# The Trump Recession

**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592
**Category:** Politics & Elections
**Tags:** trump
**Created:** [February 20, 2025, 8:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592 "2025-02-20T20:13:47Z")
**Posts on this page:** 20
**Page:** 21

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### Author: ![Frodo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/frodo/32/302_2.png) [@Frodo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frodo)
#### Post date: [October 13, 2025, 11:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/401 "2025-10-13T11:54:38Z")

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I knew as soon as I clicked “Reply” that someone would interpret it that way, I thought about editing but nah, I’m fine with my post working on many levels, like the ball in the groin.

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### Author: ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 2:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/402 "2025-10-15T02:20:40Z")

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I’m not an economist, but I think that if major foreign companies stop selling their goods to the US markets, that will have some economic slowdown effect in the U.S.?

Article is about European countries who have discovered that in addition to the tariffs on their finished products, they have to certify that the steel components that went into the manufactured good didn’t come from China.

Some finished products have thousands of steel components that could be caught by the steel tariffs.

> [@](#):
>
> To get their machines into the US, Krone and every other exporter has to certify the value and origin of any element of steel in their product.
> 
> With as many as 18,000 parts in the super-machines farming some of the world’s biggest farms, that has proved a challenge for Krone.
> 
> And getting paperwork work wrong could prove costly.

And, a recurring theme: American importers are surprised to discover that they have to pay the tariffs, not the foreign companies.

> [@](#):
>
> Asked what his US customers were saying, he said: “Many of them are surprised. When they saw Mr Trump talk about tariffs, they got the impression that the foreign companies are paying these tariffs, but what they now figure out is that it is the customer who pays.
> 
> “If the farmers’ prices go up, then at the end of the day it is the US citizen who goes into Walmart or Target who has to pay more for their daily goods.”
> 
> Providing a paper trail that essentially proves to the US that every nail, nut or bolt did not originate in China is a bureaucratic nightmare.

Could it be, just maybe, that Trump was … um … lying to the American people?

> **[One of Europe’s biggest farm machinery firms halts US exports over ‘hidden’...](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/oct/13/one-europe-biggest-farm-machinery-firms-halts-us-exports-hidden-tariffs-krone)**
>
> Krone says ‘alarming’ levies on about 400 goods including hair dryers and combine harvesters have forced pause

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### Author: ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 2:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/403 "2025-10-15T02:26:02Z")

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And more news about the effect that Canadian retaliation boycotts are having on American liquor producers.

CNN calls them “innocent bystanders”.

If they voted for Trump, they’re not innocent. Trump is delivering exactly what he promised.

[https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/13/business/canada-trump-tariffs-trade](https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/13/business/canada-trump-tariffs-trade)

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### Author: ![wguy123](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wguy123/32/3161_2.png) [@wguy123](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wguy123)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 3:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/404 "2025-10-15T03:49:36Z")

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Donny Dipshit speaks (this is from his Truth Social):

> [@](#):
>
> I believe that China purposefully not buying our Soybeans, and causing difficulty for our Soybean Farmers, is an Economically Hostile Act. We are considering terminating business with China having to do with Cooking Oil, and other elements of Trade, as retribution. As an example, we can easily produce Cooking Oil ourselves, we don’t need to purchase it from China.

Such an elequent spokesman. No finer words have been carefully typed out, proofed, and released to the world. And from henceforth, Soybeans, Farmers of Soybeans, Economically Hostile Acts, Cooking Oil and Trade are proper nouns.

Thank you for your attention to this Matter.

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### Author: ![penultima\_thule](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/penultima_thule/32/3833_2.png) [@penultima\_thule](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/penultima_thule)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 5:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/405 "2025-10-15T05:49:23Z")

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> [@wguy123](#):
>
> 45/47 speaks (from Truth Social):
> 
> > [@](#):
> >
> > we can easily produce Cooking Oil ourselves

Why sure, what else are you going to do with a national crop of soy sitting in silos without a buyer ?… hey let’s get the rubes to eat it … hell that’s what we do with ethanol subsidies and the HFCS byproduct.

Max up the national sugar intake, supplement with unlimited patriotically cheap vege oil, then cut back on access to medical services and solve three problems at once. Make American **Gigantic** Again.

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### Author: ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 8:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/406 "2025-10-15T08:41:57Z")

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> [@Northern\_Piper](#):
>
> And, a recurring theme: American importers are surprised to discover that they have to pay the tariffs, not the foreign companies.

That raises the GDP by a lot and is very patriotic. I would expect no less from them.  
Thank you for your attention to this Matterhorn™:  
[![](https://www.publicdomainpictures.net/pictures/10000/velka/matterhorn-64951287925954AJM6.jpg) ](https://www.publicdomainpictures.net/pictures/10000/velka/matterhorn-64951287925954AJM6.jpg)

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### Author: ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 9:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/407 "2025-10-15T09:31:49Z")

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Ho ho ho.

> The majority of U.S. consumers, 57%, said they expect the economy to weaken in the year ahead, Deloitte found, the most negative outlook since the consulting firm began tracking sentiment in 1997.

