# The trial of Elizabeth Holmes (Theranos)\[sentenced to 11+ yrs, 18Nov2022\]

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Created:** [July 10, 2021, 4:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138 "2021-07-10T04:42:39Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2021, 4:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/1 "2021-07-10T04:42:39Z")

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We’ve had a few threads on Elizabeth Holmes, the former CEO of Theranos (most recently, [here](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/privileged-sociopath-elizabeth-holmes-is-pregnant-delaying-her-trial-wtf/937808) and [here](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/should-elizabeth-holmes-get-jail-time/810626)). With her trial looming, I figured we could have a new thread to discuss the trial and aftermath. This one is MPSIMS but there’s still the Pit thread if that’s more your style.

To kick this off, John Carreyrou, the journalist who first broke the story of the scandal and wrote _Bad Blood_, has weighed in that he predicts she’ll be found guilty of wire fraud.

> **[Reporter who broke Theranos scandal predicts outcome of Elizabeth Holmes trial](https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/07/09/john-carreyrou-predicts-elizabeth-holmes-trial-outcome.html)**
>
> CNBC interviews John Carreyrou about his new podcast on the criminal fraud trial of former Theranos CEO Elizabeth Holmes.

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**Author:** ![not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/not_what_you_d_expect/32/3246_2.png) [@not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/not_what_you_d_expect)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2021, 11:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/2 "2021-07-10T11:31:18Z")

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I didn’t know much about her or this scandal so I just spent a little time reading up on her. I was surprised to see that her father was a VP at Enron and her mother was a congressional committee staffer. That’s interesting to me.

I’ll be following along here.

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**Author:** ![VOW](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/vow/32/3043_2.png) [@VOW](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VOW)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2021, 1:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/3 "2021-07-10T13:04:09Z")

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Pity the child she carries.

~VOW

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**Author:** ![Just\_Asking\_Questions](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ba9def/32.png) [@Just\_Asking\_Questions](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Just_Asking_Questions)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2021, 3:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/4 "2021-07-10T15:34:38Z")

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Fior those that have the time, read Bad Blood. It goes into great detail. And the number of people who refused to understand that they were being conned is fascinating.

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**Author:** ![Dr.Winston\_OBoogie](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.winston_oboogie/32/2945_2.png) [@Dr.Winston\_OBoogie](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Winston_OBoogie)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2021, 5:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/5 "2021-07-10T17:17:01Z")

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I agree, read the book. But, realize that the book is one-sided.

IF we believe the book as written, then Theranos was a fraud from day 1. The author said that engineering was forbidden from talking to programming, which is insane. The two need to work together to make sure the process works. I believe that she had a concept, was certain she could get it to work, and her salesmanship worked too well to where there was too much money involved to back out; that’s when the fraud started.

Of course, the technology for what she wanted to do isn’t there yet, and it’s been how many years? Her ability to raise so much money proves that the concept is marketable, and if it works, profitable, so if actual experts thought it feasible now, someone would be doing it.

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**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\
**Post date:** [July 10, 2021, 6:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/6 "2021-07-10T18:48:45Z")

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Having read Carreyrou’s book, I’d say that the _facts_ are what’s one-sided.

I didn’t get the impression that the book portrayed deliberate fraud from the beginning; rather, it was a hastily cobbled-together concept whose deep flaws were papered over and ultimately concealed as part of a deliberate fraud.

It does sound nuts to compartmentalize and block communication within the company to the detriment of its developing and marketing a successful product. But suggesting that can’t have happened because it’s insane is essentially a fallacious argument from incredulity.

At this point I’d say there’s a reasonable chance Holmes will be found guilty…of something. The odds of her having to do significant jail time\* or perhaps any prison time are much smaller. Expect appeals and legal maneuverings to go on for many years.

\*as in, more than a few months in a low-security unit or halfway house.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [August 5, 2021, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/7 "2021-08-05T00:51:06Z")

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Holmes lost a court battle today in her attempt to block evidence of customer complaints and blood testing results. Her lawyers argued it shouldn’t be allowed because Theranos destroyed the testing database. The judge didn’t go for it.

