# The Road to the OSCARS 2010

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721>\
**Category:** Cafe Society\
**Created:** [December 2, 2010, 10:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721 "2010-12-02T22:09:33Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [December 15, 2010, 8:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/21 "2010-12-15T08:05:07Z")

</div>

Finally…

**2010-11 GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS**

**BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA**

[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)

**BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA**

Halle Berry - [Frankie and Alice](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1221208/combined)  
Nicole Kidman - [Rabbit Hole](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0935075/combined)  
Jennifer Lawrence - [Winter’s Bone](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1399683/combined)  
Natalie Portman - [Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
Michelle Williams - [Blue Valentine](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1120985/combined)

**BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA**

Jesse Eisenberg - [The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
Colin Firth - [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
James Franco - [127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)  
Ryan Gosling - [Blue Valentine](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1120985/combined)  
Mark Wahlberg - [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)

**BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY**

[Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/combined)  
[Burlesque](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1126591/combined)  
[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)  
[Red](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1245526/combined)  
[The Tourist](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1243957/combined)

**BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY**

Annette Bening - [The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)  
Anne Hathaway - [Love And Other Drugs](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0758752/combined)  
Angelina Jolie - [The Tourist](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1243957/combined)  
Julianne Moore - [The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)  
Emma Stone - [Easy A](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1282140/combined)

**BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL OR COMEDY**

Johnny Depp - [Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/combined)  
Johnny Depp - [The Tourist](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1243957/combined)  
Paul Giamatti - [Barney’s Version](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1423894/combined)  
Jake Gyllenhaal - [Love And Other Drugs](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0758752/combined)  
Kevin Spacey - [Casino Jack](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1194417/combined)

**BEST DIRECTOR**

Darren Aronofsky - [Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
David Fincher - [The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
Tom Hooper - [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
Christopher Nolan - [Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)  
David O. Russell - [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)

**BEST SCREENPLAY**

[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined) - Simon Beaufoy and Danny Boyle  
[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined) - Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined) - Christopher Nolan  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined) - David Seidler  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined) - Aaron Sorkin

**BEST ORIGINAL SCORE**

[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined) - Alexandre Desplat  
[Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/combined) - Danny Elfman  
[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined) - A.R. Rahman  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined) - Trent Reznor  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined) - Hans Zimmer

**BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM**

[Biutiful](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1164999/combined)  
[The Concert](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1320082/combined)  
[The Edge](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1706414/combined)  
[I Am Love](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1226236/combined)  
[In A Better World](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1340107/combined)

**BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE**

Amy Adams - [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
Helena Bonham Carter - [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
Mila Kunis - [Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
Melissa Leo - [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
Jacki Weaver - [Animal Kingdom](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1313092/combined)

**BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE**

Christian Bale - [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
Michael Douglas - [Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1027718/combined)  
Andrew Garfield - [The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
Jeremy Renner - [The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/combined)  
Geoffrey Rush - [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)

**BEST ANIMATED FILM**

[Despicable Me](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1323594/combined)  
[How to Train Your Dragon](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0892769/combined)  
[The Illusionist](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0775489/combined)  
[Tangled](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0398286/combined)  
[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)

**BEST SONG**

"Bound To You - [Burlesque](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1126591/combined)  
“Coming Home” - [Country Strong](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1555064/combined)  
“I See the Light” - [Tangled](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0398286/combined)  
“There’s A Place For Us” - [The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0980970/combined)  
“You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me Yet” - [Burlesque](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1126591/combined)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [December 15, 2010, 8:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/22 "2010-12-15T08:24:21Z")

</div>

> [@DMark](#):
>
> So, I would say it comes down to either The Kids Are All Right and RED.  
> My guess is that The Kids Are All Right will win - the Lesbian angle and pro-tolerance aspect makes it a politically correct choice. Plus, to be honest, it was a decent film (although I know we have one hater here on the boards) that made it both funny and a “message” film.

My thought when I saw the list was “One of these is not like the other” and it was The Kids Are All Right. But not because I’m a hater, but because I don’t think of it as a comedy, but rather a family drama with some humorous moments. I liked all the movies on it (well, except for Kids, and I haven’t seen Burlesque yet) but really, that’s a pretty pathetic list. The Tourist and Alice are not really comedies either. I’d have to do some research to figure out what comedy films they missed. Just off the top of my head, It’s Kind of a Funny Story which is not that much of a comedy but more of a comedy than others on the list, Brand Nue Dae is funny and it’s a musical, Made In China is pretty funny. Hell, Made in Dagenham, why the hell isn’t Made in Dagenham on the list? It’s a serious movie with far far far more humorous moments than most of the others. Kick-Ass could be on that list. I’m sure there are others.

And come on Love and Other Drugs is NOT a comedy, just because it has some humorous moments. They just really wanted to nominate Jake and Anne for something. They’re both great in the movie, so I guess I can understand.

