# UK General Election May 2015 (Population Share Version)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [April 2, 2015, 10:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612 "2015-04-02T10:29:57Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 23

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**Author:** ![Pjen](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Pjen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pjen)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 3:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/441 "2015-05-07T15:24:49Z")

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> [@Steophan](#):
>
> He’s probably getting an early start on the caffeine for staying up till 7am.
> 
> And they’re cobs.

Morning rolls.

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 3:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/442 "2015-05-07T15:24:55Z")

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A Bloomberg Politics interview about the election - and how Cameron might still pull it out: [http://www.aol.com/article/2015/05/07/voters-flock-to-the-polls-in-britains-knife-edge-election/21180684/?icid=maing-grid7|main5|dl5|sec1\_lnk2%26pLid%3D113623782](http://www.aol.com/article/2015/05/07/voters-flock-to-the-polls-in-britains-knife-edge-election/21180684/?icid=maing-grid7%7Cmain5%7Cdl5%7Csec1_lnk2%26pLid%3D113623782)

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**Author:** ![up\_the\_junction](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/f1d935/32.png) [@up\_the\_junction](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/up_the_junction)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 3:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/443 "2015-05-07T15:28:41Z")

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> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#):
>
> A Bloomberg Politics interview about the election - and how Cameron might still pull it out: [News, Politics, Sports, Mail & Latest Headlines - AOL.com](http://www.aol.com/article/2015/05/07/voters-flock-to-the-polls-in-britains-knife-edge-election/21180684/?icid=maing-grid7%7Cmain5%7Cdl5%7Csec1_lnk2%26pLid%3D113623782)

No chance. Wishful thinking from Bloombergs.

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**Author:** ![Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/cc9497/32.png) [@Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Capt.Ridley_s_Shooting_Party)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 3:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/444 "2015-05-07T15:28:56Z")

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> [@Steophan](#):
>
> And they’re cobs.

Barm cakes.

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**Author:** ![Steophan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steophan/32/9595_2.png) [@Steophan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steophan)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 3:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/445 "2015-05-07T15:43:55Z")

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> [@Baron\_Greenback](#):
>
> For a GE you need either UK citizenship, Irish citizenship or Commonwealth citizenship with leave to remain. Other elections have less strict eligibilty.

Thanks everybody. There’s a local election here, but I’d be amazed if more than a tiny fraction of those not eligible to vote in the General bother to vote in that. The amount of foreign students and EU workers here probably reduces the absolute number of voters, but hopefully not the turnout, for the General Election at least.

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**Author:** ![Steophan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steophan/32/9595_2.png) [@Steophan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steophan)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 3:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/446 "2015-05-07T15:44:58Z")

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> [@Pjen](#):
>
> Morning rolls.

I actually really like morning rolls. Or at least, the fake colonialist imperialist imitations we get down here 🙂

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**Author:** ![Malden\_Capell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/malden_capell/32/5274_2.png) [@Malden\_Capell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Malden_Capell)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 4:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/447 "2015-05-07T16:16:44Z")

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Voted. I’ve been unsure the entire period and was still pondering until I put pencil to paper. But it’s done 🙂

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**Author:** ![Ximenean](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/x/aca169/32.png) [@Ximenean](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ximenean)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 4:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/448 "2015-05-07T16:39:04Z")

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No votes as yet for the batch, bap, or bun parties. Are these terms losing their grip in former northern strongholds?

[edit] Wait a minute, \*\*Amanset \*\*did vote Batch, in capital letters no less. Off to revise my projections.

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**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 4:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/449 "2015-05-07T16:57:17Z")

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> [@That\_Don\_Guy](#):
>
> For those of us in the USA, there appear to be three ways to follow the election night coverage…

Follow-up: if you have Sirius/XM Radio (or one of those cable companies where you can connect the cable to the FM antenna input on your radio or stereo receiver), BBC World Service will have ongoing coverage starting at 6:05 Eastern, except for a 5-minute general news break at the top of each hour.

Of course, if you want to limit it to the commentary that matters, just keep refreshing this thread every few minutes.

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**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 5:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/450 "2015-05-07T17:19:06Z")

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I’m now stocked up for tonight: sparkling wine, tea, snacks, tea, soda, tea, bacon, and tea. I’ve just got to stay awake.

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**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 5:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/451 "2015-05-07T17:20:29Z")

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> [@up\_the\_junction](#):
>
> No chance. Wishful thinking from Bloombergs.

The election appears to be so finely balanced that very small localised swings could tip it markedly one way or the other.

