# U.S. Senate races 2020 **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [April 30, 2020, 5:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876 "2020-04-30T05:17:16Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 13
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [August 27, 2020, 2:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/242 "2020-08-27T14:48:15Z")
Jeez, couldn’t you have found any more Kentucky polls than _that_, **Lance**? 😉 Seriously, thanks. ---
**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\ **Post date:** [August 27, 2020, 2:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/243 "2020-08-27T14:58:42Z")
Vermin Supreme is providing an alternative to Kennedy or Markey. [![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/TJtmlRG2Tfw/hqdefault.jpg "Vermin for M.A. Senate 2020!") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJtmlRG2Tfw) > **[Boot-hatted satirist Vermin Supreme launches mock Senate bid](https://apnews.com/ca56f8a3b602bcf21c8e3b95be8fddf7)** > > BOSTON (AP) — Vermin Supreme, the perennial presidential candidate who wears a boot on his head and promises every American a free pony, is mounting a write-in campaign for the U... ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [August 27, 2020, 3:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/244 "2020-08-27T15:01:07Z")
I think I’ve mentioned it before, but I’ll say it again. 538 makes their data available to anyone so I have written scripts to download their csvs and turn them into databases that I can query against. My scripts can output the results of those queries as markdown tables, so I’m happy to post a table like the one above in response to a reasonably polite request. It’s a handful of clicks and probably takes less than a minute. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [August 27, 2020, 3:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/245 "2020-08-27T15:01:38Z")
We really appreciate it! ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [August 27, 2020, 10:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/246 "2020-08-27T22:03:48Z")
There’s a brand new [margin of victory market](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6875/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-Massachusetts-Democratic-Senate-primary) at PredictIt for the MA Senate Dem primary (Markey - Kennedy). Markey 10%+ is the leading bet out of the gate. Not a great sign for Kennedy. That primary is five days from now. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [August 31, 2020, 1:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/247 "2020-08-31T13:09:48Z")
> **[The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2020 | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/31/politics/election-2020-senate-races/index.html)** > > With the political conventions behind us and Labor Day approaching, it's the time of year when down-ballot elections start to kick into high gear. At the start of the 2020 cycle, the Senate wasn't expected to be all that exciting, with Republicans... ---
**Author:** ![Bijou\_Drains](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bijou_drains/32/2814_2.png) [@Bijou\_Drains](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bijou_Drains)\ **Post date:** [August 31, 2020, 3:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/248 "2020-08-31T15:30:06Z")
If a 20 year veteran combat pilot can’t beat Moscow Mitch then he’s there for life or as long as he wants. ---
**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\ **Post date:** [August 31, 2020, 3:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/249 "2020-08-31T15:34:21Z")
Thanks mainly to McConnell’s declaring the _Delivering for America Act_ DOA in the senate, and also for his Senate Leadership Fund weighing in on the McSally vs. Kelly campaign here in Arizona, I have just donated $100 to Amy McGrath’s\* campaign. Unfortunately, there was no place to leave a comment on McGrath’s donation site but I did leave McConnell a message about what I’d done and why. Maybe he’ll have a stroke. \*How many Irish are in the senate, anyway? ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [September 1, 2020, 4:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/250 "2020-09-01T16:19:22Z")
Poll-ee moly! Nine weeks to go. Weak week for polling. Both are partisan pollsters on top of that. MA senate primary is today. | State | Dates | Pollster | Sample | D | R | Net | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Alaska | 8/27/2020 - 8/28/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 638 V | Al Gross 43% | Dan Sullivan 43% | Even | | Michigan | 8/14/2020 - 8/23/2020 | Trafalgar Group | 1048 LV | Gary C. Peters 47% | John James 48% | R + 2% | [Source](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/) ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 2, 2020, 2:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/251 "2020-09-02T02:49:30Z")
And down goes Kennedy! Honestly, he never had a real argument besides “I’m a Kennedy.” Which obviously doesn’t have the punch that it used to. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [September 2, 2020, 4:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/252 "2020-09-02T04:53:06Z")
Sure looks like it. Here’s NPR’s coverage: > **[Markey Fends Off Kennedy Challenge In High Profile Mass. Senate Primary](https://www.npr.org/2020/09/01/908327619/markey-fends-off-kennedy-challenge-in-high-profile-mass-senate-primary)** > > Sen. Ed Markey has prevailed in the Democratic race over Rep. Joe Kennedy III, who becomes the first member of the legendary Massachusetts political dynasty to lose an election in the state. ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 3, 2020, 6:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/253 "2020-09-03T18:46:06Z")