Meanwhile, she was supposedly due in late July, but I haven’t seen any news about her giving birth. Maybe she’s late, or maybe they’re doing a good job keeping it private. Which, fair enough, she has a right to privacy in that area.

> **[Judge denies Elizabeth Holmes' request to suppress patient complaints about...](https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/08/04/judge-denies-elizabeth-holmes-request-to-suppress-patient-complaints-about-theranos.html)**
>
> The federal judge also denied Holmes' request to exclude filings from a regulatory report by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.

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**Author:** ![Jackmannii](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackmannii/32/311_2.png) [@Jackmannii](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackmannii)\
**Post date:** [August 6, 2021, 1:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/8 "2021-08-06T13:26:04Z")

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It’s a boy!

> **[Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes welcomes 1st child with partner Billy Evans...](https://abcnews.go.com/Business/theranos-founder-elizabeth-holmes-welcomes-1st-child-partner/story?id=79298331&cid=clicksource_4380645_7_heads_posts_headlines_hed)**
>
> Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes is awaiting criminal trial for 12 counts of fraud.

At least they didn’t name the child H.H. Holmes.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [August 28, 2021, 10:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/9 "2021-08-28T22:21:22Z")

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The trial starts next week. Court filings published today indicate that her defense will be to argue an impaired state of mind due to abuse by her ex-boyfriend, Sunny Balwani.

It also sounds like she will take the stand at some point.

> **[Elizabeth Holmes Plans To Accuse Ex-Boyfriend Of Abuse At Theranos Fraud Trial](https://www.npr.org/2021/08/28/1031961327/elizabeth-holmes-theranos-trial-boyfriend-balwani-emotional-sexual-abuse?t=1630154488546)**
>
> Newly released documents reveal how the founder of the biomedical startup intends to defend herself at a federal fraud trial starting next week.

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**Author:** ![VOW](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/vow/32/3043_2.png) [@VOW](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/VOW)\
**Post date:** [August 28, 2021, 10:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/10 "2021-08-28T22:26:29Z")

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If she testifies, I wonder which voice she will use,

~VOW

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**Author:** ![Odesio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/odesio/32/20003_2.png) [@Odesio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Odesio)\
**Post date:** [August 28, 2021, 10:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/11 "2021-08-28T22:34:49Z")

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> [@TroutMan](#):
>
> The trial starts next week. Court filings published today indicate that her defense will be to argue an impaired state of mind due to abuse by her ex-boyfriend, Sunny Balwani.

I wonder if anyone will find her to be a credible witness?

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2021, 3:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/12 "2021-08-29T03:12:53Z")

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I am curious how Holmes thought this could ever end well for her?

Did she really think she could deliver on her promises if only given enough time?

Otherwise, the whole thing seems like madness. Sooner or later the floor was going to drop out from under her.

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**Author:** ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2021, 3:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/13 "2021-08-29T03:37:17Z")

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> [@Jackmannii](#):
>
> At least they didn’t name the child H.H. Holmes.

Or Sherlock.

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**Author:** ![gdave](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gdave/32/3683_2.png) [@gdave](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gdave)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2021, 12:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/14 "2021-08-29T12:37:55Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> I am curious how Holmes thought this could ever end well for her?
> 
> **Did she really think she could deliver on her promises if only given enough time?**
> 
> **Otherwise, the whole thing seems like madness.** Sooner or later the floor was going to drop out from under her.
> 
> **[emphasis added]**

Those aren’t really mutually exclusive options. I think she succumbed to a variant of the power of positive thinking delusion, apparently based on Steve Jobs’ career.

She had a Big Idea. She had a Vision. The technical details were, well, details.

She appears to deluded herself into thinking that because it would be _really_ useful (not to mention profitable) if a machine _could_ automatically run a dozen blood tests on a single drop of blood, that it _should_ be able to do that. She seems pretty intelligent in some ways, but she just didn’t understand the chemistry or mechanics involved, and she just didn’t bother to really _try_ to understand them. Those were the petty technical details for the geek team to work out.

