# The Run to Super Bowl Licks (LIX). 2024 NFL playoffs

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Tags:** football-nfl\
**Created:** [December 9, 2024, 6:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410 "2024-12-09T18:14:58Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 6

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**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2025, 9:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/101 "2025-01-13T21:56:05Z")

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> [@Munch](#):
>
> That’s not an upset - the Ravens are favored by 1.

I posted this 18 hours ago:

> [@Railer13](#):
>
> Ravens @ Bills (-1.5), Sunday 5:30 CT

I just looked at DraftKings, and now the Ravens are favored by 1.5. So even in the last hour since @Munch posted, the line has moved a 1/2 point.

Both teams looked awfully solid this weekend. Should be an excellent game.

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**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2025, 10:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/102 "2025-01-13T22:21:52Z")

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> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> but I think most people think the Bills will win.

I dunno - the Ravens looked unstoppable on Saturday.

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**Author:** ![smithsb](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smithsb/32/12107_2.png) [@smithsb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/smithsb)\
**Post date:** [January 13, 2025, 10:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/103 "2025-01-13T22:59:53Z")

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> [@Railer13](#):
>
> I just looked at DraftKings, and now the Ravens are favored by 1.5. So even in the last hour since @Munch posted, the line has moved a 1/2 point.

Raven waxed the Bills 35 -10 back in week 4. 'twas in Baltimore so some home advantage. Ravens ran over them with Henry and Jackson was complimentary throwing - a balanced thrashing. I rate (like that means anything 🙄) the Baltimore defense as superior.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 12:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/104 "2025-01-14T00:43:46Z")

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I’m picking Rams over Vikings tonight!

Next week I’ll take Texas, Ravens, Commanders and Eagles, no matter which team wins tonight.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/105 "2025-01-14T02:28:05Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> I’m picking Rams over Vikings tonight!

Looking good so far!

How the hell does the tight end not come back on a corner blitz? You could still see him lumbering downfield as Darnold went down.

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**Author:** ![smithsb](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smithsb/32/12107_2.png) [@smithsb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/smithsb)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 2:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/106 "2025-01-14T02:47:41Z")

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OOF! Rams up 24-3, getting to Darnold for six sacks already. The blitz worked for Detroit in the season ending matchup with the Vikings as well.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 4:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/107 "2025-01-14T04:41:02Z")

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Eight fricking sacks on Darnold. Amazing.

I picked Rams because the Vikes were destroyed last week, travelled and Darnold seemed out of luck.

Same reason I’m picking Texans over Chiefs. Not traveling, but still. Look at the Texans defense.

Totally picking EAGLES as we will sack Stafford about as much.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 5:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/108 "2025-01-14T05:10:42Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> I picked Rams because the Vikes were destroyed last week, travelled and Darnold seemed out of luck.
> 
> Same reason I’m picking Texans over Chiefs. Not traveling, but still. Look at the Texans defense.

I don’t follow the analogy… the Chiefs lost to the Broncos, sure, but not with their actual team playing. And the Chiefs and Texans already played once this season - it was one of the Chief’s few convincing wins of the season. And Pat Mahomes is not Sam Darnold.

Also, Saturday weather forecast in KC - \<30 degrees and maybe snowing. We all remember what happened to the Dolphins at a chilly Arrowhead last year.

All of that said, the Chiefs are not nearly as scary as the past two years and 8.5 points seems far too high of a line. But it certainly feels like a Chiefs vs. Ravens AFCCG to me.

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**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 5:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/109 "2025-01-14T05:38:39Z")

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It was an easy guess.  
Brittney Mahomes, has daughter Sterling and son Bronze.  
Today she birthed another daughter-Golden.

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**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 1:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/110 "2025-01-14T13:31:56Z")

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Interestingly, if the Lions lose next weekend, then this season’s NFC North - arguably the best division to have ever existed in NFL history - will have utterly dominated the regular season but failed to have won a single playoff game.

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**Author:** ![John\_DiFool](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_difool/32/19543_2.png) [@John\_DiFool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_DiFool)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 2:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/111 "2025-01-14T14:45:45Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> Same reason I’m picking Texans over Chiefs. Not traveling, but still. Look at the Texans defense.

