# UMBC becomes 1st 16 seed to beat a #1 seed

**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713
**Category:** The Game Room
**Created:** [March 17, 2018, 3:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713 "2018-03-17T03:54:15Z")
**Posts on this page:** 20
**Page:** 1

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### Author: ![mixdenny](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mixdenny/32/2962_2.png) [@mixdenny](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mixdenny)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 3:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/1 "2018-03-17T03:54:15Z")

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The 188th ranked team in the nation becomes the first ever win by a 16 seed team. There will be no perfect brackets this year, mighty Casey has struck out. (Never mix a sports metaphor). Not squeaked by either, a decisive 74-54 game.

Dennis

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### Author: ![Velocity](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/velocity/32/18006_2.png) [@Velocity](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Velocity)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/2 "2018-03-17T04:00:04Z")

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About time.

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### Author: ![Shoeless](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shoeless/32/7099_2.png) [@Shoeless](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shoeless)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/3 "2018-03-17T04:04:05Z")

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I’m just glad it wasn’t Kansas! 😃

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### Author: ![Hi\_Neighbor](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hi_neighbor/32/494_2.png) [@Hi\_Neighbor](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hi_Neighbor)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/4 "2018-03-17T04:05:23Z")

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What a time to be alive!

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### Author: ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/5 "2018-03-17T04:06:10Z")

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Who’s a good boy? Who’s a gooood boy? _You_ are!  
Now, go get the ball!

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### Author: ![russian\_heel](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/f05b48/32.png) [@russian\_heel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/russian_heel)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/6 "2018-03-17T04:09:57Z")

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Normally I’d rail against this and demand #1 and #2 seeds get an automatic bye in this round but this game wasn’t even close. It’s not like the #1 team in the country lost in a fluke buzzer beater.

What the hell happened to Virginia??? What a bunch of losers, chokers and quitters and a disgrace to basketball. Their coach needs to be fired and the entire team cut. If I was an NBA Coach I’d never draft any of these jokers.  
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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### Author: ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/7 "2018-03-17T04:18:26Z")

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“May you live in interesting times.”

Will this curse never cease?

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### Author: ![magnusblitz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/b4bc9f/32.png) [@magnusblitz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/magnusblitz)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/8 "2018-03-17T04:20:18Z")

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> [@russian\_heel](#):
>
> What the hell happened to Virginia??? What a bunch of losers, chokers and quitters and a disgrace to basketball. Their coach needs to be fired and the entire team cut. If I was an NBA Coach I’d never draft any of these jokers.

Unlike Arizona, which quite clearly quit after Buffalo opened up a bit of a lead, I didn’t get the sense Virginia quit. But they did keep jacking up 3s even though they had been missing all night. Really wonder what their coach was thinking.

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### Author: ![mixdenny](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mixdenny/32/2962_2.png) [@mixdenny](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mixdenny)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 4:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/9 "2018-03-17T04:28:04Z")

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134 people bet this long shot with one bookie, bet $100 to win $2500. The bookie lost over $320,000.

Dennis

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### Author: ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 5:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/10 "2018-03-17T05:10:39Z")

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I knew it would happen someday and I thought it’d be one of those “where were you when it happened” kind of moments. Like a buzzer beater, classic one shining moment moment. Turned out to be a blow out in a pretty dull game. Would never have guessed a 20 point blowout.

Virginia will never live this down. ACC HA HA!

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### Author: ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 5:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/11 "2018-03-17T05:41:08Z")

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> [@Omniscient](#):
>
> I knew it would happen someday and I thought it’d be one of those “where were you when it happened” kind of moments. Like a buzzer beater, classic one shining moment moment. Turned out to be a blow out in a pretty dull game. Would never have guessed a 20 point blowout.
> 
> Virginia will never live this down. ACC HA HA!

Those players are going to be the laughingstock of campus on Monday. Too bad their spring break was last week!