I’m going to post the BFCA list, then go to sleep.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [December 15, 2010, 8:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/23 "2010-12-15T08:42:50Z")

</div>

**The Broadcast Film Critics Association (BFCA) nominations**

**BEST PICTURE**

[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
[The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/combined)  
[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)  
[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined)  
[Winter’s Bone](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1399683/combined)

**BEST ACTOR**

Jeff Bridges – [True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined)  
Robert Duvall – [Get Low](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1194263/combined)  
Jesse Eisenberg – [The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
Colin Firth – [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
James Franco – [127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)  
Ryan Gosling – [Blue Valentine](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1120985/combined)

**BEST ACTRESS**

Annette Bening – [The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)  
Nicole Kidman – [Rabbit Hole](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0935075/combined)  
Jennifer Lawrence – [Winter’s Bone](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1399683/combined)  
Natalie Portman – [Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
Noomi Rapace – [The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1132620/combined)  
Michelle Williams – [Blue Valentine](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1120985/combined)  
**BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR**

Christian Bale – [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
Andrew Garfield – [The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
Jeremy Renner – [The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/combined)  
Sam Rockwell – [Conviction](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1244754/combined)  
Mark Ruffalo – [The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)  
Geoffrey Rush – [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)

**BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS**

Amy Adams – [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
Helena Bonham Carter – [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
Mila Kunis – [Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
Melissa Leo – [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
Hailee Steinfeld – [True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined)  
Jacki Weaver – [Animal Kingdom](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1313092/combined)

**BEST YOUNG ACTOR/ACTRESS**

Elle Fanning – [Somewhere](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1421051/combined)  
Jennifer Lawrence – [Winter’s Bone](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1399683/combined)  
Chloe Grace Moretz – [Let Me In](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1228987/combined)  
Chloe Grace Moretz – [Kick-Ass](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1250777/combined)  
Kodi Smit-McPhee – [Let Me In](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1228987/combined)  
Hailee Steinfeld – [True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined)

**BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE**

[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
[The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/combined)

**BEST DIRECTOR**

Darren Aronofsky – [Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
Danny Boyle – [127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)  
Joel Coen & Ethan Coen – [True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined)  
David Fincher – [The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
Tom Hooper – [The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)  
Christopher Nolan – [Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)

**BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY**

[Another Year](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1431181/combined) – Mike Leigh  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined) – Mark Heyman and Andres Heinz and John McLaughlin  
[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined) – Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson (Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson)  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined) – Christopher Nolan  
[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined) – Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined) – David Seidler

**BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY**

[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined) – Simon Beaufoy and Danny Boyle  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined) – Aaron Sorkin  
[The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/combined) – Ben Affleck, Peter Craig and Sheldon Turner  
[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined) – Michael Arndt (Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich)  
[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined) – Joel Coen & Ethan Coen  
[Winter’s Bone](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1399683/combined) – Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini

**BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY**

[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined) – Anthony Dod Mantle  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined) – Matthew Libatique  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined) – Wally Pfister  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined) – Danny Cohen  
[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined) – Roger Deakins

**BEST ART DIRECTION**

[Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/combined) – Stefan Dechant  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined) – Therese DePrez and Tora Peterson  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined) – Guy Hendrix Dyas  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined) – Netty Chapman  
[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined) – Jess Gonchor and Nancy Haigh

**BEST EDITING**

[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined) – Jon Harris  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined) – Andrew Weisblum  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined) – Lee Smith  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined) – Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

**BEST COSTUME DESIGN**

[Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/combined) – Colleen Atwood  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined) – Amy Westcott  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined) – Jenny Beavan  
[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined) – Mary Zophres

**BEST MAKEUP**

[Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/combined)  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
[Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0926084/combined)  
[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined)

**BEST VISUAL EFFECTS**

[Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/combined)  
[Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0926084/combined)  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)  
Tron: Legacy

**BEST SOUND**

[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)  
[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)  
[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)

**BEST ANIMATED FEATURE**

[Despicable Me](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1323594/combined)  
[How to Train Your Dragon](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0892769/combined)  
[The Illusionist](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0775489/combined)  
[Tangled](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0398286/combined)  
[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)

**BEST ACTION MOVIE**

[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)  
[Kick-Ass](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1250777/combined)  
[Red](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1245526/combined)  
[The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/combined)  
[Unstoppable](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0477080/combined)

**BEST COMEDY**

[Cyrus](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1336617/combined)  
[Date Night](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1279935/combined)  
[Easy A](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1282140/combined)  
[Get Him to the Greek](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1226229/combined)  
[I Love You Phillip Morris](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1045772/combined)  
[The Other Guys](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1386588/combined)

**BEST PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION**

[The Pacific](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0374463/combined)  
[Temple Grandin](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1278469/combined)  
[You Don’t Know Jack](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1132623/combined)

**BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM**

[Biutiful](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1164999/combined)  
[I Am Love](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1226236/combined)  
[The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1132620/combined)

**BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE**

[Exit Through the Gift Shop](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1587707/combined)  
[Inside Job](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/combined)  
[Restrepo](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1559549/combined)  
[Joan Rivers: A Piece of Work](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568150/combined)  
[The Tillman Story](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568334/combined)  
[Waiting for ‘Superman’](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/combined)

**BEST SONG**

“I See the Light” – performed by Mandy Moore & Zachary Levi/written by Alan Menken & Glenn Slater – [Tangled](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0398286/combined)  
“If I Rise” – performed by Dido and A.R. Rahman/music by A.R. Rahman/lyrics by Dido Armstrong and Rollo Armstrong – [127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)  
“Shine” – performed and written by John Legend – [Waiting for Superman](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/combined)  
“We Belong Together” – performed and written by Randy Newman – [Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)  
“You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me Yet” – performed by Cher/written by Diane Warren – [Burlesque](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1126591/combined)

**BEST SCORE**

[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined) – Clint Mansell  
[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined) – Hans Zimmer  
[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined) – Alexandre Desplat  
[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined) – Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross  
[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/combined) – Carter Burwell

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [December 20, 2010, 6:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/24 "2010-12-20T06:11:06Z")

</div>

Here are the Screen Actors Guild nominees. They’re the first really important Oscar indicators, because while not all SAG members are members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS, the Oscar people), almost all if not all members of the Acting branch of AMPAS are Screen Actors Guild members. So this is the first indication of what some members of AMPAS are thinking. The Guild awards are the only ones that really matter when trying to pick Oscar nominees and winners.

