# The winds of change at the Supreme Court

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-winds-of-change-at-the-supreme-court/784012>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [April 7, 2017, 9:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-winds-of-change-at-the-supreme-court/784012 "2017-04-07T21:32:49Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 5

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**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\
**Post date:** [April 7, 2017, 11:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/the-winds-of-change-at-the-supreme-court/784012/5 "2017-04-07T23:03:20Z")

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> [@Sage\_Rat](#):
>
> The life expectancy for Ginsburg is, it would seem, 5.57 more years.
> 
> [Actuarial Life Table](https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html)
> 
> The odds are in her favor for making it to the next presidency though, of course, medical history, average age of relatives at death, etc. could widely impact that metric. Certainly, it’s closer to 50/50 than most on this site would prefer.

Assuming Trump stays in office, she only has to last another 3 years. Presidents can no longer appoint Supreme Court justices in the last 12 months in office.

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