[Fox News](https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-biden-tops-trump-among-likely-voters-in-key-states) has Kelly up by 17 in Arizona and Cunningham by six in NC among likely voters. Fox News! ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [September 3, 2020, 6:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/254 "2020-09-03T18:51:25Z")
You just made my day, **flurb**. ---
**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\ **Post date:** [September 3, 2020, 10:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/255 "2020-09-03T22:12:50Z")
> [@flurb](#): > > Fox News! Say what you will about Fox News the propaganda outlet (oh, look! I just did!), but the Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw&Co Research polling is well-rated by [538](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/) and has tended towards a slight Democratic lean. ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [September 4, 2020, 12:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/256 "2020-09-04T00:03:02Z")
You mean a reality lean. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [September 4, 2020, 2:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/257 "2020-09-04T14:06:17Z")
A little of Column A, a little of Column B… ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 7, 2020, 8:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/258 "2020-09-07T20:53:23Z")
[Dallas Morning News/UT-Tyler](https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2020/09/06/trump-erases-bidens-lead-in-texas-as-hegar-chips-away-at-cornyns-edge-in-senate-race/) poll has Cornyn up over Hegar by 11 among likely voters, which is a slight tightening. Lots of undecided and lots of voters who have no idea who either of them are. Still, with the start of early voting in Texas just five weeks away it would take a minor miracle for Hegar to overcome that gap. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [September 8, 2020, 4:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/259 "2020-09-08T16:21:53Z")
Eight weeks until E-day. | State | Dates | Pollster | Sample | D | R | Net | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Arizona | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 858 RV | Mark Kelly 55% | Martha McSally 38% | D + 17% | | Arizona | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 772 LV | Mark Kelly 56% | Martha McSally 39% | D + 17% | | Colorado | 8/21/2020 - 8/30/2020 | Morning Consult | 638 LV | John Hickenlooper 48% | Cory Gardner 39% | D + 9% | | Idaho | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Spry Strategies | 600 LV | Paulette E. Jordan 28% | James E. Risch 53% | R + 26% | | Michigan | 8/11/2020 - 8/15/2020 | Hodas & Associates | 600 LV | Gary C. Peters 53% | John James 39% | D + 14% | | Michigan | 8/28/2020 - 8/29/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 897 V | Gary C. Peters 47% | John James 39% | D + 8% | | Michigan | 9/1/2020 - 9/3/2020 | Tarrance Group | 569 RV | Gary C. Peters 47% | John James 46% | D + 1% | | Minnesota | 8/30/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Harper Polling | 501 LV | Tina Smith 43% | Jason Lewis 41% | D + 2% | | Minnesota | 9/3/2020 - 9/4/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 877 V | Tina Smith 49% | Jason Lewis 41% | D + 8% | | New Hampshire | 8/28/2020 - 9/1/2020 | University of New Hampshire | 1889 LV | Jeanne Shaheen 54% | Corky Messner 36% | D + 18% | | New Hampshire | 8/28/2020 - 9/1/2020 | University of New Hampshire | 1889 LV | Jeanne Shaheen 53% | Don Bolduc 37% | D + 16% | | New Mexico | 8/26/2020 - 9/2/2020 | Research & Polling Inc. | 1123 LV | Ben Ray Luján 49% | Mark Ronchetti 40% | D + 9% | | North Carolina | 8/29/2020 - 8/30/2020 | East Carolina University | 1101 LV | Cal Cunningham 44% | Thom Tillis 44% | D + 0% | | North Carolina | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 804 RV | Cal Cunningham 47% | Thom Tillis 40% | D + 7% | | North Carolina | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 722 LV | Cal Cunningham 48% | Thom Tillis 42% | D + 6% | | North Carolina | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Monmouth University | 401 RV | Cal Cunningham 46% | Thom Tillis 45% | D + 1% | | North Carolina | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Monmouth University | 401 LV | Cal Cunningham 47% | Thom Tillis 45% | D + 2% | | North Carolina | 8/29/2020 - 9/1/2020 | Monmouth University | 401 LV | Cal Cunningham 46% | Thom Tillis 46% | Even | | Texas | 8/20/2020 - 8/25/2020 | Data for Progress | 2295 LV | Mary Jennings Hegar 40% | John Cornyn 46% | R + 6% | | Texas | 8/28/2020 - 9/2/2020 | University of Texas at Tyler | 1176 RV | Mary Jennings Hegar 24% | John Cornyn 34% | R + 10% | | Texas | 8/28/2020 - 9/2/2020 | University of Texas at Tyler | 901 LV | Mary Jennings Hegar 28% | John Cornyn 39% | R + 11% | [Source](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/) ---
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [September 8, 2020, 5:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/260 "2020-09-08T17:23:29Z")
How come Minnesota Senate isn’t getting more attention? The polling shows a fairly close race, yet I’m not hearing anybody talk about it as a potential R pickup. ---
**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\ **Post date:** [September 8, 2020, 6:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876/261 "2020-09-08T18:16:05Z")
It’s obviously not the senate, but Lance\_Turbo - any chance you could add IN-05 to your updates when there’s a new poll? That’s my district, and it looks to be pretty close (traditional red district, Susan Brooks is leaving, and the Republican challenger is an odd self-funding Ukrainian business woman). I’d like to finally be voting for a winner here! [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876.md?page=12) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/u-s-senate-races-2020/852876.md?page=14)