Too early to declare King Kong a flop?

I don’t think I’m being disingenuous. Is there a scientific way to gauge movie expectations as measured by the hype in the press? Until there is, you’re the one being disingenuous.

I have no idea. I don’t watch Letterman or Leno every night. If you’re certain that none of the stars of Narnia appeared on any major talk shows (including daytime shows like Oprah - after all, Narnia was targeted at family audiences, not the kind you go on to Letterman to attract) I’d like to see your cite.

I saw a hysterical sketch on SNL where two white, nerdy cast members did a gangsta rap video about going to see Narnia. One of the funniest things I’ve seen on SNL in years.

But still, see previous comment regarding target audience, cite for major talk shows. Please also add a cite for relevance of SNL.

I don’t know. Do you?

I saw the first trailers for Narnia on line over a year ago. They started pumping the hype pretty quickly after Return of the King in fact.

I didn’t see any prime time shows doing this for either movie. Please show a cite saying the did this for one and not the other.

Gee, why didn’t they do this? Oh, let me think for a moment… BECAUSE THERE WAS NEVER A PREVIOUS MAJOR RELEASE OF A NARNIA FILM. Now who’s being disingenuous again?

Again, I didn’t see any for either movie, but I would be shocked if there wasn’t. Please show a cite.

I’ve seen zero ads for either a *Narnia * or Kong video game. Point of fact, I have also seen almost no ads whatsoever for King Kong the movie. I have seen dozens and dozens of ads for Narnia. I assume you and I are in a different advertising market.

I’ve have seen more articles written on CS Lewis and the impact of Narnia in the last year than any upcoming movie I’ve seen prior, Including LOTR. There has been serious debate over the religious statement made in TLW&TW, as well as a targeted marketing campaign towards Christian Fundamentalists (in an attempt to capture the Passion of the Christ crowd.) I can’t turn on the TV without seeing that stupid lion. King Kong, by compairison, has been a blip on the radar. It was just the standard Burger King tie in garbage. So yes, I agree - the promotion wasn’t even in the same universe.

Trunk, why does this bother you so? Did *Kong * offend you somehow?

Just noting that it clearly seemed to me that King Kong has been everywhere compared to Narnia. A friend of mine didn’t even know the movie (Narnia) was out when I told her I went to see it.

I’m sure that if I were to run outside and ask 100 people if they could name 3 movies currently playing, a much greater % would know that King Kong is currently at the theaters than would know that Chronicles of Narnia is.

In other words you agree with me - this is an entirely subjective assessment. You are making assumtions based on non-empirical criteria, as am I. I find this entirely reasonable, given the subject matter.

And it’s still silly. The OP’s question has been quite thoroughly answered - King Kong is not a flop by any stretch of the imagination - and the plausible deniability asserted by the supposition that Kong “did not meet expectations” is obviously squishy at best. Let it go.

That’s precisely my point – are there still enough people stupid/desperate enough to sign for a percentage of net to make it worthwhile to falsify it? Or is there some other reason for cooking the books?

One screening, per day, per theatre. That’s potentially as much as 3500 fewer US screenings per day than Narnia (it’s also playing in less US theatres than Narnia). That’s a hell of a lot of missed income contributing to its “low” box office take.

Aye, I think this has a lot to do with the film’s success. (Although I am looking forward to seeing it myself, when it comes out on DVD.)

It’s not just that the film is being marketed to fundamentalists, it’s that it’s effectively being pitched from pulpits of nearly every Christian denomination, fundamentalist or not.

The “Remember: King Kong Died For Your Sins” outreach movement has been limited to a very few Discordians, with very little practical effect on the box office take. And they’re out there totally on their own.

Not so, the Narnia evangelists. The lengths Disney has gone to to enlist them is quite impressive. Take a look at all the slick marketing packages that churches and religious study groups can get for free. Study guides, lesson plans, teacher’s aids, posters, pamphlets DVDs elaborating on the religious themes.

And of course, it’s not just word-of-mouth advertising – it’s direct box office.

Mind if I grab “Remember: King Kong Died For Your Sins” as a sig line? It made me laugh out loud.

I have no claim on it. It’s from the Principia Discordia, and you’re totally free to quote from it – unless you have a lopsided pineal gland, in which case you have simply to read the words inscribed therein to get yourself sorted.

Just to chime in with another totally non-scientific opinion on the advertising. I go to the movies all the time, and spend half of each year at college in Pennsylvania and the other half at home in California. In both places, I’ve been seeing the “Narnia” trailer attached to just about everything, starting early in the summer. I only ever saw the trailer to “King Kong” once, attached to “Serenity.” I didn’t see any serious non-web-based advertising until the week “Kong” opened, and then it was mostly that Burger King commercial with the giant hamburger. Between the paltry advertising penetration and a general sense of “meh” that I got from friends and family regarding “Kong,” its mediocre showing at the box office came as no surprise to me.

That said, I think “Kong” is the far superior film, and all things considered, it’s doing fine. It’ll turn a profit (albeit one lower than expected), and Jackson will move on… hopefully to “The Hobbit.”

More meaningless anecdotal evidence:

I, too, agree that Narnia was far more heavily advertised than Kong. I also agree that, while Kong isn’t a “flop”, it isn’t doing as well as expected/hoped.

The latest article I’ve seen on the subject: link.