# Trump won't be the Republican party nominee in 2024 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Tags:** trump\ **Created:** [January 29, 2024, 8:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/trump-wont-be-the-republican-party-nominee-in-2024/996834 "2024-01-29T20:25:48Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 166
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [February 1, 2024, 4:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/trump-wont-be-the-republican-party-nominee-in-2024/996834/166 "2024-02-01T16:46:07Z")
> [@How is trump still a viable candidate for president? Really, how?](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/how-is-trump-still-a-viable-candidate-for-president-really-how/983949/1015): > > Here’s 538 page for Biden v. Trump polls. When they launch their forecast model – I think probably around June, but possible sooner – these will be the main input. High-quality state polls will have the highest weight (especially if they focus on likely voters), but national polls will be included. (Just to remind everyone yet again: “75% chance of winning” does not mean “75% of the public favors this candidate.” It means, in 1 out of every 4 rolls of the dice (that’s a lot!), this candidate lo… --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/trump-wont-be-the-republican-party-nominee-in-2024/996834)._