Beyond anything else, Trump hates the thought of being irrelevant, which is a large part of why he keeps hinting at an illegal third Presidential run in '28.
Losing one (or less likely, both) houses of Congress would spur more Republicans to save their own necks by abandoning him, something infuriating and humiliating for a degenerating narcissist.
Exactly. Trump doesn’t want to lose. What he does want, however, is for the Republicans who most diligently lick his boots and bow down to him to win at the expense of those who don’t do that, even if the latter have a better chance of winning a general election. If that means that he endorses someone like Ken Paxton for the senate instead of John Cornyn, even though John Cornyn has a better chance to win the general election against James Talarico, well, that’s just an unfortunate side effect from Trump’s perspective.
ETA: It’s like a coach who plays his favorite players rather than the best ones during the big game. The coach doesn’t necessarily want to lose, he just cares more about the loyalty shown by his favorites than he does about putting his best team on the field.
In 2020, Trump hadn’t realized just how much he could get away with by simply ignoring the law, nor was the Republican machine ready to do the same. Now he is and they are.
If Trump had tried back then and simply declared himself the winner and continued to act as President, I think the odds are quite good that the Democrats would have simply submitted.
I don’t. It’s one thing to cheat and to try to put a thumb on the scales, but quite another to flip the game board over and declare yourself the winner (to mix metaphors).
At a minimum this would result in a constitutional crisis, and could well lead to civil war. That goes for 2028 as much as 2020.
Right. Or the way I’ve described it before, it’s one thing to throw a spitball, cork a bat, deflate a football, use steroids, whatever, and another thing entirely to force the scorekeeper to change the final score despite what happened on the field. As you say, I think the latter would have led to a civil war.
In response to the OP: Trump is too dumb to do any sort of complex subterfuge I-look-like-I-want-X-but-I-really-want-Y Brer Rabbit and the Briarbush sort of scheme. With this guy, what you see is what you get. He is blatantly transparent; he’s like a 4-year old.
There is no reason Trump would want the Republicans to lose the midterms.
Doesn’t matter. I don’t think the 81 million people who voted for Biden would have just rolled over. The resulting protests would make the “No Kings” protests look like amateur hour.
If Trump tried this (then or in 2028), I think he would end up in the jail cell he deserves. And he’s too much of a coward to risk this, so he’d surely pull a TACO before it got very far.
Protests leads to a general strike which leads to riots which leads to martial law which leads to a civil war. No idea how that would play out.
And note that the military knows how the law works as well. And Democratic governors control the National Guard in their states. They would ignore any orders to federalize their troops from a pretender.
But in no case is Trump going to be able to simply declare himself the winner in violation of the law and everyone just goes home and accepts it.
I agree. I suspect that he was sold on attacking Iran by Hegseth and other advisors, who made the case that:
The Iranians would quickly roll over
Eliminating senior Iranian leadership would directly and immediately lead to a spontaneous uprising among the Iranian people, who would see Trump as a savior for eliminating their oppressors
It would let Trump crow that he had easily accomplished what his predecessors (especially Obama and Biden) had been unable to
Once Iran’s threat was removed, gas prices would go down instantly, and the American people would praise Trump
During his first term, it was reported that when the military took him a list of options of how to proceed militarily, he would inevitably pick the most extreme option even though that was presented more to be something pass the limits of rationality. As a result, the report was that the military would dial back the list of options in an attempt to reduce his choice of extreme measures.
If those reports were true, it wouldn’t be surprising if Hegseth was making the list more extreme instead.
Congress has no power to force him to testify, nor any way to punish (short of impeachment and conviction if he does commit perjury. And that’s even without the SCOTUS award of impunity.
Oh, I think we all agree Trumps is petty, vindictive, and he has stubby fingers. But if given the choice between retaining control of Congress or having the opportunity to get back at RINO politicians who didn’t 100% agree with him he’d bit the latter. But he does lack self-control, so I certainly wouldn’t put it past him say or do things that help lead to a Republican loss, but I don’t think it’d be deliberate.