# UK General Election May 2015 (Population Share Version) **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [April 2, 2015, 10:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612 "2015-04-02T10:29:57Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![Steophan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/steophan/32/9595_2.png) [@Steophan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Steophan)\ **Post date:** [April 8, 2015, 2:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/41 "2015-04-08T14:29:06Z")
> [@ElvisL1ves](#): > > Can Cameron still win after being photographed eating a hot dog with a knife and fork? I’m pretty sure that anyone who wouldn’t vote for him based on that wouldn’t vote for him anyway. I don’t think anyone’s in any doubt that he’s incredibly posh. ---
**Author:** ![Malden\_Capell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/malden_capell/32/5274_2.png) [@Malden\_Capell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Malden_Capell)\ **Post date:** [April 8, 2015, 3:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/42 "2015-04-08T15:22:51Z")
Any views on the Labour pledge on non-doms? I am clueless with these types of things. ---
**Author:** ![Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/cc9497/32.png) [@Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Capt.Ridley_s_Shooting_Party)\ **Post date:** [April 8, 2015, 3:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/43 "2015-04-08T15:37:34Z")
The FT, infamous Marxists, seem to be [in support](http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/9545f01c-be78-11e4-8036-00144feab7de.html#axzz3WjSNIfkq) of ending the non-dom entitlement. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [April 8, 2015, 4:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/44 "2015-04-08T16:55:00Z")
Here’s NPR on the possible impact of the election on the British welfare state: [http://www.npr.org/2015/04/07/398123446/upcoming-british-election-may-determine-welfare-states-fate](http://www.npr.org/2015/04/07/398123446/upcoming-british-election-may-determine-welfare-states-fate) What would UKIP want, at a minimum, to be someone’s coalition partner? What would the SNP? ---
**Author:** ![Pjen](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Pjen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pjen)\ **Post date:** [April 8, 2015, 5:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/45 "2015-04-08T17:04:13Z")
Last night and tonight the two most important debates in the GE take place- those covering the 59 Scottish seats at Westminster. The election will most likely be more clearly decided by the fall of those seats than any others, affecting both the number of LibDem seats (1-10), Labour (10-45) and SNP (6-50). The loss of each LibDem seat to SNP reduces the possibility of a further Conservative based coalition (current projection is a loss of all seats but one), and each loss of a seat by Labour to SNP (current prediction about thirty seats lost) stymie a Labour or LibLab Coalition. This is far more decisive a contest than the equivalent 60key marginal in England, yet these debates seem to be being largely ignored south of the border. Last night was very much Murphy versus Sturgeon with LibDems and Conservatives largely onlookers, but tonight the debate is repeated, but tonight the Greens and UKIP join the fray. UKIP have zero chance in Scotland, but I shall be looking for informal signs of a Progressive Alliance by SNP, LibDem and Greens (plus PC) starting to form. Interesting times. ---
**Author:** ![Pjen](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Pjen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pjen)\ **Post date:** [April 8, 2015, 5:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/46 "2015-04-08T17:06:49Z")
> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#): > > Here’s NPR on the possible impact of the election on the British welfare state: [Upcoming British Election May Determine Welfare State's Fate : NPR](http://www.npr.org/2015/04/07/398123446/upcoming-british-election-may-determine-welfare-states-fate) > > What would UKIP want, at a minimum, to be someone’s coalition partner? What would the SNP? UKIP say they will support any government guaranteeing an InOut referendum in 2016. SNP will bargain for further Devolution, no renewal of Trident and an end to austerity economics. ---
**Author:** ![Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/cc9497/32.png) [@Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Capt.Ridley_s_Shooting_Party)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 8:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/47 "2015-04-09T08:22:54Z")
> [@Pjen](#): > > This is far more decisive a contest than the equivalent 60key marginal in England, yet these debates seem to be being largely ignored south of the border. If by being “ignored south of the border” you mean were on the front page of yesterday’s FT and featured on last night’s Channel 4 news, then yes, they’re being ignored south of the border. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 10:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/48 "2015-04-09T10:13:48Z")
> [@Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](#): > > If by being “ignored south of the border” you mean were on the front page of yesterday’s FT and featured on last night’s Channel 4 news, then yes, they’re being ignored south of the border. And discussed extensively on the Today programme this morning. Damn you, media, for ignoring things by talking about them in great detail! ---
