# The official election day 2012 thread: 11/6/12

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 6, 2012, 4:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045 "2012-11-06T04:11:28Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 14

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**Author:** ![DxZero](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e99b99/32.png) [@DxZero](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DxZero)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/261 "2012-11-07T02:07:12Z")

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> [@SenorBeef](#):
>
> Do you remember enough about it to find it on youtube? I’d like to see it again

I’ll give it a look.

[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g\_6m\_mskaYI](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_6m_mskaYI)

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**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/262 "2012-11-07T02:07:53Z")

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> [@SenorBeef](#):
>
> Do you remember enough about it to find it on youtube? I’d like to see it again

[![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/g_6m_mskaYI/hqdefault.jpg "Private Commercial Supporting Republican Party by former Socialist Citizen") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_6m_mskaYI)

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**Author:** ![Erdosain](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/erdosain/32/7284_2.png) [@Erdosain](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Erdosain)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/263 "2012-11-07T02:09:58Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> she has tossed huge amounts of money into 2 campaigns.

Reports are that she’s spent over $100 million when you count 2010 and 2012 Senate races. I guess it’s nice to know you can’t _always_ outright buy a Senate seat, just most of the time.

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**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/264 "2012-11-07T02:11:23Z")

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> [@Erdosain](#):
>
> Reports are that she’s spent over $100 million when you count 2010 and 2012 Senate races. I guess it’s nice to know you can’t _always_ outright buy a Senate seat, just most of the time.

I love when that happens, especially in regards to Meg Wittman in California. She wasted, I think, $123 million.

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**Author:** ![Harborwolf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/c89c15/32.png) [@Harborwolf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Harborwolf)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/265 "2012-11-07T02:12:18Z")

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> [@Jas09](#):
>
> The quick call on Michigan has to be a good sign.

I’m not sure why this is a surprise. Romney spent very little time in Michigan and I’ve seen next to no ads from his campaign. If I remember correctly, Romney wrote Michigan off as a lost cause a while ago.

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**Author:** ![waterj2](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/858c86/32.png) [@waterj2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/waterj2)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/266 "2012-11-07T02:14:11Z")

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> [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](#):
>
> Less than a percentage point separating Brown & Warren with less than a percent counted. I’m crossing my fingers, though.

I’ve got [Warren up by 2.5%](http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/results/massachusetts) with 14% reporting, and it looks like no votes from Suffolk County (Boston) have been counted yet. Feeling cautiously optimistic.

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**Author:** ![Oakminster](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/77aa72/32.png) [@Oakminster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Oakminster)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/267 "2012-11-07T02:14:28Z")

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CNN projects the GOP retains control of the House.

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**Author:** ![Lantern](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/d26b3c/32.png) [@Lantern](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/268 "2012-11-07T02:16:43Z")

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Intrade is up to 82% for Obama.

TPM seems pretty positive about exits and early returns.

My own analysis of VA returns seems to suggest that in the small Republican counties which have finished counting Romney isn’t doing much better than McCain in 2008.

My prior probability that Obama is winning is high and I certainly don’t see anything to contradict it.

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**Author:** ![Siam\_Sam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/d78d45/32.png) [@Siam\_Sam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Siam_Sam)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/269 "2012-11-07T02:17:04Z")

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> [@Oakminster](#):
>
> CNN projects the GOP retains control of the House.

BBC too, and the Senate to the Dems.

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**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/270 "2012-11-07T02:17:07Z")

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> [@Oakminster](#):
>
> CNN projects the GOP retains control of the House.

Which wasn’t a surprise at all.

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**Author:** ![Erdosain](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/erdosain/32/7284_2.png) [@Erdosain](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Erdosain)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/271 "2012-11-07T02:17:10Z")

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> [@RandMcnally](#):
>
> I love when that happens, especially in regards to Meg Wittman in California. She wasted, I think, $123 million.

She paid local kids to wear purple shirts at the polls in African-American neighborhoods today that said “Obama and McMahon.” She’s seriously desperate.

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**Author:** ![leftfield6](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/leftfield6/32/18780_2.png) [@leftfield6](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/leftfield6)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/272 "2012-11-07T02:17:30Z")

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CNN projects PA for Obama. Guess that last visit ti Pittsburgh didn’t work out for Mittens.

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**Author:** ![Leaffan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/leaffan/32/299_2.png) [@Leaffan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaffan)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/273 "2012-11-07T02:17:51Z")

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I’m getting updates in the basement on the computer. My daughter, upstairs and a 15 year old Canadian: “Guess what ! Romney’s ahead!”  
Don’t panic. We 're still moving west towards California.

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**Author:** ![Belowjob2.0](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/b9e5f3/32.png) [@Belowjob2.0](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Belowjob2.0)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/274 "2012-11-07T02:18:16Z")

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Obama’s margin in PA seems huge. 2 to 1. Damn!

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**Author:** ![Unauthorized\_Cinnamon](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/bc8723/32.png) [@Unauthorized\_Cinnamon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Unauthorized_Cinnamon)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/275 "2012-11-07T02:18:32Z")

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CBS projects Pennsylvania going Obama!

(Unfortunately no matter what my stupid state will have a Republican governor and legislature. Poop.)

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**Author:** ![pulykamell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pulykamell/32/3166_2.png) [@pulykamell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pulykamell)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/276 "2012-11-07T02:18:42Z")

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> [@Lantern](#):
>
> Intrade is up to 82% for Obama.

I was going to mention this. Intrade had been hovering at 65-72% Obama for most of the night so far, and it’s starting to break towards Obama now. That said, I seem to recall a break like this in 2004 to Kerry, so I’m holding my breath and my beer in hand.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/277 "2012-11-07T02:18:43Z")

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NBC calls PA for Obama!

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**Author:** ![Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/left_hand_of_dorkness/32/7156_2.png) [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Left_Hand_of_Dorkness)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/278 "2012-11-07T02:18:50Z")

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Florida on CNN is listed with 78% of the vote in, 3,393,000 (about) votes for each candidate; Romney is ahead by less than 200.

Please don’t make FL’s total matter.

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**Author:** ![DxZero](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e99b99/32.png) [@DxZero](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DxZero)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/279 "2012-11-07T02:19:58Z")

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> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#):
>
> Florida on CNN is listed with 78% of the vote in, 3,393,000 (about) votes for each candidate; Romney is ahead by less than 200.
> 
> Please don’t make FL’s total matter.

Not sure whats going on with Miami-Dade, but uh…they don’t seem to be counting down there.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/280 "2012-11-07T02:21:32Z")

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So much for the last-ditch run for PA. Fool’s Gold indeed…

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