It’s a really distressingly common mode of thinking. If you peruse Kickstarter, you’ll see it all the time, from ambitious technical projects to apps and software to board games. The grunt work of design and development is just kind of assumed, and all too often the project creator just has a nebulous plan to farm it out somehow. A lot of those projects just don’t get traction, but especially early on, there were quite a few of those projects that funded and then flamed out.

There have always been people who have a Big Idea that can’t fail, but who don’t actually have any idea how to practically implement it, but who _do_ have the social skills to convince others it can’t fail. Occasionally, those Big Ideas are actually practical and the Big Idea person has the diligence and technical knowledge to work it out, or does hire a team with the diligence and technical knowledge. More often, the Big Idea just isn’t practical, and the investors get burned.

Nikola Tesla is probably the patron saint of this. He had some Big Ideas (like AC power) that really were both innovative and practical, and he really did just need time and funds to work out the details. He _also_ had some crank ideas that _he_ clearly thought fell into the same category, like global wireless power transmission.

Theranos is just a particularly spectacular example of a well-worn dynamic.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2021, 1:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/15 "2021-08-29T13:55:17Z")

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More on her (utterly unpersuasive to me) new defense:

> **[Elizabeth Holmes likely to accuse ex-boyfriend and former Theranos executive...](https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/28/tech/elizabeth-holmes-theranos-trial-mental-health/index.html)**
>
> Elizabeth Holmes, the disgraced founder and former CEO of Theranos whose criminal trial is set to begin in a matter of days, is likely to defend herself by claiming she was the victim of a decade-long abusive relationship with her ex-boyfriend, also...

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**Author:** ![Two\_Many\_Cats2](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/779978/32.png) [@Two\_Many\_Cats2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Two_Many_Cats2)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2021, 2:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/16 "2021-08-29T14:17:55Z")

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Oh great, so not only is she a crook and a con artist, but she intends to set feminism back a decade or two as well.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [August 29, 2021, 2:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/17 "2021-08-29T14:19:28Z")

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Who ever said she can’t multitask?

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**Author:** ![SpacemanSpiff\_II](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e19adc/32.png) [@SpacemanSpiff\_II](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SpacemanSpiff_II)\
**Post date:** [August 30, 2021, 2:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/18 "2021-08-30T14:30:40Z")

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> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#):
>
> More on her (utterly unpersuasive to me) new defense:

It doesn’t have to be persuasive to you. It has to be persuasive to people on the jury.

Elizabeth Holmes has a history of being very persuasive to people in person. If she testifies in this trial, she might do a very convincing job. And be backed up by assorted experts testifying about abusive relationships in general and about how appearances can be deceiving and how such-and-such can sometimes be a sign of an abusive relationship.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see her pull it off.

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**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [September 5, 2021, 1:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/19 "2021-09-05T13:44:20Z")

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[Elizabeth Holmes Arrives To Trial With Prototype For Black Box That Will Prove Her Innocence](https://www.theonion.com/elizabeth-holmes-arrives-to-trial-with-prototype-for-bl-1847584107)

> **[Elizabeth Holmes Arrives To Trial With Prototype For Black Box That Will...](https://www.theonion.com/elizabeth-holmes-arrives-to-trial-with-prototype-for-bl-1847584107)**
>
> SAN JOSE, CA—Touting the piece of technology as revolutionizing the legal industry, Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes reportedly arrived for the beginning of her trial for wire fraud Monday with a prototype for a black box that will prove her...

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**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\
**Post date:** [September 5, 2021, 7:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138/20 "2021-09-05T19:00:52Z")

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Yeah, I have a great idea. If I can squeeze four hydrogen atoms into one helium atom, a lot of energy will be released. The rest is just engineering.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trial-of-elizabeth-holmes-theranos-sentenced-to-11-yrs-18nov2022/946138.md?page=2)
