open.”
(But shouldnt be so open your brain falls out!) -thanks jshore
“I can’t explain myself,” said Alice, “because I’m not myself, you see.” -Alice’s Adventure Under Ground