The Screen Actors Guild presents nominations for both theatrical films and television, but these are only the film nominees. I didn’t do links because, really, there are links for just about all of these elsewhere in the thread.

**2010-11 Screen Actors Guild nominees**

**Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role**

Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right  
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole  
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone  
Natalie Portman, Black Swan  
Hilary Swank, Conviction

**Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role**  
Jeff Bridges, True Grit  
Robert Duvall, Get Low  
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network  
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech  
James Franco, 127 Hours

**Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role**

Christian Bale, The Fighter  
John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone  
Jeremy Renner, The Town  
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right  
Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech

**Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role**

Amy Adams, The Fighter  
Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech  
Mila Kunis, Black Swan  
Melissa Leo, The Fighter  
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit

**Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture**

**Black Swan** (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

Vincent Cassel / Thomas Leroy  
Barbara Hershey / Erica Sayers  
Mila Kunis / Lily  
Natalie Portman / Nina Sayers  
Winona Ryder / Beth Macintyre

**The Fighter** (Paramount Pictures)

Amy Adams / Charlene Fleming  
Christian Bale / Dicky Eklund  
Melissa Leo / Alice Ward  
Jack Mcgee / George Ward  
Mark Wahlberg / Micky Ward

**The Kids Are All Right** (Focus Features)

Annette Bening / Nic  
Josh Hutcherson / Laser  
Julianne Moore / Jules  
Mark Ruffalo / Paul  
Mia Wasikowska / Joni

**The King’S Speech** (The Weinstein Company)

Anthony Andrews / Stanley Baldwin  
Helena Bonham Carter / Queen Elizabeth  
Jennifer Ehle / Myrtle Logue  
Colin Firth / King George Vi  
Michael Gambon / King George V  
Derek Jacobi / Archbishop Cosmo Lang  
Guy Pearce / King Edward Viii  
Geoffrey Rush / Lionel Logue  
Timothy Spall / Winston Churchill

**The Social Network** (Columbia Pictures)

Jesse Eisenberg / Mark Zuckerberg  
Andrew Garfield / Eduardo Saverin  
Armie Hammer / Cameron And Tyler Winklevoss  
Max Minghella / Divya Narendra  
Josh Pence / Tyler Winklevoss  
Justin Timberlake / Sean Parker  
JOHN HAWKES in Supporting! _melt_ Maybe, just maybe, he will get an Oscar nomination!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Spoke](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a88e57/32.png) [@Spoke](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoke)\
**Post date:** [December 20, 2010, 2:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/25 "2010-12-20T14:43:22Z")

</div>

> [@Equipoise](#):
>
> JOHN HAWKES in Supporting! _melt_ Maybe, just maybe, he will get an Oscar nomination!

He should. His performance in _Winter’s Bone_ was remarkable.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2011, 10:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/26 "2011-01-04T22:14:08Z")

</div>

Two very important awards nominations came out today, the Producers Guild and the Writers Guild. The Writers Guild deemed a lot of Oscar-possible movies ineligible\* so they’re not quite as important in predicting Oscar nominations.

2010-11 PRODUCERS GUILD nominations

**The Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures:**

```
**[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)** - Producers: Danny Boyle, Christian Colson
**[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)** - Producers: Scott Franklin, Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver
**[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)** - Producers: Christopher Nolan, Emma Thomas
**[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)** - Producers: David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman, Mark Wahlberg
**[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)** - Producers: Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte, Celine Rattray
**[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)** - Producers: Iain Canning, Emile Sherman, Gareth Unwin
**[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)** - Producers: Dana Brunetti, Cean Chaffin, Michael De Luca, Scott Rudin
**[The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/)** - Producers: Basil Iwanyk, Graham King
**[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)** - Producer: Darla K. Anderson
**[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/)** - Producers: Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Scott Rudin

```

**The Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures:**

```
**[Despicable Me](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1323594/)** - Producers: John Cohen, Janet Healy, Christopher Meledandri
**[How to Train Your Dragon](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0892769/)** - Producer: Bonnie Arnold
**[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)** - Producer: Darla K. Anderson

```

**The Award for Outstanding Producer of Documentary Theatrical Motion Pictures:**

```
**[Client 9: The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1638362/)** - Producer(s): Awaiting final credit determination
**[Earth Made of Glass](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1515197/)** - Producers: Reid Carolin, Deborah Scranton
**[Inside Job](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/)** - Producers: Charles Ferguson, Audrey Marrs
**[Smash His Camera](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1280015/)** - Producers: Linda Saffire, Adam Schlesinger
**[The Tillman Story](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568334/)** - Producer: John Battsek
**[Waiting for 'Superman'](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/)** - Producer: Lesley Chilcott

```

It’s great seeing **The Tillman Story** nominated. I hope it gets an Oscar nomination too. Sad to not see Winter’s Bone on the list, but I still wouldn’t be surprised to see it nominated for an Oscar. In place of what though, I don’t know. The Town, maybe? They’re all such good movies, I don’t want to see any kicked. Well, The Kids Are All Right, but that’s not going to happen. There are always surprises at the Oscars, so I wouldn’t be surprised if Winter’s Bone and one or two of the others didn’t make it, and something else totally out of left field did. Who saw The Blind Side coming last year? Not me. Maybe they nominated it because of its name and wanted to throw everyone for a loop.

