# The Race for the GOP Nomination - Post-Thanksgiving Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-race-for-the-gop-nomination-post-thanksgiving-thread/738819>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 28, 2015, 12:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-race-for-the-gop-nomination-post-thanksgiving-thread/738819 "2015-11-28T12:40:25Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 3\
**Page:** 38

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**Author:** ![The\_Stainless\_Steel\_Rat](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_stainless_steel_rat/32/5727_2.png) [@The\_Stainless\_Steel\_Rat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Stainless_Steel_Rat)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2016, 6:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-race-for-the-gop-nomination-post-thanksgiving-thread/738819/741 "2016-03-04T18:33:11Z")

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And consider the bandwagon effect. Maine, Kansas, Kentucky and Louisana on Saturday and Hawaii, Idaho, Michigan and Mississippi on Tuesday. I don’t see a lot of polls (perhaps I don’t search as well as RTFirefly and others), but Trump certainly looks to be taking Louisiana and Kentucky and I presume he has a good chance in Kansas and Maine–so the Sunday papers and newshows may (may) be leading with “Trump wins 4 more states”. If he follows it up on Tuesday (Michigan and Mississippi polls give him at least at 10-point lead in both states) and can pick off Idaho and Hawaii, he goes into 15 March with eight straight wins, all advertised on the news, and a sense of…inevitablity…building around him.

I think losing even Ohio and Florida wouldn’t knock him out then…especially if Cruz/Rubio can’t beat him in Missouri, N.Carolina or Illinois that same day. Trump can argue they are “homers” who can’t win anywhere but their home states while he is winning all across the nation.

If the Cruz/Rubio/Republican backlash can’t grab a few wins outside of Ohio and Florida in the next 12 days, it’s going to become even harder to see a way to stop Trump.

IMHO as always. YMMV.

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**Author:** ![SlackerInc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slackerinc/32/275_2.png) [@SlackerInc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SlackerInc)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2016, 8:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-race-for-the-gop-nomination-post-thanksgiving-thread/738819/742 "2016-03-04T20:14:39Z")

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I will of course be doing my part to help Drumpf get Missouri into his column. And I know I have at least a few friends convinced on Facebook and they say they have convinced a few other friends I don’t know, so who knows? Nice to know it is winner take most so our state can have an outsized impact compared to most that have gone before.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [March 6, 2016, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-race-for-the-gop-nomination-post-thanksgiving-thread/738819/743 "2016-03-06T02:24:48Z")

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> [@CarnalK](#):
>
> That’s why I don’t buy into it much when people talk about strategic voting having an impact. Not many people do it and it’s disorganized among those that do. Like all this talk that some of Trump’s wins are because Dems hopped over to vote for the most beatable candidate. But I’ve seen just as much talk about Dems should hop over and vote so as to get a contested convention. Are we really to believe that thousands of Dems gave up voting for Bernie or Hillary to do that? And they mostly chose the same strategy? Meh.

What’s actually going on is that the vast majority of Democrats voting for Trump are doing it because they actually support him.

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