Travel ban: Oh for two

Yes, the 4th CCA is known to be the bastion of devil-may-care emotionalism. Clearly the words in the decision above are from truly wayward judges who have succumbed to a blind rage of “Never Trump” mania mixed in with a Sunday school teacher fervor.

At this point, I can’t quite remember if this is 0/3 or 0/4:[

](http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_TRAVEL_BAN_LAWSUITS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2017-06-12-13-35-53)

What’s the status of the (non)ban vis-à-vis The Supremes?

Geez, there are so many pots boiling on the stove, it’s hard to keep track of them.

Can I just say how much I love the Trump administration argument that we need a temporary travel ban on Muslims entering the country until we can figure out what is going on. But because the courts have struck down the travel ban, we can’t even start figuring out what is going on! Never mind that we needed only 90 days to figure it out, we’re completely helpless, paralyzed by the courts.

The strategy of giving up on the travel ban, and just figuring out what is going on so they can start the process of stopping bad hombres from coming here doesn’t seem to have occurred to them.

Almost as if, somehow, the important point was banning muslims from the country and figuring out what was going on was a distant second.

I think the important point was for Trump to say out loud to his loyal sycophants that he was going to ban all Muslims from entering the country and kick out the bad ones out. Doing it? Who cares? He just wanted to get a check mark next to his campaign promise. If courts stop him, that’s on THEM. He did his best, but he was blocked at every turn! Sad. Move on.

And then some:
"The 9th Circuit, however, has now blocked the ban on statutory grounds, holding that Trump “exceeded the scope of the authority delegated to him by Congress.”

It has been ruled to be unconstitutional in a new way. Maybe Doper lawers could explain the details.

a pretext rendered transparent by incompetence.

I don’t think it has been “ruled to be unconstitutional in a new way”. The President’s Executive Order is an exercise of powers delegated to him by the Immigration and Naturalisation Act. The court has ruled that the INA does not allow the President to do what he purports to do in this EO; he’s trying to do something which goes beyond the powers he has under the INA. So, what he is doing is not so much contrary to the Constituion as contrary to the INA.

Well, perhaps a contrast is appropriate:

(emphasis mine)

From the per curiam order today accepting the cert petition and dissolving the stays issued against the government as to individuals without personal connections to people within the United States.

To be argued in the October term.

Care to wager on an outcome? Anyone?

It takes four votes to grant cert, and five to dissolve stays. So five justices signed on to that per curiam order dissolving the stays.

In case that info is relevant to anyone interested in predicting anything.

The judicial arena is the only one where you can lose in all the preliminary rounds and still win the final. The thing is it was pretty clear all along that Trump would get a majority for the substance of the ban in SCOTUS if not some of the trimmings which made all the rulings in other Federal courts pretty pointless.

They didn’t “dissolve stays.” First, you’re referring to the injunctions, not the stays (the injunctions were stayed). Second, they were modified, not dissolved. The Plaintiffs are still protected, as are those similarly situated.

As for October, my prediction is that the case will be moot.

ETA: A significant victory for the good guys, in my estimation. Looks like conservatives were mostly wrong about their standing arguments.

Not sure if I’m up for wagering, but I think this leans to a splitting of the baby, so to speak. The travel ban will be struck down regarding anyone with personal connections to folks or organizations in the United States (of course they will have to determine what the limits of that ‘connection’ will be) and kept for anyone without connection. Evidently, Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch wanted the entire preliminary injunction struck down, so Roberts and Kennedy are the ones who have some issues with it and who I think won’t affirm the ban in it’s entirety. Though oral arguments may sway Justice Kennedy one way or another, who knows?

So basically the only terrorists the ban will stop currently are those posing as tourists or refugees who couldn’t come up with another plausible explanation. All three of them.

Uh, OK…

Could you explain your “moot” prediction, and your “victory” estimation?

Kennedy and Roberts upholding the most defensible part of the injunctions strongly signals they would likely find against the ban on the merits as to those people. Conservatives had argued that no one had standing, and Roberts is usually pretty sympathetic to that line (to say nothing of them not buying into the national security pretext that Gorsuch and others apparently bought). As a practical matter, the majority of the people affected by the ban will be able to show a bona fide connection, especially since the gray areas will get determined by sympathetic lower courts while SCOTUS is out of the office for the summer.

The case may be moot by October because the clock is now ticking as to parts of the ban (people w/o connections) and SCOTUS expressly said it expected that Trump Admin would perform the vetting review that is the whole reason the ban exists. This is underscored by SCOTUS having added that particular question–is the ban moot–to the questions it certified, suggesting they think it may well be moot come October.

Thank you Richard Parker!

In tangentially-related news:

Trump breaks White House Eid dinner tradition

Notice the difference between words and deeds.

Your civpro notes are right, and it looks like there will be standing for at least some of the US based entities complaining about the effects.

I wonder how the Trump administration will interpret this: As a sign that they can proceed with their plan fully without restriction, or as a sign that they should proceed with due caution until the Supreme Court reviews the case?