[QUOTE=Sal Ammoniac]
Liberal, from your link: “One theory that I am suggesting here is that it seems like the less name recognition a Republican candidate has, the better he will poll among African Americans. Bush only had 11% in 2004. Giuliani is polling at 16% then McCain at 20% then Romney at 23.5% and finally Ron Paul at 32%. The contention would be that the less a Republican is known to a black voter, the less they are ‘against’ them.”
Maybe this theory is true or maybe it’s false. But in any event, it seems clear to me that the polls were taken before the widespread furor over the newsletters (and by the way, calling this furor a “smear” seems a misuse of the terminology).
[/QUOTE]
I don’t think so. I use “smear” to mean an intentional and organized campaign to impugn someone’s reputation, and that’s what I observe from the neo-cons at New Republic and Fox News. NR re-releases 10-year-old “news” on the eve of a primary, and FN asks him questions at the debates like, “Many of your supporters are crazy people. Do you wish to tell them to shut up?”.
However, I do believe that the writer misused the term “theory”. What he had was an hypothesis. And that’s setting aside the rather arbitrary notion that McCain is less well known than Giuliani.