May be the second amendment is the civilized method of advanced democracies?
Maintaining it requires a yearly tribute of young lives but if that’s the cost of civilization and democracy…
(I think I prefer our current uncivilized tyranny…)
May be the second amendment is the civilized method of advanced democracies?
Maintaining it requires a yearly tribute of young lives but if that’s the cost of civilization and democracy…
(I think I prefer our current uncivilized tyranny…)
Time is fleeting.
Madness takes its toll.
Dead cat bounce is over.
“They were careless people, Tom and Daisy- they smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made.” F. Scott Fitzgerald, The Great Gatsby
I sincerely hope we have the opportunity to clean up the current mess.
AIUI, a veto override requires a two-thirds majority vote in both the House and Senate.
At this point, I think a Senate override is a lot more likely than a House override.
Per the SDMB rules, I am only considering legal options.
I was responding to @SenorBeef ‘s comment. Changing the law relating to tariffs may solve this particular problem but does not remove him from office.
The Dow Jones is soaring. Like, it just exploded in the last half hour. Bizarre.
I was going to post that, may be rumours of a backtrack on tariffs?
From the NYT: April 9, 2025, 1:28 p.m. ET1 minute ago
Deborah B. Solomon
President Trump on Wednesday said he would halt implementation of his reciprocal tariffs for the next 90 days, citing new talks with foreign nations on trade. But Trump said his break did not include China, announcing he would instead raise tariffs on its exports to 125 percent after Beijing announced a new round of retaliation.
It needs to be said once more:
How I’m seeing Trump’s general approach to governing, economics, and foreign policy:
Good night, Westley. Good work. Sleep well. I’ll most likely kill you in the morning.
Does it ever yield results? Sure. And a blowtorch can be an effective treatment for athlete’s foot.
President Trump on Wednesday said he would halt implementation of his reciprocal tariffs for the next 90 days, citing new talks with foreign nations on trade.
From the AP:
“I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE,” Trump said, after recognizing the more than 75 countries that he said have been negotiating on trade and had not retaliated against his latest increase in tariffs.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later told reporters that Trump was pausing his so-called ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on most of the country’s biggest trading partners, but maintaining his 10% tariff on nearly all global imports.
U.S. stocks are surging on a euphoric Wall Street after President Donald Trump said he would temporarily back off on some of his tariffs, as investors had desperately hoped he would.
Reminds me of a story I heard about a guy who would hit himself in the head with a hammer because it felt so good whenever he’d stop.
And it’s collapsing today.
The stock market is not a recession. But it’s sure a bad sign.
Just for the record: I hit my head once and it hurt. It was an accident, I did not do it on purpose, and I did not do it a second time. It still kept hurting for a while. I did not feel better afterwards, I felt worse.
Only much later I felt as good as before, not better. The idea with the hammer, specially done more than once, is something I strongly advise against.
Pro tip: If you really must try it, do it on somebody else’s head. You will see clearly that they do not feel good at all when you stop, nor show any gratitude when you do. Pro2 tip: do it to somebody you really don’t like and wear a mask in case the person survives.
I hope it is not necessary, but just in case: /s
I hit myself in the head with a hammer in 1930. I was already depressed, but it really made it worse, a Great Depression if you will. After that, I worked really hard with other countries to avoid anyone hitting themselves with a hammer, and I continue to oppose our current national goal of starting that up again.
So, on a positive note … Americans generally seem to be taking the economic news in stride:
Americans are rarely this pessimistic about the economy.
Consumer sentiment plunged 11% this month to a preliminary reading of 50.8, the University of Michigan said in its latest survey released Friday, the second-lowest reading on records going back to 1952. April’s reading was lower than anything seen during the Great Recession.
Maybe he’d better put a pin in that whole “stop making the penny” thing. We may need those soon enough.
ETA: also, we are hearing that a bunch of Wall Street types believe either that a recession is likely or that we may be in one already. I’ve seen few state that publicly:
The asset management executive spoke to CNBC about the state of the economy, which has been rattled by tariffs from the Trump administration.
also, we are hearing that a bunch of Wall Street types believe either that a recession is likely or that we may be in one already.
Doesn’t it take two quarters of negative growth for an “official” recession to be declared? My opinion is we’re like Wile E. Coyote who hasn’t yet realized he’s run past the cliff edge.
Doesn’t it take two quarters of negative growth for an “official” recession to be declared?
That’s the usual definition, yes. However, this article notes that the National Bureau of Economic Research, which is apparently the organization which is responsible for officially designating recessions, does not always follow that rule of thumb:
While gross domestic product (GDP) is the broadest measure of economic activity, the often-cited identification of a recession with two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is not an official designation. The designation of a recession is the province of a committee of experts at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a private non-profit research organization that focuses on understanding the U.S. economy. The NBER recession is a monthly concept that takes account of a number of monthly indicators—such as employment, personal income, and industrial production—as well as quarterly GDP growth. Therefore, while negative GDP growth and recessions closely track each other, the consideration by the NBER of the monthly indicators, especially employment, means that the identification of a recession with two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth does not always hold.
In general usage, the word recession connotes a marked slippage in economic activity. While gross domestic product (GDP) is the broadest measure of economic activity, the often-cited identification of a recession with two consecutive quarters of...
A recession is when your neighbor loses his job.
A depression is when you lose yours.
Tragedy is when I stub my toe. Comedy is when you fall down an open manhole and die.
Anyway, Larry Fink and other such captains of industry have no idea, really. They’re traders, not economists. I’m not saying we’re not in one, and weird things are happening in long bonds, and consumer sentiment is falling off a cliff, but I doubt the numbers will show anything for a few months.