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**Author:** ![Baron\_Greenback](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/baron_greenback/32/48_2.png) [@Baron\_Greenback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Baron_Greenback)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/452 "2015-05-07T17:28:49Z")

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> [@Quartz](#):
>
> I’m now stocked up for tonight: sparkling wine, tea, snacks, tea, soda, tea, bacon, and tea. I’ve just got to stay awake.

I’m considering a nap shortly after the exit polling at 10, and get up again about 1. Problem is I’ve had about ten cups of tea today, so I’m pretty wired. If I want to sleep then I’ll have to open the beer now…

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**Author:** ![One\_And\_Only\_Wanderers](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/838e76/32.png) [@One\_And\_Only\_Wanderers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/One_And_Only_Wanderers)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 6:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/453 "2015-05-07T18:14:56Z")

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well, that’s my vote cast. Nice to see a healthy queue. Whatever Govt we get Id rather it be one chosen by a high percentage turnout

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**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 6:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/454 "2015-05-07T18:16:41Z")

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> [@Gyrate](#):
>
> I’ll probably hang on until about 1am but I do have to work in the morning and have a limited tolerance for talking heads telling me that they have no further news but expect to have some any minute and in the meantime here’s some nifty CGI we’ve come up with that will tell you nothing new or useful but will keep you from switching the channel. Like every other election night…

To tide you over until later tonight: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=31FFTx6AKmU](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=31FFTx6AKmU)

> [@Quartz](#):
>
> I’m now stocked up for tonight: sparkling wine, tea, snacks, tea, soda, tea, bacon, and tea. I’ve just got to stay awake.

“Don’t forget the crackers!” - Wallace

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**Author:** ![PaulParkhead](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/7ea924/32.png) [@PaulParkhead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PaulParkhead)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 6:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/455 "2015-05-07T18:27:59Z")

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And voted. The SNP’s “Designated Intimidator” turned out to be a 20-something bloke with a foam thumbs-up hand.

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**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 8:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/456 "2015-05-07T20:10:55Z")

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If I turn on CSPAN (which will be carrying one of the British networks, I’ve heard) about midnight British time, will enough results be coming through by then for it to be worth the watching?

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**Author:** ![Baron\_Greenback](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/baron_greenback/32/48_2.png) [@Baron\_Greenback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Baron_Greenback)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 8:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/457 "2015-05-07T20:17:39Z")

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> [@Frank](#):
>
> If I turn on CSPAN (which will be carrying one of the British networks, I’ve heard) about midnight British time, will enough results be coming through by then for it to be worth the watching?

There will only be a handful of declarations before about 2am, when the pace starts to pick up.

The Press Association have a list of expected declaration times here:

[http://election.pressassociation.com/Declaration\_times/general\_2015\_by\_time.php](http://election.pressassociation.com/Declaration_times/general_2015_by_time.php)

There’s be exit polls just after 10pm, though.

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**Author:** ![PaulParkhead](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/7ea924/32.png) [@PaulParkhead](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PaulParkhead)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 8:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/458 "2015-05-07T20:19:59Z")

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There might be a few results in by then - I’d imagine there will be a lot of declarations between about 1am and 3am.

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**Author:** ![That\_Don\_Guy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/that_don_guy/32/538_2.png) [@That\_Don\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/That_Don_Guy)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 9:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/459 "2015-05-07T21:03:02Z")

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> [@Frank](#):
>
> If I turn on CSPAN (which will be carrying one of the British networks, I’ve heard) about midnight British time, will enough results be coming through by then for it to be worth the watching?

C-SPAN is supposed to be simulcasting the ITV broadcast. I think you can get the Sky News broadcast online. (You can also get the BBC broadcast if you have the BBC World News channel.)

Here’s an estimate of how many will be announced in each half-hour block, according to the Huffington Post (all times Eastern):  
Before 8 PM: 4  
8 - 8:30: 5 (total 9 up to this point)  
8:30 - 9: 8 (17)  
9 - 9:30: 41 (58)  
9:30 - 10: 32 (90)  
10 - 10:30: 119 (209)  
10:30 - 11: 54 (263)  
11 - 11:30: 139 (402)  
11:30 - Midnight: 65 (467)  
Midnight - 12:30: 96 (563)  
12:30 - 1: 12 (575)  
1 - 1:30: 41 (616)  
1:30 - 2: 11 (627)  
2 - 2:30: 16 (643)  
Six of the remaining seven announce around 7 AM  
St. Ives announces around 8 AM

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**Author:** ![hammos1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/ba8739/32.png) [@hammos1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hammos1)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2015, 9:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/460 "2015-05-07T21:04:07Z")

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Exit poll:  
Con 316/ Lab 239/ SNP 58/ Lib Dem 10/ PC 4/ UKIP 2/ Green 2/ Others 19

Much higher total seats for the Conservative than expected.

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