2010-11 WRITERS GUILD nominations

**ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY**

**[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)**  
Screenplay by Mark Heyman and Andres Heinz and John McLaughlin;  
Story by Andres Heinz; Fox Searchlight

**[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)**  
Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson;  
Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson; Paramount Pictures

**[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
Written by Christopher Nolan; Warner Bros.

**[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)**  
Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg; Focus Features

**[Please Give](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0878835/)**  
Written by Nicole Holofcener; Sony Pictures Classics

**ADAPTED SCREENPLAY**

**[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)**  
Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy;  
Based on the book Between a Rock and a Hard Place by Aron Ralston; Fox Searchlight

**[I Love You Phillip Morris](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1045772/)**  
Written by John Requa & Glenn Ficarra;  
Based on the book by Steven McVicker; Roadside Attractions

**[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**  
Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin;  
Based on the book The Accidental Billionaires by Ben Mezrich; Sony Pictures

**[The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/)**  
Screenplay by Peter Craig and Ben Affleck & Aaron Stockard;  
Based on the novel Prince of Thieves by Chuck Hogan; Warner Bros.

**[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/)**  
Screenplay by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen;  
Based on the novel by Charles Portis; Paramount Pictures

**DOCUMENTARY SCREENPLAY**

**[Enemies of the People](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568328/)**  
Written, Directed, Filmed and Produced by Rob Lemkin and Thet Sambath; International Film Circuit

**[Freedom Riders](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1558952/)**  
Written, Produced and Directed by Stanley Nelson; International Film Circuit

**[Gasland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1558250/)**  
Written and Directed by Josh Fox; HBO Documentary Films and International WOW Company

**[Inside Job](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/)**  
Produced, Written and Directed by Charles Ferguson; Co-written by Chad Beck, Adam Bolt; Sony Pictures Classics

**[The Two Escobars](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1522863/)**  
Written by Michael Zimbalist, Jeff Zimbalist; ESPN Films

I burst out laughing in delight when I saw [I Love You Phillip Morris](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1045772/) on the Writers Guild list because it was one of my favorite films from 2010. It’s sadly not going to be nominated for much of anything else, so to see it get at least one important nomination was very gratifying. Please Give’s nomination was pretty cool too. I’ve only seen one of those documentary nominations, Inside Job.

\*[From EW](http://insidemovies.ew.com/2010/12/29/writers-guild-awards-toy-story-3-blue-valentine-ineligible/):

> [@](#):
>
> Nominations for the Writers Guild Awards won’t be announced until Jan. 4, but the nomination ballot is missing some noticeable titles. Variety reports **Another Year, Biutiful, Blue Valentine, The Ghost Writer, The King’s Speech, Made in Dagenham, Scott Pilgrim vs. the World, Toy Story 3 and Winter’s Bone** are among those deemed ineligible because they were not formally submitted for consideration and/or were not produced under WGA jurisdiction. As the trade notes, the WGA’s picks for original and adapted screenplay have each won an Oscar 11 of the last 16 years. Winners are announced Feb. 5.

Lat year [An Education](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1174732/), [Inglourious Basterds](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0361748/), [A Single Man](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1315981/) and [District 9](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1136608/) among others were ineligible for WGA nominations, but all except A Single Man got Oscar writing nominations.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2011, 4:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/27 "2011-01-06T04:21:43Z")

</div>

Here are the Art Directors Guild nominations. You can’t tell anything from the nominees because they have 3 different categories, unlike the Oscars. It’s just a guide to tell you what they’re looking at. I’m one who loves these categories because people like the Art Directors, Editors, Cinematographers, Costumers, Hair and Makeup artists, Sound folks, they all deserve their moment in the sun for doing such great jobs. Even really crappy films serve a purpose, getting these people experience and resume filler. Everyone has to start somewhere.

Again, when it comes to the magic word “Guild” it’s best to perk up if you throw in on Oscar nomination pools, because while not all Guild members are AMPAS (the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, which is why it’s called the “Academy Awards” and sorry to insult your intelligence if you already know all this) members, most AMPAS members are going to be a member of one or more Guilds in their field(s). Some people belong to multiples Guilds, like Writer/Directors, Actor/Directors, etc.

And AMPAS branches nominates their own. Meaning, the Actors branch of AMPAS choose the acting nominees. AMPAS Art Directors nominate Art Directors, Cinematographers nominate cinematographers, Editors nominate Editors, and so on. The only exceptions are that everyone nominates Best Picture, and special panels nominate in the Foreign-Language, Documentary and Shorts categories.

When it comes to actual voting, after the nominations are announced, everyone votes for everything, except you have to prove you’ve seen the Foreign-Language, Documentary and Shorts nominees before you can vote. I wish all categories were like that.

2010-11 Art Directors Guild nominees

**Period Film**

True Grit – Jess Gonchor  
The King’s Speech – Eve Stewart  
Shutter Island – Dante Ferretti  
Robin Hood – Arthur Max  
Get Low – Geoffrey Kirkland

**Fantasy Film**

Alice In Wonderland – Robert Stromberg  
Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows Part 1 – Stuart Craig  
Inception – Guy Hendrix Dyas  
Tron: Legacy – Darren Gilford  
The Chronicles Of Narnia: The Voyage Of The Dawn Treader – Barry Robison

**Contemporary Film**

Black Swan – Therese DePrez  
The Social Network – Donald Graham Burt  
The Fighter – Judy Becker  
The Town – Sharon Seymour  
127 Hours – Suttirat Larlarb

The Scripter Award nominations don’t mean much in terms of Oscar nominations, they only nominated adaptations and there’s little if any crossover in the membership, but they’re always fun to see.

