# The Official Predict the Presidential Election thread! **URL:** \ **Category:** In My Humble Opinion\ **Created:** [October 31, 2008, 7:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485 "2008-10-31T19:55:30Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Palo\_Verde](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/65b543/32.png) [@Palo\_Verde](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Palo_Verde)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 7:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/1 "2008-10-31T19:55:30Z")
We’re just a couple of days out from the election and here’s your chance to predict the outcome. 1. Who do you think will win the election? 2. How many electoral votes do you think the winner will have? 3. What percent of the popular vote do you think the winner will get? 4. Which of the following battleground states do you think the winner will pick up? a. Florida b. North Carolina c. Missouri d. Indiana e. Ohio 5. Are there any states that you think will be a big shocker and go in a direction not widely believed possible? ---
**Author:** ![ParentalAdvisory](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/53a042/32.png) [@ParentalAdvisory](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ParentalAdvisory)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 8:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/2 "2008-10-31T20:22:57Z")
1. Who do you think will win the election? **Obama** 2. How many electoral votes do you think the winner will have? **333** 3. What percent of the popular vote do you think the winner will get? **55.4%** 4. Which of the following battleground states do you think the winner will pick up? \*\* d. Indiana\*\* 5. Are there any states that you think will be a big shocker and go in a direction not widely believed possible? **MT** ---
**Author:** ![MovieMogul](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/f08c70/32.png) [@MovieMogul](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MovieMogul)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 8:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/3 "2008-10-31T20:29:01Z")
Well, I was [the first person on the SDMB](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=9150655&postcount=46) to predict that Obama would win the whole thing, so I’m sticking to that! 🙂 I’ll be back for #2-5. ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 8:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/4 "2008-10-31T20:29:54Z")
[Similar thread](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=485560) in the Game Room. To reprise my post from there, I think Obama will win, with 379 electoral votes and 56.2% of the popular, that he’ll pick up all of your listed battlefield states, and (like **Parental Advisory** ) that he’ll also get Montana. ---
**Author:** ![Simplicio](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/c37758/32.png) [@Simplicio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Simplicio)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 8:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/5 "2008-10-31T20:31:11Z")
1. Obama 2. 311 3. 53% 4. Ohio 5. GA ---
**Author:** ![kenner116](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ecb155/32.png) [@kenner116](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenner116)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 8:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/6 "2008-10-31T20:32:06Z")
1. Who do you think will win the election? **Obama** 2. How many electoral votes do you think the winner will have? **291** 3. What percent of the popular vote do you think the winner will get? **51%** 4. Which of the following battleground states do you think the winner will pick up? **None of the above** 5. Are there any states that you think will be a big shocker and go in a direction not widely believed possible? **Nope** ---
**Author:** ![Kid\_A\_1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ed8c4c/32.png) [@Kid\_A\_1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kid_A_1)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 9:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/7 "2008-10-31T21:06:44Z")
1. Obama 2. 368 3. 53% 4. Ohio, North Carolina, Florida 5. Georgia ---
**Author:** ![Onomatopoeia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/onomatopoeia/32/4145_2.png) [@Onomatopoeia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Onomatopoeia)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 9:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/8 "2008-10-31T21:13:13Z")
> [@ArchiveGuy](#): > > Well, I was [the first person on the SDMB](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=9150655&postcount=46) to predict that Obama would win the whole thing, so I’m sticking to that! 🙂 > > I’ll be back for #2-5. I, for one, will be eternally amazed by your seeming prescience. I remember when that thread was active. Those who didn’t discount you simply ignored you…at first. I simply lurked, but I have to admit I thought you’d gone a bit barmy as well. Color me thankfully proved wrong. 🙂 ---
**Author:** ![Palo\_Verde](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/65b543/32.png) [@Palo\_Verde](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Palo_Verde)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 9:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/9 "2008-10-31T21:15:51Z")
To answer my own OP: 1. Obama 2. 353 electoral votes 3. 53% 4. Obama wins Florida, Ohio, N. Carolina 5. No ---