Weirdly, the Chiefs were the _original_ Dallas Texans, in the very early days of the AFL, until they relocated to KC in 1963.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 2:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/112 "2025-01-14T14:48:25Z")

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> [@Velocity](#):
>
> Interestingly, if the Lions lose next weekend,

Here’s hoping!

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**Author:** ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 3:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/113 "2025-01-14T15:42:19Z")

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Ain’t life without Dan Snyder great.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 3:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/114 "2025-01-14T15:59:09Z")

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It’s been everything I dreamed it could be!

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**Author:** ![EllisDee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ellisdee/32/4531_2.png) [@EllisDee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/EllisDee)\
**Post date:** [January 14, 2025, 7:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/115 "2025-01-14T19:34:04Z")

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Updated spreads just because I was curious:

Texans @ Chiefs (-8.5), Saturday, 3:30 CT  
Commanders @ Lions (-9.5), Saturday, 7:00 CT

Rams @ Eagles (-6), Sunday 1:00 CT  
Ravens @ Bills (+1.5), Sunday 5:30 CT

Lions went up 2 points from 7.5 to 9.5 favorites, while the Bills fell three points from -1.5 to +1.5 to become a straight-up underdog.

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**Author:** ![Red\_Wiggler](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/red_wiggler/32/13190_2.png) [@Red\_Wiggler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Red_Wiggler)\
**Post date:** [January 15, 2025, 2:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/116 "2025-01-15T14:02:55Z")

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Losing Daniel Snyder was great for _everyone_, not just Washington fans.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [January 16, 2025, 6:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/117 "2025-01-16T18:18:44Z")

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This might be of interest only for Lions fans, but I really enjoyed this profile of lineman and “catch-all bitch” Dan Skipper.

> **['You just want this guy around': How a journeyman lineman became a cult hero...](https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/43427114/detroit-lions-tackle-dan-skipper-unlikely-phenomenon-2024-nfl-playoffs)**
>
> The backup lineman gets huge ovations, even in road stadiums, when his name is announced. Here's how it happened and the man behind the cheers.

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**Author:** ![Zakalwe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zakalwe/32/270_2.png) [@Zakalwe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zakalwe)\
**Post date:** [January 16, 2025, 7:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/118 "2025-01-16T19:01:21Z")

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> [@TroutMan](#):
>
> This might be of interest only for Lions fans

Not at all. That was a great article. Thanks for sharing!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [January 16, 2025, 11:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/119 "2025-01-16T23:28:57Z")

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Joe Mixon is listed as questionable for the Texans for their Saturday game in KC.

> **[Texans' Mixon questionable to play against Chiefs](https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/43443388/texans-joe-mixon-misses-practice-questionable-play-vs-chiefs)**
>
> Texans running back Joe Mixon didn't practice Thursday because of an ankle injury and is listed as questionable for Saturday's divisional-round playoff game against the Chiefs.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Railer13](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/railer13/32/9742_2.png) [@Railer13](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Railer13)\
**Post date:** [January 17, 2025, 7:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-run-to-super-bowl-licks-lix-2024-nfl-playoffs/1011410/120 "2025-01-17T19:53:01Z")

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> [@TroutMan](#):
>
> An interesting stat from the Texans game: on their touchdown drive at the end of the first half, Stroud passed for 101 yards. Not a common occurrence on a 100 yard field.

Just saw this in a story in _The Athletic_ today:

In a playoff game between the Packers and the Cardinals on January 16, 2016, Aaron Rodgers completed two passes on the same drive to Jeff Janis for 101 yards and a touchdown. On 4th-and-20 from their own 4-yard line with 55 seconds to play, Rodgers completed a 60-yard pass to Janis to the Arizona 36-yard line. With the clock running, an illegal motion penalty put the ball back on the 41-yard line with 21 seconds to play. After another incompletion, Rodgers completed a TD pass to Janis on the last play of the game. That tied the score at 20-20 and sent the game into overtime.

Alas for the Packer faithful, the Cardinals received the kickoff in OT and scored a TD on a 3-play, 80-yard drive, 75 of which came on the first play on a pass to Larry Fitzgerald.

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