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### Author: ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 6:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/12 "2018-03-17T06:47:04Z")

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> [@mixdenny](#):
>
> There will be no perfect brackets this year,…

There will never be a perfect bracket. The odds are astronomical.

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### Author: ![russian\_heel](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/f05b48/32.png) [@russian\_heel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/russian_heel)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 7:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/13 "2018-03-17T07:29:59Z")

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> [@mixdenny](#):
>
> 134 people bet this long shot with one bookie, bet $100 to win $2500. The bookie lost over $320,000.
> 
> Dennis

REALLY——now I can’t believe players like on Virginia who could make millions more n the NBA would ever throw a game——I’m intrigued IF there’s a link:  
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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### Author: ![FoieGrasIsEvil](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/foiegrasisevil/32/16638_2.png) [@FoieGrasIsEvil](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FoieGrasIsEvil)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 9:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/14 "2018-03-17T09:44:13Z")

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> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> There will never be a perfect bracket. The odds are astronomical.

But there have been.

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### Author: ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 11:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/15 "2018-03-17T11:24:53Z")

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No, low seeds absolutely shouldn’t get free byes just because. The rankings aren’t real: The game is. If you can’t even beat a 15 or 16 seed, even in a squeaker, then your ranking was wrong.

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### Author: ![wolfman](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/a8b319/32.png) [@wolfman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfman)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 11:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/16 "2018-03-17T11:44:25Z")

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> [@mixdenny](#):
>
> There will be no perfect brackets this year, mighty Casey has struck out

Didn’t hurt my bracket one bit.  
Because for the first time in about 30 years, I didn’t fill even one out this year. Broke a streak back to before there were 64 teams.☹

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### Author: ![AncientHumanoid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ancienthumanoid/32/278_2.png) [@AncientHumanoid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AncientHumanoid)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 1:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/17 "2018-03-17T13:21:32Z")

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> [@Chronos](#):
>
> No, low seeds absolutely shouldn’t get free byes just because. The rankings aren’t real: The game is. If you can’t even beat a 15 or 16 seed, even in a squeaker, then your ranking was wrong.

Howard Johnson is right!

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### Author: ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 1:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/18 "2018-03-17T13:28:21Z")

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> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> There will never be a perfect bracket. The odds are astronomical.

> [@FoieGrasIsEvil](#):
>
> But there have been.

I’m rather skeptical of this claim.

From [here](https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/bracket-beat/2016-03-14/march-madness-7-things-more-likely-happen-picking):

> [@](#):
>
> The odds of picking a perfect bracket in the NCAA men’s basketball tournament are really, really small. So small, in fact, that many mathematicians differ on the actual estimation of the odds.
> 
> Some believe it’s as low as 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808 (or 1 in 9.2 quintillion, for those who skipped the last 18 digits), while others, including Jeff Bergen, a professor at DePaul, think it’s as “high” as 1 in 128 billion. Either way, picking all 63 games (excluding the First Four games) correctly is next to impossible.

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### Author: ![OldGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/o/3bc359/32.png) [@OldGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/OldGuy)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 2:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/19 "2018-03-17T14:51:28Z")

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> [@Robot\_Arm](#):
>
> I’m rather skeptical of this claim.
> 
> From [here](https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/bracket-beat/2016-03-14/march-madness-7-things-more-likely-happen-picking):

Those calculated odds assume a 50-50 chance in each game. Those are far off in the early rounds

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### Author: ![Robot\_Arm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robot_arm/32/18280_2.png) [@Robot\_Arm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Robot_Arm)
#### Post date: [March 17, 2018, 3:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713/20 "2018-03-17T15:05:44Z")

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> [@OldGuy](#):
>
> Those calculated odds assume a 50-50 chance in each game. Those are far off in the early rounds

The 1 in 9.2 quintillion, yes, but even the lowest estimate is 1 in 128 billion.

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/umbc-becomes-1st-16-seed-to-beat-a-1-seed/810713.md?page=2)