**Author:** ![atomicbadgerrace](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/8e7dd6/32.png) [@atomicbadgerrace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/atomicbadgerrace)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 9:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/10 "2008-10-31T21:23:41Z")
Ah, another prediction thread. Well, here goes. 1. Obama 2. 367 3. 51-52% 4. Which of the following battleground states do you think the winner will pick up? a. Florida b. North Carolina c. Missouri e. Ohio 5. Are there any states that you think will be a big shocker and go in a direction not widely believed possible? _Montana_ ---
**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 9:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/11 "2008-10-31T21:28:30Z")
1. Obama 2. 343 3. 53% 4. All of these 5. Obama wins WV ---
**Author:** ![Onomatopoeia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/onomatopoeia/32/4145_2.png) [@Onomatopoeia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Onomatopoeia)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 9:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/12 "2008-10-31T21:36:57Z")
1. Who do you think will win the election? **No Drama Obama** 2. How many electoral votes do you think the winner will have? \*\* 338\*\* 3. What percent of the popular vote do you think the winner will get? **Approximately 52%** 4. Which of the following battleground states do you think the winner will pick up? a. Florida **Yep** b. North Carolina\*\* Yep\*\* c. Missouri **Nope** d. Indiana **Nope** e. Ohio **Yep** 5. Are there any states that you think will be a big shocker and go in a direction not widely believed possible? [/QUOTE] **Nope** ---
**Author:** ![Lord\_Ashtar](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ea924/32.png) [@Lord\_Ashtar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Ashtar)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 10:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/13 "2008-10-31T22:11:59Z")
So long as we’re fantasizing here… 1.) Bob Barr 2.) All of them 3.) 99.5% 4.) All of them 5.) The other 45 ---
**Author:** ![garygnu](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/garygnu/32/2924_2.png) [@garygnu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/garygnu)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 10:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/14 "2008-10-31T22:19:51Z")
1. Barack Obama 2. 375 3. 54% 4. All of them 5. Probably none, unless a clear early victory depresses conservatives in, say AZ (ooo, oo, maybe an early shocker in Georgia?) ---
**Author:** ![Gangster\_Octopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a8b319/32.png) [@Gangster\_Octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gangster_Octopus)\ **Post date:** [October 31, 2008, 10:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/15 "2008-10-31T22:35:39Z")
1. Barack Obama 2. 361 3. 53% 4. All but Indiana 5. North Dakota ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2008, 12:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/16 "2008-11-01T00:40:45Z")
1. Obama 2. 290 3. 49% (even Bill Clinton never got a majority) 4. Fla. McCain, N.C. McCain, Missouri Obama, Indiana McCain, Ohio McCain 5. No ---
**Author:** ![The\_Second\_Stone](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/bbe5ce/32.png) [@The\_Second\_Stone](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Second_Stone)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2008, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/17 "2008-11-01T00:51:57Z")
1. Who do you think will win the election? Obama. 2. How many electoral votes do you think the winner will have? 350 plus. 3. What percent of the popular vote do you think the winner will get? 52. 4. Which of the following battleground states do you think the winner will pick up? a. Florida Yes. b. North Carolina Yes. c. Missouri No. d. Indiana Yes. e. Ohio Yes. 5. Are there any states that you think will be a big shocker and go in a direction not widely believed possible? [/QUOTE] Georgia and Louisana to Obama. ---
**Author:** ![tomndebb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/b9e5f3/32.png) [@tomndebb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/tomndebb)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2008, 1:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/18 "2008-11-01T01:36:21Z")
Polls belong in **IMHO** , where you will now find this thread. ---
**Author:** ![Fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/bc8723/32.png) [@Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fish)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2008, 1:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/19 "2008-11-01T01:49:11Z")
1. Obama 2. 410 3. 54% 4. FL, NC, MO, OH 5. MT, ND, AZ, GA, AR, LA ---
**Author:** ![Onomatopoeia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/onomatopoeia/32/4145_2.png) [@Onomatopoeia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Onomatopoeia)\ **Post date:** [November 1, 2008, 2:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485/20 "2008-11-01T02:03:17Z")
> [@Fish](#): > > 1. Obama > 2. 410 > 3. 54% > 4. FL, NC, MO, OH > 5. MT, ND, AZ, GA, AR, LA :eek::eek::eek: 410? **Fish** , step slowly away from the Crack pipe. 😃 …umm, I’ll take some of whatever Fish is having please. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-official-predict-the-presidential-election-thread/470485.md?page=2)