2010-11 USC Scripter nominations

127 Hours  
The Ghost Writer  
The Social Network  
True Grit  
Winter’s Bone

The Visual Effects branch of AMPAS has narrowed down the list of possible nominees to 7.

> [@](#):
>
> [Academy narrows VFX field to seven](http://www.goldderby.com/films/news/878/academy-narrows-vfx-field-to-seven.html)
> 
> The visual effects branch of the academy has winnowed the 15 films in the first round down to a more manageable seven for the so-called bake-off. On Jan. 20, a 15-minute reel showcasing the visual effect in each will be screened for branch members with the wizards behind the movie magic then taking part in a Q&A. The final five will be announced on Jan. 25.
> 
> The seven contenders are:
> 
> “Alice in Wonderland”  
> “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1”  
> “Hereafter”  
> “Inception”  
> “Iron Man”  
> “Scott Pilgrim vs. The World”  
> “Tron: LEGACY.”

I’ll guess that Hereafter and Scott Pilgrim get jettisoned for the final 5, but it’s nice to see them in the mix.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MovieMogul](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/f08c70/32.png) [@MovieMogul](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MovieMogul)\
**Post date:** [January 6, 2011, 11:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/28 "2011-01-06T11:12:08Z")

</div>

> [@Equipoise](#):
>
> The Visual Effects branch of AMPAS has narrowed down the list of possible nominees to 7.
> 
> I’ll guess that Hereafter and Scott Pilgrim get jettisoned for the final 5, but it’s nice to see them in the mix.

Actually, there are traditionally only 3 VFX nominees, so the question is, after _Inception_ (my bet for the eventual winner), which other two will make the cut? I’m guessing probably _TRON_ (although the original wasn’t a nominee in this category), but after that, it’s a toss-up.

Only one other HP film (_Prisoner_) has competed for VFX, and I haven’t seen this one yet so can’t judge. The first _Iron Man_ was here, but that’s never a guarantee for the sequels. I think _Alice_ was too garish in a lot of its effects–I think _SPvTW_ had a better look to it–but a lot of it comes down to how the bake-off goes and how effective each competing reel is assembled.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DMark](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e68b1a/32.png) [@DMark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DMark)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2011, 10:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/29 "2011-01-13T22:55:38Z")

</div>

Take with grain of salt, but a friend who still works at a Hollywood studio told me that the “buzz” on Social Network is slipping and that King’s Speech is starting to become the new front runner for Best Film Oscar in water cooler conversations.

I have yet to see Social Network, but will hopefully get to see it On Demand soon, but thought I would throw that out there.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2011, 11:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/30 "2011-01-13T23:19:49Z")

</div>

> [@ArchiveGuy](#):
>
> Actually, there are traditionally only 3 VFX nominees, so the question is, after _Inception_ (my bet for the eventual winner), which other two will make the cut? I’m guessing probably _TRON_ (although the original wasn’t a nominee in this category), but after that, it’s a toss-up.

You’re absolutely right, it’s usually 3. I was going by the article I quoted, which said “The final five will be announced on Jan. 25.” and I didn’t even think about it. So now I’m confused if it’s really 3 as usual, or 5 this year because they had so many entries. Doesn’t matter, we’ll find out soon enough.

I kinda feel bad for the Narnia people. It’s a big blow to the Clash of the Titans VFX crew too. Even if the movies weren’t great, they both had pretty great special effects. On the other hand, I’m loving that Scott Pilgrim is up for consideration. Inception too.

[QUOTE=DMark]  
Take with grain of salt, but a friend who still works at a Hollywood studio told me that the “buzz” on Social Network is slipping and that King’s Speech is starting to become the new front runner for Best Film Oscar in water cooler conversations.  
[/QUOTE]  
I wouldn’t be surprised if **The King’s Speech** won, and that’d be fine with me because I thought it was wonderful. It seems more Oscar-friendly and you know all the older members of the Academy are going to vote for it, but I would grin like a happy lunatic if **The Social Network** hung on and the younger members of the Academy were numerous enough to push it over the edge to win. I do think it’ll come down to those two films and they’ll be neck and neck right to the end. The list of nominees will consist of nothing but great movies, but those two specifically seem beloved.

This bump reminds me I need to post the Directors Guild nominees. Be back shortly.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2011, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/31 "2011-01-14T03:06:20Z")

</div>

Oooh! I forgot about the Cinematographers!

2010 American Society of Cinematographers (ASC) nominees

[Matthew Libatique](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0508732/) - **[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)**  
[Wally Pfister](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0002892/) - **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
[Danny Cohen](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0169299/) - **[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)**  
[Jeff Cronenweth](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0188729/) - **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**  
[Roger Deakins](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0005683/) - **[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/)**

2010 Directors Guild of America (DGA) nominees

**Feature Film**

[David Fincher](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000399/) - **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**  
[Tom Hooper](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0393799/) - **[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)**  
[Darren Aronofsky](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0004716/) - **[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)**  
[David O. Russell](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0751102/) - **[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)**  
[Christopher Nolan](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0634240/) - **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**

Aronofsky, Russell & Hooper are first-time DGA nominees. Fincher was nominated once before for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (lost to Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire). Nolan was nominated twice before, for **Memento** (he lost to Ron Howard for A Beautiful Mind) and **The Dark Knight** (the same year Danny Boyle won for Slumdog Millionaire). I’m loving the Inception love from the Guilds.