> **[Most U.S. consumers expect higher holiday prices and a weaker economy, survey...](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/15/us-consumers-expect-high-prices-weak-economy-deloitte-survey-says.html?__source=androidappshare)**
>
> For retailers, the findings add a note of caution to the most crucial sales period of the year.

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### Author: ![RitterSport](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rittersport/32/6326_2.png) [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 10:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/408 "2025-10-15T10:17:23Z")

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I find it really unlikely that we buy Cooking Oil from China. Mazola, for Example, is made here in the USA. Cargill and ADM are big Manufacturers with lots of Manufacturing and Processing Centers in the US.

I suppose he’s just lying or deluded or confused. Not sure why I would try to explain anything about that Doofus. Thank you for your attention to these random Capitalizations.

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### Author: ![OldOlds](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/a3d4f5/32.png) [@OldOlds](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/OldOlds)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 12:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/409 "2025-10-15T12:27:19Z")

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Someone on Bloomberg this am argued he chose cooking oil because it’s not significant to the trade relationship and so it lets him sound good to the domestic audience without actually raising the temperature.

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### Author: ![RitterSport](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rittersport/32/6326_2.png) [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 12:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/410 "2025-10-15T12:35:11Z")

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Seems stupid, even for him – looks like we import Used Cooking Oil from China, but most other Oil comes from Elsewhere. Whatever, not sure why I’m trying to explain this particular lie by the liar in Chief.

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### Author: ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 2:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/411 "2025-10-15T14:08:55Z")

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> [@RitterSport](#):
>
> Whatever, not sure why I’m trying to explain this particular lie by the liar in Chief.

> “If I have to create stories so that the American media actually pays attention to the suffering of the American people, then that’s what I’m going to do"

-JD Vance

And by “create stories” he means “lie like a MF”

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### Author: ![enipla](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/54ee81/32.png) [@enipla](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/enipla)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 2:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/412 "2025-10-15T14:35:05Z")

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Hey JD. No need to create stories. Most of us already know that Trump is making us suffer. Remove your lips from his ass and you would know that.

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### Author: ![EddyTeddyFreddy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eddyteddyfreddy/32/18796_2.png) [@EddyTeddyFreddy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/EddyTeddyFreddy)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 2:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/413 "2025-10-15T14:57:35Z")

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> [@wguy123](#):
>
> Thank you for your attention to this Matter.

You missed the cap A on “attention.” But hey, given T’s Germanic descent, capping Nouns is just being true to his Roots.

> [@penultima\_thule](#):
>
> sitting in silos

Heh. At first glance i read that phrase as “stilettos”.

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### Author: ![Q.Q.Switcheroo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/q.q.switcheroo/32/5713_2.png) [@Q.Q.Switcheroo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Q.Q.Switcheroo)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 7:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/414 "2025-10-15T19:26:56Z")

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Would you buy used cooking oil from this man?

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### Author: ![Johnny\_L.A](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_l.a/32/1084_2.png) [@Johnny\_L.A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_L.A)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 10:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/415 "2025-10-15T22:28:53Z")

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While jumping through the last hoop for the credit union to send a wire transfer to my mortgage servicer, so that I can pay off our house, the woman on the other end told me about enrolling into a higher-yield (3.65% APY) saving account. No fees, no limits, no minimum balance; just continue direct deposit. She mentioned something about ‘a lot of people think a recession is coming.’ Yes. I do.

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### Author: ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 10:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/416 "2025-10-15T22:46:43Z")

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Congratulations on paying off your house! It’s a great feeling, isn’t it?

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### Author: ![Johnny\_L.A](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnny_l.a/32/1084_2.png) [@Johnny\_L.A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Johnny_L.A)
#### Post date: [October 15, 2025, 10:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/417 "2025-10-15T22:55:05Z")

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I think it is. I don’t think it will feel real until all of the documents are where they’re supposed to be. But yeah, one less expense to worry about in the coming recession.

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### Author: ![RitterSport](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rittersport/32/6326_2.png) [@RitterSport](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RitterSport)
#### Post date: [October 16, 2025, 11:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/418 "2025-10-16T11:58:20Z")

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The big pain for me is remembering to pay my property taxes. I should take out a $100 twenty year mortgage so that the bank does it for me.

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### Author: ![enipla](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/54ee81/32.png) [@enipla](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/enipla)
#### Post date: [October 17, 2025, 12:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/419 "2025-10-17T12:46:48Z")

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> [@Johnny\_L.A](#):
>
> I think it is. I don’t think it will feel real until all of the documents are where they’re supposed to be. But yeah, one less expense to worry about in the coming recession.

Ditto. We are also going solar. Our electrical bills are going to be minimal. Always at least $7.50 a month for the rental of the extra meter we need. That should be it.

When it was being designed, I asked them to add two more solar panels - Want to be sure.

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### Author: ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)
#### Post date: [October 17, 2025, 3:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-trump-recession/1014592/420 "2025-10-17T15:01:10Z")

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The Trumpy party’s oil interests have insured that a congress approved solar program for homes is cancelled. Because they don’t want people like you to get energy from the sun for your own home.

[23 states sue EPA for terminating Solar for All program](https://www.solarpowerworldonline.com/2025/10/23-states-sue-epa-for-terminating-solar-for-all-program/)

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