**Author:** ![Pjen](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Pjen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pjen)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 10:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/49 "2015-04-09T10:15:22Z")
> [@Capt.Ridley\_s\_Shooting\_Party](#): > > If by being “ignored south of the border” you mean were on the front page of yesterday’s FT and featured on last night’s Channel 4 news, then yes, they’re being ignored south of the border. But largely absent from mainstream news such as BBC, ITV and most front pages except for peripheral issues. ---
**Author:** ![Pjen](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Pjen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pjen)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 10:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/50 "2015-04-09T10:17:00Z")
> [@Gyrate](#): > > And discussed extensively on the Today programme this morning. Damn you, media, for ignoring things by talking about them in great detail! The first debate on Tuesday was largely ignored on Wednesday. The press seem more interested after the second one that occurred athat day later. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 10:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/51 "2015-04-09T10:20:02Z")
> [@Malden\_Capell](#): > > Any views on the Labour pledge on non-doms? I am clueless with these types of things. Which reminds me: I note Lord Ashcroft is still around and active in Westminster, the slimy git. ---
**Author:** ![Baron\_Greenback](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/baron_greenback/32/48_2.png) [@Baron\_Greenback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Baron_Greenback)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 10:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/52 "2015-04-09T10:49:39Z")
> [@Gyrate](#): > > Which reminds me: I note Lord Ashcroft is still around and active in Westminster, the slimy git. He resigned from the Lords last week, but he’s still active on the political scene. His odd hobby of funding very in-depth polling is a boon to wonks everywhere. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 11:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/53 "2015-04-09T11:13:05Z")
I’d be happier if he funded the Treasury instead of stashing all his cash in Belize. ---
**Author:** ![Pjen](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Pjen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pjen)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 6:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/54 "2015-04-09T18:17:55Z")
Three polls today show consistent Labour leads, first series beyond accuracy limits. > **[New polls on April 9: Who will win the General Election?](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2015/11525445/New-poll-on-April-9-Who-will-win-the-General-Election.html)** > > Latest TNS, Survation and Panelbase polls and Betfair predictions for Thursday, April 9 Suggesting that for the first time the next poll of polls will show clear blue water! All predictions are for Labour to be short of a majority. Interesting times. > **[General election 2015: Labour takes lead in opinion polls](https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/apr/09/labour-takes-lead-in-opinion-polls-general-election-2015)** > > Three polls put Ed Miliband’s party ahead of Conservatives, with large number of people saying he is doing a better job than David Cameron ---
**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 6:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/55 "2015-04-09T18:43:35Z")
There’s a month to go. It’s early days yet - we haven’t even seen the manifestos. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 7:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/56 "2015-04-09T19:08:31Z")
Thanks for the UKIP/SNP answers. From this remove, it strikes me that Labour is likely to have more coalition options than the Tories. True? ---
**Author:** ![Quartz](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quartz/32/267_2.png) [@Quartz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quartz)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 7:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/57 "2015-04-09T19:26:55Z")
Both major parties will have many options. Including allying with each other to enact serious political reform. ---
**Author:** ![Baron\_Greenback](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/baron_greenback/32/48_2.png) [@Baron\_Greenback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Baron_Greenback)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 7:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/58 "2015-04-09T19:31:23Z")
> [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](#): > > Thanks for the UKIP/SNP answers. > > From this remove, it strikes me that Labour is likely to have more coalition options than the Tories. True? Tories: LibDem, UKIP, DUP. Labour: LibDem, SNP, SDLP, PC, Alliance (maybe), Green I’m probably forgetting an independent or two. In terms of passing a Queen’s Speech the next two largest parties are going to be the SNP and the LibDems. ---
**Author:** ![Baron\_Greenback](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/baron_greenback/32/48_2.png) [@Baron\_Greenback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Baron_Greenback)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 7:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/59 "2015-04-09T19:32:56Z")
> [@Quartz](#): > > Including allying with each other to enact serious political reform. Unless a major war breaks out, that ain’t happening. ---
**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\ **Post date:** [April 9, 2015, 7:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612/60 "2015-04-09T19:34:49Z")
> [@Quartz](#): > > There’s a month to go. It’s early days yet That is just \*so \*cute! 😉 [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612.md?page=2) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/uk-general-election-may-2015-population-share-version/716612.md?page=4)