**Documentary**

[Lixin Fan](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm2887720/) - [Last Train Home](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1512201/)  
[Charles Ferguson](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm2480587/) – [Inside Job](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/)  
[Alex Gibney](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0316795/) – [Client 9: The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1638362/)  
[Davis Guggenheim](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0346550/) – [Waiting for “Superman”](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/)  
[Tim Hetherington](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1770672/) & [Sebastian Junger](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0432631/) – [Restrepo](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1559549/)

I don’t really care who wins here, since Banksy ([Exit Through The Gift Shop](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1587707/)), Amir Bar-Lev ([The Tillman Story](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568334/)) and Johnny O’Hara & Duane Baughman ([Bhutto](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1524095/)) weren’t nominated. I’ve seen Last Train Home, Inside Job and Superman, and liked them all, especially Inside Job. Client 9 opens here tomorrow and I’ll see it next week. Restrepo will probably win. Geez, I hate to whine, but man, in a year when I saw more documentaries than I have in my entire life totaled up, I would miss the one that will probably sweep everything. Damn.

7 films advance in the Oscar Makeup category. Like the Visual Effects, there will be a “Bake off” and 3 will be nominated for Oscars.

> [@](#):
>
> [Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/)  
> [Barney’s Version](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1423894/)  
> [The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)  
> [Jonah Hex](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1075747/)  
> [True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/)  
> [The Way Back](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1023114/)  
> [The Wolfman](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0780653/)
> 
> ```
> On Saturday, January 22, all members of the Academy’s Makeup Branch will be invited to view 10-minute excerpts from each of the seven shortlisted films. Following the screenings, members will vote to nominate three films for final Oscar consideration.
> 
> ```

I figure Alice In Wonderland, The Wolfman, and possibly True Grit or maybe The Fighter. This is a category however where really terrible movies can get Oscar nominations just because the Makeup is considered great by the people who know exactly what was involved in the process. Remember, branch nominates branch, so the Makeup people nominate and no one else has any input into the nomination, and they really don’t give a flying crap what anyone else thinks. They’re not honoring the movie, they’re honoring the artists/craftspeople who worked on the movie. Which I can see, it makes perfect sense, but it does lead to things like “Oscar-nominated Norbit” which is fairly cringe-inducing. The 3rd nominee could very well be Jonah Hex instead of True Grit or The Fighter. I haven’t seen The Way Back or Barney’s Version (I have a free pass to that next week).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2011, 4:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/32 "2011-01-14T04:37:46Z")

</div>

> [@Equipoise](#):
>
> JOHN HAWKES in Supporting! _melt_ Maybe, just maybe, he will get an Oscar nomination!

I’ve pretty much given up on awards shows, but an Oscar nomination here would make me happy. I’ll admit in my specific case it is slightly strained choice in that I’m not basing it solely on Hawkes performance in the film, even though it was certainly superb. But I’m actually basing it more on a contrast between that performance and his character in the TV show Deadwood. The transformation and range between the two is just so shockingly good I think he deserves an award for “best character actor based on compare and contrast range between two gigs.”

Which I don’t think is an actual award ;).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2011, 5:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/33 "2011-01-14T05:54:24Z")

</div>

> [@Tamerlane](#):
>
> But I’m actually basing it more on a contrast between that performance and his character in the TV show Deadwood. The transformation and range between the two is just so shockingly good I think he deserves an award for “best character actor based on compare and contrast range between two gigs.”

I feel the same way but for a different performance. The only other thing I’d seen him in, that I remembered\*, is as the dorky weirdo in [Me And You And Everyone We Know](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0415978/). He was slightly creepy in that, but it was a nerdy, dorky type of creepy, not menacing and frightening like he was as Teardrop.

What was his character like in Deadwood?

- Though, looking at his IMDB page, I know I’ve seen other movies he’s done (Wristcutters: A Love Story, Miami Vice, The Perfect Storm, Miracle at St. Anna) but I didn’t and don’t remember him in them. If I watched the movies now, I’d recognize him immediately. He’s forever on my radar now. I hope he’ll be on the Academy’s radar too.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2011, 6:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/34 "2011-01-14T06:13:59Z")

</div>

> [@Equipoise](#):
>
> What was his character like in Deadwood?

He played [Sol Star](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sol_Star). [Picture](http://images4.fanpop.com/image/photos/16900000/Sol-Star-deadwood-16933926-1707-2560.jpg).

Highly moral, slightly nerdy ( by Old West standards ), thoughtful, usually smilingly good-natured, polite, patient, kind-hearted, Jewish ( this was a minor plot point at times ) shopkeeper. Like most of the Deadwood characters he was a fairly complex and nuanced creation. But 180 degrees from his character in _Winter’s Bone_, in which I honestly did not recognize him.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 15, 2011, 7:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/35 "2011-01-15T19:58:57Z")

</div>

Thanks Tamerlane, he sounds like a wonderful character. I had no idea that Deadwood was based on real-life characters. I knew that it was considered a great show, but I never knew any details about it, other than that it was a western.

Here are some recent additions, the Editors Guild and the BFCA.

