# Time Will Always Tell

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/time-will-always-tell/978459>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Created:** [January 19, 2023, 3:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/time-will-always-tell/978459 "2023-01-19T15:54:51Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 11

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**Author:** ![commasense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/commasense/32/3017_2.png) [@commasense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/commasense)\
**Post date:** [January 20, 2023, 12:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/time-will-always-tell/978459/11 "2023-01-20T12:22:03Z")

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Way back in the innocent days of August 2015, I was sure Trump didn’t really want to be president, and would drop out before the election. So I created this poll:

> [@Poll/Pool: When will Trump get out of the race?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496):
>
> Personally, I don’t think Trump is serious about running for President.

The actual poll post did not survive the transition to Discourse, but I found it on Way Back and reposted it after the 2020 election. For your convenience, here it is:

> [@Poll/Pool: When will Trump get out of the race?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/poll-pool-when-will-trump-get-out-of-the-race/727496/99):
>
> Sept. 1, 2015 1 0.56% bobo blesinger Sept. 15, 2015 1 0.56% dracoi Oct. 1, 2015 0 0% Oct. 15, 2015 1 0.56% Bosda Di’Chi of Tricor Nov. 1, 2015 1 0.56% foolsguinea Nov. 15, 2015 1 0.56% Locrian Dec. 1, 2015 0 0% Dec. 15, 2015 0 0% Jan. 1, 2016 2 1.12% commasense, silverfish Jan. 15, 2016 2 1.12% Snowboarder Bo, wolfpup Feb. 1, 2016 (Iowa Caucus) 2 1.12% boffking, llcoolbj77 Feb. 9, 2016 (NH primary) 3 1.68% Billdo, FatOrangeCat, Octari…

Although people were allowed to vote for 15 months, only 14 out of 179 respondents imagined that he could actually win.

So although I and my OP certainly fall in the “dud of a prediction category,” along with most of the other posters and voters, a small percentage of us showed “brilliant predictive powers.” Unfortunately.

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