# The official election day 2012 thread: 11/6/12 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 6, 2012, 4:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045 "2012-11-06T04:11:28Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 15
**Author:** ![pulykamell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pulykamell/32/3166_2.png) [@pulykamell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pulykamell)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/281 "2012-11-07T02:22:23Z")
Damn. Intrade is at 88.5% now for Obama. ---
**Author:** ![drewtwo99](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/d07c76/32.png) [@drewtwo99](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drewtwo99)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/282 "2012-11-07T02:22:28Z")
So Jim Cramer was wrong about Obama’s 440 EV prediction. Can we rule out any of the other crazy predictions yet? ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/283 "2012-11-07T02:22:59Z")
> [@Harborwolf](#): > > I’m not sure why this is a surprise. Romney spent very little time in Michigan and I’ve seen next to no ads from his campaign. If I remember correctly, Romney wrote Michigan off as a lost cause a while ago. Oh, I agree. But the quickness of the calls gives you some idea about the margins in these states. It’s sort of the opposite of the NC situation - if Romney got a quick NC call then you could reasonably assume he would eventually win VA (which he has to do). The quick MI call bodes well for OH and WI, IMO. ---
**Author:** ![BigDadWolf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/aeb1de/32.png) [@BigDadWolf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BigDadWolf)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/284 "2012-11-07T02:23:08Z")
I feel a lot better with PA going to Obama. I am flipping channels including Fox News; I am enjoying watching them slowly realize that the “skewed” polls were right and that it is looking tough for Romney. ---
**Author:** ![Gorsnak](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gorsnak/32/7587_2.png) [@Gorsnak](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gorsnak)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/285 "2012-11-07T02:23:41Z")
From what I can tell, almost all uncounted votes in Florida are in Santa Rosa (presumably Romney), Miami-Dade, and Broward. By my math that gives the Oval Office back to Obama, but I could be missing something. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/286 "2012-11-07T02:24:00Z")
> [@DxZero](#): > > Not sure whats going on with Miami-Dade, but uh…they don’t seem to be counting down there. CNN keeps showing video of voters still in line in Miami. Twitter hashtag #stayinline was trending earlier. I’m not sure if they’ll report while folks are still voting. ---
**Author:** ![bengangmo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/50afbb/32.png) [@bengangmo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bengangmo)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/287 "2012-11-07T02:24:07Z")
**LHOD** - I’m still seeing Obama with a 15k lead in Florida.(It’s been getting tighter over the last hour) Ohio is looking solid for Obama at the moment ---
**Author:** ![pravnik](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/8edcca/32.png) [@pravnik](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pravnik)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/288 "2012-11-07T02:24:29Z")
> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#): > > Florida on CNN is listed with 78% of the vote in, 3,393,000 (about) votes for each candidate; Romney is ahead by less than 200. > > Please don’t make FL’s total matter. if I understand it right (and I may not), Broward Country is only about 20% in, though, and is pretty strongly democratic. A neck and neck race with the big counties still out probably favors Obama. ---
**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/289 "2012-11-07T02:24:52Z")
And my cat sleeps easier tonight. ---
**Author:** ![DxZero](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e99b99/32.png) [@DxZero](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DxZero)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/290 "2012-11-07T02:25:15Z")
> [@Jas09](#): > > CNN keeps showing video of voters still in line in Miami. Twitter hashtag #stayinline was trending earlier. I’m not sure if they’ll report while folks are still voting. Fair point ---
**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/291 "2012-11-07T02:25:48Z")
> [@Belowjob2.0](#): > > Obama’s margin in PA seems huge. 2 to 1. Damn! I always laugh at opinion articles of republican pundits in the media that tell the readers or viewers that \*\*this \*\*time Pensilvania will go to the Rs. ---
**Author:** ![Lantern](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/d26b3c/32.png) [@Lantern](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/292 "2012-11-07T02:25:51Z")
Intrade is now at 90%. I am guessing exits are leaking out and someone is probably doing the county-by-county analysis in the big swing states. ---
**Author:** ![Belowjob2.0](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/b9e5f3/32.png) [@Belowjob2.0](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Belowjob2.0)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/293 "2012-11-07T02:26:04Z")
Badgers go Blue! ---
**Author:** ![Skammer](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skammer/32/143_2.png) [@Skammer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skammer)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/294 "2012-11-07T02:27:27Z")
Fox just called WI for Obama. A little salt in the wound for Ryan. ---
**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/295 "2012-11-07T02:27:58Z")
> [@Left\_Hand\_of\_Dorkness](#): > > Florida on CNN is listed with 78% of the vote in, 3,393,000 (about) votes for each candidate; Romney is ahead by less than 200. > > Please don’t make FL’s total matter. Now at 80% of the vote, Obama ahead by around 2000 votes. The thing has been see-sawing back and forth all night. Nate had the state at 50.3% Obama, which is pretty much exactly how it’s turning out. It’s really a coin toss. ---
**Author:** ![pulykamell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pulykamell/32/3166_2.png) [@pulykamell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pulykamell)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/296 "2012-11-07T02:28:27Z")
> [@Lantern](#): > > Intrade is now at 90%. I am guessing exits are leaking out and someone is probably doing the county-by-county analysis in the big swing states. Oof. Romney’s at 6% right now. Some serious money to be made there if Romney pulls it out… ---
**Author:** ![Knorf](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/58956e/32.png) [@Knorf](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Knorf)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/297 "2012-11-07T02:28:31Z")
> [@Skammer](#): > > Fox just called WI for Obama. A little salt in the wound for Ryan. Sweet! ---
**Author:** ![River\_Hippie](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/river_hippie/32/26_2.png) [@River\_Hippie](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/River_Hippie)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/298 "2012-11-07T02:29:34Z")
> [@Skammer](#): > > Fox just called WI for Obama. A little salt in the wound for Ryan. Nice! I would not have expected that. ---
**Author:** ![Qadgop\_the\_Mercotan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/qadgop_the_mercotan/32/83_2.png) [@Qadgop\_the\_Mercotan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Qadgop_the_Mercotan)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/299 "2012-11-07T02:29:34Z")
Hot off the blog from Silver: > [@](#): > > In every presidential election since 1960, the candidate who prevailed in Florida’s Hillsborough County, home to Tampa, has also prevailed in Florida. There is no guarantee that the pattern will hold in 2012, but the Tampa region is critical in carrying the Sunshine State (which is why the Republican Party held their national convention there this year). > > More than 80 percent of the vote has been reported in Hillsborough, and President Obama leads Mitt Romney by five percentage points. ---
**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2012, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045/300 "2012-11-07T02:30:25Z")
But once you unskew the vote count, Romney is in the lead by two. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045.md?page=14) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-election-day-2012-thread-11-6-12/640045.md?page=16)