2010 AMERICAN CINEMA EDITORS (A.C.E) nominations (aka “The Eddies”)

**BEST EDITED FEATURE FILM (DRAMATIC):**

```
* **[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)** - [Andrew Weisblum, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0918733/)
* **[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)** - [Pamela Martin](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0552862/)
* **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)** - [Lee Smith, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0809059/)
* **[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)** - [Tariq Anwar](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0031697/)
* **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)** - [Angus Wall, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0908370/) & [Kirk Baxter](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0062775/)

```

**BEST EDITED FEATURE FILM (COMEDY OR MUSICAL):**

```
* **[Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/)** - [Chris Lebenzon, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0495605/)
* ****[Easy A](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1282140/)**** - [Susan Littenberg](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0514481/)
* **[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)** - [Jeffrey M. Werner](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0921418/)
* **[Made in Dagenham](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1371155/)** - [Michael Parker](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0662491/)
* **[Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0446029/)** - [Jonathan Amos](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1633672/) & [Paul Machliss](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0532651/)

```

**BEST EDITED ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:**

```
* **[Despicable Me](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1323594/)** - [Gregory Perler](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0674179/) & [Pam Ziegenhagen](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0956063/)
* **[How To Train Your Dragon](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0892769/)** - [Maryann Brandon, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0104783/) & [Darren T. Holmes, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0391789/)
* **[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)**- [Ken Schretzmann](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0775350/) & [Lee Unkrich, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0881279/)

```

**BEST EDITED DOCUMENTARY:**

```
* **[Exit Through the Gift Shop](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1587707/)** - [Tom Fulford](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1723418/) & [Chris King](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1201554/)
* **[Inside Job](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/)** - [Chad Beck](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1556822/) & [Adam Bolt](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm2903269/)
* **[Waiting For “Superman”](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/)** - [Jay Cassidy, A.C.E.](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0144203/), [Greg Finton](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0278368/) & [Kim Roberts](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0731324/)

```

Editors are so important. Besides presenting us with a finished film, there are “truisms” about editing nominations/wins and Best Picture nominations/wins though I always forget what they are, I just know that editors are considered very important. ArchiveGuy?

Like a lot of other people elsewhere, I’m shocked to the core at the exclusion/neglect of **[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/)**. How do you make a movie about a guy stuck in a cave for 2 hours exciting and tense and exhilarating and moving? Well, writing, directing, acting and music are big components, but damn, the editing would seem to be right up there, very important. I would have thought that this is one place where the movie would be nominated. The editor [Jon Harris](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1154184/) had a great year. Besides **127 Hours** he edited the beautifully kinetic **Kick-Ass**. In the past, he was also the editor on **Snatch** , **Layer Cake** , **Starter for 10** and **Stardust** , among others. Give the man a hand, if the editing guild and AMPAS branch won’t.

Still and all, hooray for their singling out my buddy **Exit Through The Gift Shop** , the very funny and interesting and warm-hearted **Made in Dagenham** , and of course **Scott Pilgrim** , which should win here.

BFCA (Broadcast Film Critics Association) aka “Critics Choice Awards” Winners

(The nominations are in [Post 23](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showpost.php?p=13252440&postcount=23))

**Best Picture:** **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**  
**Best Director:** [David Fincher](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000399/)- **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**  
**Best Actor:** [Colin Firth](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000147/) - **[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)**  
**Best Actress:** [Natalie Portman](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000204/) - **[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)**  
**Best Young Actress:** [Hailee Steinfeld](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm2794962/) - **[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/)**  
**Best Supporting Actor:** [Christian Bale](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000288/) - **[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)**  
**Best Supporting Actress:** [Melissa Leo](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0502425/) - **[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)**  
**Best Ensemble:** **[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)**  
**Best Adapted Screenplay:** **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**  
**Best Original Screenplay:** **[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)**  
**Best Foreign Language Film:** [The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1132620/)  
**Best Documentary Feature:** [Waiting for “Superman”](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/)  
**Best Animation:** **[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)**  
**Best Comedy:** [Easy A](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1282140/)  
**Best Picture Made for TV:** **[The Pacific](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0374463/)**  
**Best Action Movie:** **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
**Best Cinematography:** [Wally Pfister](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0002892/) - **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
**Best Editing:** [Lee Smith](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0809059/) - **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
**Best Art Direction:** **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
**Best Visual Effects:** **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
**Best Sound:** **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
**Best Makeup:** [Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/)  
**Best Costume Design:** [Alice in Wonderland](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1014759/)  
**Best Song:** **[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)** - [“If I Rise”](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FE3KA7DdhQQ) Dido & A. R. Rahman (link is to YouTube audio-only track)  
**Best Score:** **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**

They really spread the love around. **Inception** won 6, **The Social Network** won 4, **The Fighter** won 3, **The King’s Speech** won 2, as did **Alice In Wonderland** , which will probably win the same two at the Oscars. I’m so glad they chose that song from **127 Hours**. As is obvious, the movie isn’t getting anywhere near enough awards attention to suit me, which I can live with as long as James Franco is nominated for Best Actor, and that song is nominated for Best Song at the Oscars.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lakai](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/9de0a6/32.png) [@Lakai](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lakai)\
**Post date:** [January 15, 2011, 10:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/36 "2011-01-15T22:48:32Z")

</div>

> [@Tamerlane](#):
>
> I’ve pretty much given up on awards shows, but an Oscar nomination here would make me happy. I’ll admit in my specific case it is slightly strained choice in that I’m not basing it solely on Hawkes performance in the film, even though it was certainly superb. But I’m actually basing it more on a contrast between that performance and his character in the TV show Deadwood. The transformation and range between the two is just so shockingly good I think he deserves an award for “best character actor based on compare and contrast range between two gigs.”
> 
> Which I don’t think is an actual award ;).

I spent half the movie thinking Teardrop was played by Harry Dean Stanton.

Am I crazy, or do they [look](http://www.imdb.com/media/rm1022659584/tt0078748)[alike](http://www.imdb.com/media/rm1831636224/tt1399683)?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 15, 2011, 11:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/37 "2011-01-15T23:34:51Z")

</div>

Well, other than the fact that there’s 33 years difference in their ages, yeah, I can sorta see it. Stanton was born in 1926, and Hawkes in 1959. They could certainly play father and son.

[shallow]As much as I love Stanton, he always was and always will be on the uglier side of the spectrum (looks only, he’s a wonderful man) which is perfect for the roles he plays, whereas Hawkes is [kinda hot](http://www.imdb.com/media/rm3151665152/nm0370035) to me, now that he’s on my radar.[/shallow]

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 23, 2011, 1:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/38 "2011-01-23T13:09:08Z")

</div>

There was a shocker at the Producers Guild last night.

2010-11 PRODUCERS GUILD winners

**The Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures:**

Winner:  
**[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)** - Producers: Iain Canning, Emile Sherman, Gareth Unwin

Other nominees:  
**[127 Hours](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1542344/combined)** - Producers: Danny Boyle, Christian Colson  
**[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)** - Producers: Scott Franklin, Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver  
**[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)** - Producers: Christopher Nolan, Emma Thomas  
**[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)** - Producers: David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman, Mark Wahlberg  
**[The Kids Are All Right](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0842926/combined)** - Producers: Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte, Celine Rattray  
**[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)** - Producers: Dana Brunetti, Cean Chaffin, Michael De Luca, Scott Rudin  
**[The Town](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0840361/)** - Producers: Basil Iwanyk, Graham King  
**[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)** - Producer: Darla K. Anderson  
**[True Grit](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1403865/)** - Producers: Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, Scott Rudin

**The Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures:**

Winner:  
**[Toy Story 3](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/combined)** - Producer: Darla K. Anderson

Other nominees:  
**[Despicable Me](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1323594/)** - Producers: John Cohen, Janet Healy, Christopher Meledandri  
**[How to Train Your Dragon](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0892769/)** - Producer: Bonnie Arnold

**The Award for Outstanding Producer of Documentary Theatrical Motion Pictures:**  
Winner:  
**[Waiting for ‘Superman’](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/)** - Producer: Lesley Chilcott

Other nominees:  
**[Client 9: The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1638362/)** - Producer(s): Awaiting final credit determination  
**[Earth Made of Glass](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1515197/)** - Producers: Reid Carolin, Deborah Scranton  
**[Inside Job](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/)** - Producers: Charles Ferguson, Audrey Marrs  
**[Smash His Camera](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1280015/)** - Producers: Linda Saffire, Adam Schlesinger  
**[The Tillman Story](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1568334/)** - Producer: John Battsek

They’re not a great indicator of Best Picture winners though. Sure, a lot of PG winners have gone on to win the Oscar, but movies like Moulin Rouge!, Little Miss Sunshine, The Aviator, Saving Private Ryan and Brokeback Mountain have all won the Producers Guild without winning the Best Picture Oscar.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DMark](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e68b1a/32.png) [@DMark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DMark)\
**Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 7:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/39 "2011-01-24T07:22:42Z")

</div>

Regarding the Producers Guild selecting The King’s Speech as Best Film, the [Hollywood Reporter is hinting](http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/blogs/race/pga-unfriends-social-network-5-74682)this might be an indication of an upset at the Oscars.

Looks like my friend at the studio might have been standing next to the right water cooler when he told me the buzz is switching gears.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\
**Post date:** [January 31, 2011, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721/40 "2011-01-31T02:30:55Z")

</div>

A shocker at the DGA last night cements The King’s Speech as the one to beat.

> [@Equipoise](#):
>
> **2010 Directors Guild of America (DGA)** nominees
> 
> **Feature Film**
> 
> [David Fincher](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000399/) - **[The Social Network](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1285016/combined)**  
> **Winner:** [Tom Hooper](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0393799/) - **[The King’s Speech](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1504320/combined)**  
> [Darren Aronofsky](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0004716/) - **[Black Swan](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0947798/combined)**  
> [David O. Russell](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0751102/) - **[The Fighter](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0964517/combined)**  
> [Christopher Nolan](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0634240/) - **[Inception](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/combined)**  
> …
> 
> **Documentary**
> 
> [Lixin Fan](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm2887720/) - [Last Train Home](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1512201/)  
> **Winner:** [Charles Ferguson](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm2480587/) – [Inside Job](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1645089/)  
> [Alex Gibney](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0316795/) – [Client 9: The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1638362/)  
> [Davis Guggenheim](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0346550/) – [Waiting for “Superman”](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1566648/)  
> [Tim Hetherington](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm1770672/) & [Sebastian Junger](http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0432631/) – [Restrepo](http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1559549/)

> [@DMark](#):
>
> Regarding the Producers Guild selecting The King’s Speech as Best Film, the [Hollywood Reporter is hinting](http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/blogs/race/pga-unfriends-social-network-5-74682)this might be an indication of an upset at the Oscars.
> 
> Looks like my friend at the studio might have been standing next to the right water cooler when he told me the buzz is switching gears.

I think you’re absolutely right. All throughout this thread I’ve been so sure that The Social Network would win but now I think it will lose to The King’s Speech. That’s fine with me because I think it’s fantastic and well-deserving. TSN will join a very long and distinguished list of great films that didn’t win Best Picture.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721.md?page=1)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-road-to-the-oscars-2010/562721.md?page=3)